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Hornets at Magic

NBA · Friday, Dec 26 · 6:00 PM CT · Kia Center · Final CHA 120 – ORL 105
← NBA / Dec 26, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA38193924120
ORL28202928105
Team box
CHA·ORL
41-87
field goals
37-93
19-39
3-pointers
11-35
19-28
free throws
20-23
53
rebounds
42
23
assists
22
15
turnovers
9
42
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Anthony BlackORL362434
LaMelo BallCHA292275
Miles BridgesCHA3516115
Wendell Carter Jr.ORL281681
Kon KnueppelCHA151631
Desmond BaneORL3315104

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +24
CHA +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 4 · CHA 24lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 23%, ORL 77% · Updated Dec 26, 2025

Expected margin
ORL by 10.6
Expected score
ORL 114.1 – 103.5 CHA
Expected total
217.6
HornetsThe matchupMagic
+330Our fair odds−330
103.5Expected points114.1
−0.88Power rating+0.10
115.4Points / game117.2
118.8Allowed / game114.8
45.6FG%46.8
36.03P%33.8
44.4Rebounds / game45.0
10−20Season record17−13
4−6Last 105−5
Antonio Reeves · Grant Williams
KJ Simpson · Liam McNeeley
Mason PlumleeOut (5 each)Colin Castleton · Franz Wagner
Goga Bitadze · Jalen Suggs
Moritz Wagner

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · ORL chance
Our model fair23.2%76.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+33023%————
ORLOrlando Magic−33077%————
SpreadORL by 10.6
CHACharlotte Hornets+10.6our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic−10.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 217.6
Over217.6our total————
Under217.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 10.6 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 52 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 51 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 50 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 49 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 50 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 51 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 52 points: <1%
← CHA wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more68%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more53%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more38%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

217.6 expected
172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 207.570%
Total over 217.550%
Total over 227.530%
Total from 208 to 22739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FMoussa Diabatestarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
Orlando Magic
GTyus Jonesstarted
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·ORL
Dec 23, 2025 vs WSH
last game
Dec 23, 2025 at POR
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 26, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAKJ Simpson · g league - two-wayOut
CHALiam McNeeley · g league - on assignmentOut
CHAMason Plumlee · right groin; strainOut
CHARyan Kalkbrenner · left elbow; sprainOut
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left high ankle; sprainOut
ORLGoga Bitadze · left knee; strainOut
ORLJalen Suggs · left hip; contusionOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 30+ games
CHA·ORL
−0.88
rating (0 = average)
+0.10
115.4
points / game
117.2
118.8
points allowed / game
114.8
10−20
season record
17−13
7−8
home record
10−5
3−12
away record
7−8
W1
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
5−5
45.6
FG%
46.8
36.0
3P%
33.8
44.4
rebounds / game
45.0
26.3
assists / game
25.9
15.9
turnovers / game
14.4
48.5
points in paint / game
54.2

Rating Trend

CHA · ORL · 58 days
Charlotte HornetsOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ORL 9−1
Oct 30, 2025at CHAORL 123 − 107
Mar 25, 2025at CHAORL 111 − 104
Feb 12, 2025at ORLORL 102 − 86
Nov 25, 2024at CHAORL 95 − 84
Nov 12, 2024at ORLORL 114 − 89
Apr 5, 2024at CHACHA 124 − 115
Mar 19, 2024at ORLORL 112 − 92
Mar 5, 2024at CHAORL 101 − 89
Nov 26, 2023at ORLORL 130 − 117
Mar 3, 2023at CHAORL 117 − 106

CHA · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Dec 23, 2025vs WSH126 − 109W
Dec 22, 2025at CLE132 − 139L
Dec 20, 2025at DET86 − 112L
Dec 18, 2025vs ATL133 − 126W
Dec 14, 2025at CLE119 − 111W
Dec 12, 2025vs CHI126 − 129L
Dec 7, 2025vs DEN106 − 115L
Dec 5, 2025at TOR111 − 86W
Dec 3, 2025at NY104 − 119L
Dec 1, 2025at BKN103 − 116L

ORL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Dec 23, 2025at POR110 − 106W
Dec 22, 2025at GS97 − 120L
Dec 20, 2025at UTAH128 − 127W
Dec 18, 2025at DEN115 − 126L
Dec 13, 2025vs NY120 − 132L
Dec 9, 2025vs MIA117 − 108W
Dec 7, 2025at NY100 − 106L
Dec 5, 2025vs MIA106 − 105W
Dec 3, 2025vs SA112 − 114L
Dec 1, 2025vs CHI125 − 120W