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Jazz at Trail Blazers

NBA · Monday, Jan 5 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final UTAH 117 – POR 137
← NBA / Jan 5

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH26312634117
POR36423623137
Team box
UTAH·POR
45-92
field goals
49-93
13-31
3-pointers
19-48
14-17
free throws
20-21
42
rebounds
45
32
assists
32
15
turnovers
14
52
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Deni AvdijaPOR293389
Shaedon SharpePOR272957
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH322244
Jusuf NurkicUTAH3121125
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH331544
Toumani CamaraPOR351543

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +32
UTAH +32
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 32 · UTAH 4lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 34%, POR 66% · Updated Jan 5

Expected margin
POR by 4.9
Expected score
POR 123.0 – 118.1 UTAH
Expected total
241.2
JazzThe matchupTrail Blazers
+198Our fair odds−198
118.1Expected points123.0
−0.71Power rating−0.24
119.7Points / game116.3
126.7Allowed / game119.6
46.3FG%44.7
35.43P%34.0
44.5Rebounds / game45.6
12−22Season record16−20
3−7Last 106−4
Elijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Kevin Love
Walker KesslerOut (5 each)Blake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Jerami Grant · Jrue Holiday
Matisse Thybulle

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · POR chance
Our model fair33.5%66.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+19834%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−19866%————
SpreadPOR by 4.9
UTAHUtah Jazz+4.9our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−4.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 241.2
Over241.2our total————
Under241.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Portland Trail Blazers by 4.9 expected
Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byPOR wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more54%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more38%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

241.2 expected
191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 231.567%
Total over 241.548%
Total over 251.530%
Total from 232 to 25137%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FBrice Sensabaughstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FKris Murraystarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·POR
Jan 3 at GS
last game
Jan 3 at SA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 5, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHKevin Love · restOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHAce Bailey · left hip flexor; strainQuestionable
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORJerami Grant · left achilles; tendonitisOut
PORJrue Holiday · right calf; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · right knee; tendinopathyOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 34+ games
UTAH·POR
−0.71
rating (0 = average)
−0.24
119.7
points / game
116.3
126.7
points allowed / game
119.6
12−22
season record
16−20
8−11
home record
7−9
4−11
away record
9−11
L3
streak
W2
3−7
last 10
6−4
46.3
FG%
44.7
35.4
3P%
34.0
44.5
rebounds / game
45.6
30.0
assists / game
24.6
15.8
turnovers / game
17.1
49.6
points in paint / game
48.4

Rating Trend

UTAH · POR · 68 days
Utah JazzPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · POR 5−5
Oct 29, 2025at UTAHPOR 136 − 134
Apr 9, 2025at UTAHUTAH 133 − 126
Feb 24, 2025at UTAHPOR 114 − 112
Dec 26, 2024at PORPOR 122 − 120
Dec 6, 2024at PORUTAH 141 − 99
Dec 14, 2023at PORUTAH 122 − 114
Dec 2, 2023at UTAHUTAH 118 − 113
Nov 22, 2023at PORPOR 121 − 105
Nov 14, 2023at UTAHUTAH 115 − 99
Mar 22, 2023at UTAHPOR 127 − 115

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Jan 3at GS114 − 123L
Jan 1at LAC101 − 118L
Dec 30, 2025vs BOS119 − 129L
Dec 27, 2025at SA127 − 114W
Dec 26, 2025vs DET131 − 129W
Dec 23, 2025vs MEM128 − 137L
Dec 22, 2025at DEN112 − 135L
Dec 20, 2025vs ORL127 − 128L
Dec 18, 2025vs LAL135 − 143L
Dec 15, 2025vs DAL140 − 133W

POR · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Jan 3at SA115 − 110W
Jan 2at NO122 − 109W
Dec 31, 2025at OKC95 − 124L
Dec 29, 2025vs DAL125 − 122W
Dec 28, 2025vs BOS114 − 108W
Dec 26, 2025vs LAC103 − 119L
Dec 23, 2025vs ORL106 − 110L
Dec 22, 2025vs DET102 − 110L
Dec 20, 2025at SAC98 − 93W
Dec 18, 2025vs SAC134 − 133W