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Hawks at Lakers

NBA · Tuesday, Jan 13 · 9:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final ATL 116 – LAL 141
← NBA / Jan 13

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ATL30302630116
LAL37442139141
Team box
ATL·LAL
45-100
field goals
48-83
13-46
3-pointers
19-34
13-18
free throws
26-30
32
rebounds
47
30
assists
36
6
turnovers
16
56
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
LeBron JamesLAL3331910
Luka DoncicLAL3327512
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerATL332643
CJ McCollumATL272513
Corey KispertATL261901
Deandre AytonLAL3117181

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +32
ATL +32
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 32 · ATL 5lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ATL 40%, LAL 60% · Updated Jan 13

Expected margin
LAL by 2.4
Expected score
LAL 119.4 – 117.0 ATL
Expected total
236.4
HawksThe matchupLakers
+151Our fair odds−151
117.0Expected points119.4
−0.05Power rating+0.14
118.4Points / game115.8
118.4Allowed / game116.5
48.0FG%49.6
36.93P%34.0
42.0Rebounds / game41.3
20−21Season record23−14
5−5Last 104−6
Caleb Houstan · Kristaps Porzingis
Luke Kennard · N'Faly Dante
Nikola DjurisicOutAdou Thiero · Austin Reaves
Jaxson Hayes

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ATL chance · LAL chance
Our model fair39.8%60.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ATLAtlanta Hawks+15140%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−15160%————
SpreadLAL by 2.4
ATLAtlanta Hawks+2.4our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−2.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 236.4
Over236.4our total————
Under236.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 2.4 expected
Atlanta Hawks by 44 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 43 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%
← ATL wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more47%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more32%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

236.4 expected
186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.568%
Total over 236.549%
Total over 246.530%
Total from 227 to 24638%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Atlanta Hawks
GNickeil Alexander-Walkerstarted
GVit Krejcistarted
GDyson Danielsstarted
FOnyeka Okongwustarted
FJalen Johnsonstarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ATL·LAL
Jan 11 at GS
last game
Jan 12 at SAC
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 13, 5:00 PM ET
Atlanta Hawks
ATLCaleb Houstan · g league - two-wayOut
ATLKristaps Porzingis · left achilles; tendinitisOut
ATLLuke Kennard · neck; sprainOut
ATLN'Faly Dante · right knee; torn aclOut
ATLNikola Djurisic · g league - on assignmentOut
ATLRayJ Dennis · g league - two-wayOut
ATLZaccharie Risacher · left knee; bone contusionOut
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · right mcl; sprainOut
LALAustin Reaves · left calf; strainOut
LALJaxson Hayes · left hamstring; sorenessOut
LALLeBron James · left foot joint arthritis; & right sciaticaQuestionable
LALLuka Doncic · left groin; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 37+ games
ATL·LAL
−0.05
rating (0 = average)
+0.14
118.4
points / game
115.8
118.4
points allowed / game
116.5
20−21
season record
23−14
7−11
home record
10−7
13−10
away record
13−7
W3
streak
L3
5−5
last 10
4−6
48.0
FG%
49.6
36.9
3P%
34.0
42.0
rebounds / game
41.3
31.2
assists / game
24.8
14.9
turnovers / game
15.3
52.3
points in paint / game
51.4

Rating Trend

ATL · LAL · 76 days
Atlanta HawksLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAL 5−4
Nov 8, 2025at ATLATL 122 − 102
Jan 3, 2025at LALLAL 119 − 102
Dec 6, 2024at ATLATL 134 − 132
Mar 18, 2024at LALLAL 136 − 105
Jan 30, 2024at ATLATL 138 − 122
Jan 6, 2023at LALLAL 130 − 114
Dec 30, 2022at ATLLAL 130 − 121
Jan 30, 2022at ATLATL 129 − 121
Jan 7, 2022at LALLAL 134 − 118

ATL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Jan 11at GS124 − 111W
Jan 9at DEN110 − 87W
Jan 7vs NO117 − 100W
Jan 5at TOR100 − 118L
Jan 3at TOR117 − 134L
Jan 2at NY111 − 99W
Dec 31, 2025vs MIN126 − 102W
Dec 29, 2025at OKC129 − 140L
Dec 27, 2025vs NY125 − 128L
Dec 26, 2025vs MIA111 − 126L

LAL · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Jan 12at SAC112 − 124L
Jan 9vs MIL101 − 105L
Jan 7at SA91 − 107L
Jan 6at NO111 − 103W
Jan 4vs MEM120 − 114W
Jan 2vs MEM128 − 121W
Dec 30, 2025vs DET106 − 128L
Dec 28, 2025vs SAC125 − 101W
Dec 25, 2025vs HOU96 − 119L
Dec 23, 2025at PHX108 − 132L