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Hornets at Jazz

NBA · Saturday, Jan 10 · 8:30 PM CT · Delta Center · Final CHA 150 – UTAH 95
← NBA / Jan 10

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA45323835150
UTAH1424263195
Team box
CHA·UTAH
53-101
field goals
36-88
24-59
3-pointers
7-31
20-25
free throws
16-21
65
rebounds
31
35
assists
22
13
turnovers
15
56
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brice SensabaughUTAH302630
Tre MannCHA122011
Brandon MillerCHA221844
LaMelo BallCHA231755
Isaiah CollierUTAH341719
Miles BridgesCHA221575

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +57
CHA +57
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 0 · CHA 57lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 47%, UTAH 53% · Updated Jan 10

Expected margin
CHA by 0.9
Expected score
CHA 119.9 – 119.0 UTAH
Expected total
238.8
HornetsThe matchupJazz
+112Our fair odds−112
119.9Expected points119.0
−0.65Power rating−0.76
115.4Points / game119.6
117.2Allowed / game126.7
45.7FG%46.4
37.13P%35.3
44.6Rebounds / game44.9
13−25Season record13−24
4−6Last 103−7
Antonio Reeves · KJ Simpson
Liam McNeeley · Mason PlumleeOutAce Bailey · Elijah Harkless
Georges Niang · John Tonje
Jusuf Nurkic

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair47.3%52.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+11247%————
UTAHUtah Jazz−11253%————
SpreadCHA by 0.9
CHACharlotte Hornets−0.9our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+0.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 238.8
Over238.8our total————
Under238.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Charlotte Hornets by 0.9 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%
← CHA wins byUTAH wins by →
Charlotte Hornets wins by 5 or more42%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 10 or more29%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

238.8 expected
189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 228.568%
Total over 238.549%
Total over 248.531%
Total from 229 to 24837%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FMoussa Diabatestarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
Utah Jazz
GKeyonte Georgestarted
FKevin Lovestarted
FTaylor Hendricksstarted
FCody Williamsstarted
FBrice Sensabaughstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·UTAH
Jan 8 vs IND
last game
Jan 8 vs DAL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 10, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHAKJ Simpson · g league - two-wayOut
CHALiam McNeeley · g league - on assignmentOut
CHAMason Plumlee · right groin; surgeryOut
CHAPat Connaughton · illness; illnessQuestionable
Utah Jazz
UTAHAce Bailey · left hip flexor; strainOut
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · left first mtp; sprainOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · recovery restOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injuryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 37+ games
CHA·UTAH
−0.65
rating (0 = average)
−0.76
115.4
points / game
119.6
117.2
points allowed / game
126.7
13−25
season record
13−24
7−12
home record
9−11
6−13
away record
4−13
L2
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
3−7
45.7
FG%
46.4
37.1
3P%
35.3
44.6
rebounds / game
44.9
26.3
assists / game
30.2
15.8
turnovers / game
15.7
47.4
points in paint / game
50.6

Rating Trend

CHA · UTAH · 73 days
Charlotte HornetsUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · UTAH 4−5
Nov 2, 2025at CHACHA 126 − 103
Mar 31, 2025at CHACHA 110 − 106
Jan 15, 2025at UTAHCHA 117 − 112
Feb 22, 2024at UTAHCHA 115 − 107
Jan 27, 2024at CHAUTAH 134 − 122
Mar 11, 2023at CHAUTAH 119 − 111
Jan 23, 2023at UTAHUTAH 120 − 102
Mar 25, 2022at CHACHA 107 − 101
Dec 20, 2021at UTAHUTAH 112 − 102

CHA · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Jan 8vs IND112 − 114L
Jan 7vs TOR96 − 97L
Jan 5at OKC124 − 97W
Jan 3at CHI112 − 99W
Jan 2at MIL121 − 122L
Dec 31, 2025vs GS125 − 132L
Dec 29, 2025vs MIL113 − 123L
Dec 26, 2025at ORL120 − 105W
Dec 23, 2025vs WSH126 − 109W
Dec 22, 2025at CLE132 − 139L

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Jan 8vs DAL116 − 114W
Jan 7at OKC125 − 129L
Jan 5at POR117 − 137L
Jan 3at GS114 − 123L
Jan 1at LAC101 − 118L
Dec 30, 2025vs BOS119 − 129L
Dec 27, 2025at SA127 − 114W
Dec 26, 2025vs DET131 − 129W
Dec 23, 2025vs MEM128 − 137L
Dec 22, 2025at DEN112 − 135L