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Wizards at Kings

NBA · Friday, Jan 16 · 9:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final WSH 115 – SAC 128
← NBA / Jan 16

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH22392331115
SAC41263427128
Team box
WSH·SAC
44-90
field goals
47-81
11-34
3-pointers
15-31
16-21
free throws
19-30
34
rebounds
45
23
assists
36
11
turnovers
19
62
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Russell WestbrookSAC312626
Alex SarrWSH281943
Tre JohnsonWSH301824
DeMar DeRozanSAC331724
Precious AchiuwaSAC281661
Zach LaVineSAC321623

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +21
WSH +21
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 21 · WSH 1lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 29%, SAC 71% · Updated Jan 16

Expected margin
SAC by 6.2
Expected score
SAC 120.0 – 113.9 WSH
Expected total
233.9
WizardsThe matchupKings
+251Our fair odds−251
113.9Expected points120.0
−1.18Power rating−0.48
112.6Points / game110.2
123.9Allowed / game120.7
46.1FG%46.3
35.33P%34.8
44.1Rebounds / game40.6
10−29Season record11−30
4−6Last 103−7
Bilal Coulibaly · Cam Whitmore
Khris Middleton · Sharife Cooper
Trae YoungOutDaeqwon Plowden · Isaiah Stevens
Keegan Murray

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · SAC chance
Our model fair28.5%71.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+25129%————
SACSacramento Kings−25171%————
SpreadSAC by 6.2
WSHWashington Wizards+6.2our margin————
SACSacramento Kings−6.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.9
Over233.9our total————
Under233.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Sacramento Kings by 6.2 expected
Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%
← WSH wins bySAC wins by →
Sacramento Kings wins by 5 or more57%
Sacramento Kings wins by 10 or more41%
Sacramento Kings wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.9 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.569%
Total over 233.550%
Total over 243.531%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FJustin Champagniestarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·SAC
Jan 14 at LAC
last game
Jan 14 vs NY
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 16, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHBilal Coulibaly · lower back; stiffnessOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHKhris Middleton · right knee; injury managementOut
WSHSharife Cooper · g league - two-wayOut
WSHTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprain; quad contusionOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · left knee; sorenessOut
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; partial meniscus tearQuestionable
SACKeon Ellis · left knee; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 39+ games
WSH·SAC
−1.18
rating (0 = average)
−0.48
112.6
points / game
110.2
123.9
points allowed / game
120.7
10−29
season record
11−30
6−13
home record
8−13
4−16
away record
3−17
L4
streak
W3
4−6
last 10
3−7
46.1
FG%
46.3
35.3
3P%
34.8
44.1
rebounds / game
40.6
25.3
assists / game
24.9
15.8
turnovers / game
14.2
47.0
points in paint / game
47.9

Rating Trend

WSH · SAC · 79 days
Washington WizardsSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · SAC 5−3
Apr 2, 2025at WSHWSH 116 − 111
Jan 19, 2025at SACSAC 123 − 100
Mar 21, 2024at WSHWSH 109 − 102
Dec 18, 2023at SACSAC 143 − 131
Mar 18, 2023at WSHSAC 132 − 118
Dec 23, 2022at SACWSH 125 − 111
Feb 12, 2022at WSHSAC 123 − 110
Dec 15, 2021at SACSAC 119 − 105

WSH · Last 10

4−6 · streak L4
Jan 14at LAC105 − 119L
Jan 11at PHX93 − 112L
Jan 9vs NO107 − 128L
Jan 7at PHI110 − 131L
Jan 6vs ORL120 − 112W
Jan 4vs MIN115 − 141L
Jan 2vs BKN119 − 99W
Dec 31, 2025at MIL114 − 113W
Dec 29, 2025vs PHX101 − 115L
Dec 28, 2025vs MEM116 − 112W

SAC · Last 10

3−7 · streak W3
Jan 14vs NY112 − 101W
Jan 12vs LAL124 − 112W
Jan 11vs HOU111 − 98W
Jan 9at GS103 − 137L
Jan 6vs DAL98 − 100L
Jan 4vs MIL98 − 115L
Jan 2at PHX102 − 129L
Jan 1vs BOS106 − 120L
Dec 30, 2025at LAC90 − 131L
Dec 28, 2025at LAL101 − 125L