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Mavericks at Jazz

NBA · Thursday, Jan 8 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final DAL 114 – UTAH 116
← NBA / Jan 8

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DAL29263425114
UTAH34243028116
Team box
DAL·UTAH
44-85
field goals
47-95
15-36
3-pointers
13-41
11-13
free throws
9-14
47
rebounds
42
30
assists
32
21
turnovers
9
46
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH403374
Cooper FlaggDAL3826108
Klay ThompsonDAL292335
Anthony DavisDAL3521114
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH371937
Naji MarshallDAL371724

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +14
DAL +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 14 · DAL 7lead changes: 15

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 58%, UTAH 42% · Updated Jan 8

Expected margin
DAL by 4.1
Expected score
DAL 123.0 – 118.9 UTAH
Expected total
241.9
MavericksThe matchupJazz
−136Our fair odds+136
123.0Expected points118.9
−0.23Power rating−0.76
113.1Points / game119.8
116.9Allowed / game127.1
47.0FG%46.3
33.23P%35.4
44.7Rebounds / game45.0
14−23Season record12−24
4−6Last 102−8
Dante Exum · Dereck Lively II
Kyrie Irving · Miles Kelly
Moussa CisseOutElijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Walker Kessler

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair57.6%42.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Mavericks−13658%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+13642%————
SpreadDAL by 4.1
DALDallas Mavericks−4.1our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+4.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 241.9
Over241.9our total————
Under241.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Dallas Mavericks by 4.1 expected
Dallas Mavericks by 45 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 44 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 43 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%
← DAL wins byUTAH wins by →
Dallas Mavericks wins by 5 or more51%
Dallas Mavericks wins by 10 or more36%
Dallas Mavericks wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

241.9 expected
191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 231.568%
Total over 241.549%
Total over 251.531%
Total from 232 to 25137%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Dallas Mavericks
GMax Christiestarted
FAnthony Davisstarted
FDaniel Gaffordstarted
FNaji Marshallstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted
Utah Jazz
GKeyonte Georgestarted
FKevin Lovestarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FCody Williamsstarted
FBrice Sensabaughstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·UTAH
Jan 6 at SAC
last game
Jan 7 at OKC
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 8, 5:00 PM ET
Dallas Mavericks
DALDante Exum · right knee; surgeryOut
DALDereck Lively II · right foot; surgeryOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
DALMiles Kelly · g league - two-wayOut
DALMoussa Cisse · g league - two-wayOut
DALP.J. Washington · right ankle; sprainDoubtful
DALBrandon Williams · right heel; contusionProbable
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · recovery left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injuryOut
UTAHAce Bailey · left hip flexor; strainQuestionable
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · left 1st mtp; sprainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 36+ games
DAL·UTAH
−0.23
rating (0 = average)
−0.76
113.1
points / game
119.8
116.9
points allowed / game
127.1
14−23
season record
12−24
10−10
home record
8−11
4−13
away record
4−13
W2
streak
L5
4−6
last 10
2−8
47.0
FG%
46.3
33.2
3P%
35.4
44.7
rebounds / game
45.0
25.0
assists / game
30.2
15.4
turnovers / game
15.9
53.8
points in paint / game
50.2

Rating Trend

DAL · UTAH · 71 days
Dallas MavericksUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 3−7
Dec 15, 2025at UTAHUTAH 140 − 133
Nov 30, 2024at UTAHDAL 106 − 94
Nov 14, 2024at UTAHUTAH 115 − 113
Oct 28, 2024at DALDAL 110 − 102
Mar 25, 2024at UTAHDAL 115 − 105
Mar 21, 2024at DALDAL 113 − 97
Jan 1, 2024at UTAHUTAH 127 − 90
Dec 6, 2023at DALDAL 147 − 97
Mar 7, 2023at DALDAL 120 − 116
Feb 6, 2023at UTAHDAL 124 − 111

DAL · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Jan 6at SAC100 − 98W
Jan 3vs HOU110 − 104W
Jan 1vs PHI108 − 123L
Dec 29, 2025at POR122 − 125L
Dec 27, 2025at SAC107 − 113L
Dec 25, 2025at GS116 − 126L
Dec 23, 2025vs DEN131 − 130W
Dec 22, 2025at NO113 − 119L
Dec 20, 2025at PHI114 − 121L
Dec 18, 2025vs DET116 − 114W

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L5
Jan 7at OKC125 − 129L
Jan 5at POR117 − 137L
Jan 3at GS114 − 123L
Jan 1at LAC101 − 118L
Dec 30, 2025vs BOS119 − 129L
Dec 27, 2025at SA127 − 114W
Dec 26, 2025vs DET131 − 129W
Dec 23, 2025vs MEM128 − 137L
Dec 22, 2025at DEN112 − 135L
Dec 20, 2025vs ORL127 − 128L