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Hornets at Bulls

NBA · Saturday, Jan 3 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final CHA 112 – CHI 99
← NBA / Jan 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA27233230112
CHI3919172499
Team box
CHA·CHI
39-91
field goals
39-87
15-41
3-pointers
11-41
19-23
free throws
10-14
52
rebounds
43
23
assists
32
12
turnovers
11
46
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Nikola VucevicCHI342878
Miles BridgesCHA3526141
Brandon MillerCHA362264
Kon KnueppelCHA331851
LaMelo BallCHA261767
Matas BuzelisCHI341783

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +18
CHA +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 15 · CHA 18lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 32%, CHI 68% · Updated Jan 3

Expected margin
CHI by 5.2
Expected score
CHI 120.0 – 114.9 CHA
Expected total
234.9
HornetsThe matchupBulls
+214Our fair odds−214
114.9Expected points120.0
−0.79Power rating−0.25
115.9Points / game118.8
119.0Allowed / game122.1
45.8FG%47.4
36.83P%36.3
44.3Rebounds / game45.7
11−23Season record17−17
4−6Last 107−3
Grant Williams · Mason Plumlee
Moussa Diabate · Ryan KalkbrennerOutCoby White · Emanuel Miller
Josh Giddey · Noa Essengue
Trentyn Flowers

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · CHI chance
Our model fair31.8%68.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+21432%————
CHIChicago Bulls−21468%————
SpreadCHI by 5.2
CHACharlotte Hornets+5.2our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls−5.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.9
Over234.9our total————
Under234.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 5.2 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%
← CHA wins byCHI wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more54%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more39%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

234.9 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.569%
Total over 234.550%
Total over 244.531%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
CPJ Hallstarted
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
FJalen Smithstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·CHI
Jan 2 at MIL
last game
Jan 2 vs ORL
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
6th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 3, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAMason Plumlee · right groin; surgeryOut
CHAMoussa Diabate · right wrist; sprainOut
CHARyan Kalkbrenner · left elbow; sprainOut
Chicago Bulls
CHICoby White · right calf; injury managementOut
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHITrentyn Flowers · right knee; sprainOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 34+ games
CHA·CHI
−0.79
rating (0 = average)
−0.25
115.9
points / game
118.8
119.0
points allowed / game
122.1
11−23
season record
17−17
7−10
home record
10−8
4−13
away record
7−9
L3
streak
W2
4−6
last 10
7−3
45.8
FG%
47.4
36.8
3P%
36.3
44.3
rebounds / game
45.7
26.5
assists / game
29.5
15.7
turnovers / game
14.8
48.1
points in paint / game
54.9

Rating Trend

CHA · CHI · 66 days
Charlotte HornetsChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 8−2
Dec 12, 2025at CHACHI 129 − 126
Nov 28, 2025at CHACHA 123 − 116
Apr 6, 2025at CHACHI 131 − 117
Jan 17, 2025at CHICHA 125 − 123
Dec 30, 2024at CHACHI 115 − 108
Dec 13, 2024at CHICHI 109 − 95
Jan 31, 2024at CHACHI 117 − 110
Jan 8, 2024at CHACHI 119 − 112
Jan 5, 2024at CHICHI 104 − 91
Dec 6, 2023at CHICHI 111 − 100

CHA · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Jan 2at MIL121 − 122L
Dec 31, 2025vs GS125 − 132L
Dec 29, 2025vs MIL113 − 123L
Dec 26, 2025at ORL120 − 105W
Dec 23, 2025vs WSH126 − 109W
Dec 22, 2025at CLE132 − 139L
Dec 20, 2025at DET86 − 112L
Dec 18, 2025vs ATL133 − 126W
Dec 14, 2025at CLE119 − 111W
Dec 12, 2025vs CHI126 − 129L

CHI · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Jan 2vs ORL121 − 114W
Dec 31, 2025vs NO134 − 118W
Dec 29, 2025vs MIN101 − 136L
Dec 27, 2025vs MIL103 − 112L
Dec 26, 2025vs PHI109 − 102W
Dec 23, 2025at ATL126 − 123W
Dec 21, 2025at ATL152 − 150W
Dec 19, 2025at CLE136 − 125W
Dec 17, 2025vs CLE127 − 111W
Dec 14, 2025vs NO104 − 114L