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Magic at Bulls

NBA · Friday, Jan 2 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final ORL 114 – CHI 121
← NBA / Jan 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL32273619114
CHI22373230121
Team box
ORL·CHI
43-86
field goals
45-90
14-32
3-pointers
14-41
14-21
free throws
17-19
36
rebounds
47
28
assists
31
11
turnovers
13
44
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Paolo BancheroORL353166
Matas BuzelisCHI302197
Kevin HuerterCHI242042
Anthony BlackORL331827
Nikola VucevicCHI3517105
Ayo DosunmuCHI211737

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +13
ORL +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 7 · ORL 13lead changes: 19

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 52%, CHI 48% · Updated Jan 2

Expected margin
ORL by 1.5
Expected score
ORL 115.8 – 114.3 CHI
Expected total
230.2
MagicThe matchupBulls
−110Our fair odds+110
115.8Expected points114.3
+0.08Power rating−0.25
116.6Points / game118.8
114.9Allowed / game122.3
46.6FG%47.4
33.03P%36.3
44.9Rebounds / game45.7
19−15Season record16−17
5−5Last 107−3
Colin Castleton · Franz Wagner
Moritz WagnerOutCoby White · Emanuel Miller
Josh Giddey · Lachlan Olbrich
Noa Essengue

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · CHI chance
Our model fair52.4%47.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic−11052%————
CHIChicago Bulls+11048%————
SpreadORL by 1.5
ORLOrlando Magic−1.5our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+1.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.2
Over230.2our total————
Under230.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 1.5 expected
Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%
← ORL wins byCHI wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more44%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more30%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

230.2 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.568%
Total over 230.549%
Total over 240.529%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
FJalen Smithstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·CHI
Dec 31, 2025 at IND
last game
Dec 31, 2025 vs NO
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 2, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left high ankle; sprainOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
ORLJonathan Isaac · left knee; soreQuestionable
Chicago Bulls
CHICoby White · right calf; tightnessOut
CHIEmanuel Miller · right hamstring; strainOut
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strainOut
CHILachlan Olbrich · left ankle; sprainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHITrentyn Flowers · right knee; sprainOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 33+ games
ORL·CHI
+0.08
rating (0 = average)
−0.25
116.6
points / game
118.8
114.9
points allowed / game
122.3
19−15
season record
16−17
11−6
home record
9−8
8−9
away record
7−9
W1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
7−3
46.6
FG%
47.4
33.0
3P%
36.3
44.9
rebounds / game
45.7
26.0
assists / game
29.4
14.0
turnovers / game
14.9
54.4
points in paint / game
54.9

Rating Trend

ORL · CHI · 65 days
Orlando MagicChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 3−7
Dec 1, 2025at ORLORL 125 − 120
Oct 25, 2025at ORLCHI 110 − 98
Mar 6, 2025at ORLCHI 125 − 123
Nov 27, 2024at ORLORL 133 − 119
Oct 30, 2024at CHICHI 102 − 99
Apr 7, 2024at ORLORL 113 − 98
Feb 10, 2024at ORLORL 114 − 108
Nov 17, 2023at CHIORL 103 − 97
Nov 15, 2023at CHIORL 96 − 94
Feb 13, 2023at CHIORL 100 − 91

ORL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Dec 31, 2025at IND112 − 110W
Dec 29, 2025at TOR106 − 107L
Dec 27, 2025vs DEN127 − 126W
Dec 26, 2025vs CHA105 − 120L
Dec 23, 2025at POR110 − 106W
Dec 22, 2025at GS97 − 120L
Dec 20, 2025at UTAH128 − 127W
Dec 18, 2025at DEN115 − 126L
Dec 13, 2025vs NY120 − 132L
Dec 9, 2025vs MIA117 − 108W

CHI · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Dec 31, 2025vs NO134 − 118W
Dec 29, 2025vs MIN101 − 136L
Dec 27, 2025vs MIL103 − 112L
Dec 26, 2025vs PHI109 − 102W
Dec 23, 2025at ATL126 − 123W
Dec 21, 2025at ATL152 − 150W
Dec 19, 2025at CLE136 − 125W
Dec 17, 2025vs CLE127 − 111W
Dec 14, 2025vs NO104 − 114L
Dec 12, 2025at CHA129 − 126W