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Celtics at Kings

NBA · Thursday, Jan 1 · 9:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final BOS 120 – SAC 106
← NBA / Jan 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS28342632120
SAC29322718106
Team box
BOS·SAC
44-87
field goals
40-85
17-41
3-pointers
12-36
15-18
free throws
14-15
40
rebounds
32
25
assists
29
13
turnovers
9
50
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaylen BrownBOS3529104
DeMar DeRozanSAC352556
Dennis SchroderSAC281837
Derrick WhiteBOS351657
Payton PritchardBOS311636
Keon EllisSAC271611

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +14
BOS +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 8 · BOS 14lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 71%, SAC 29% · Updated Jan 1

Expected margin
BOS by 8.8
Expected score
BOS 117.7 – 108.9 SAC
Expected total
226.6
CelticsThe matchupKings
−243Our fair odds+243
117.7Expected points108.9
+0.77Power rating−0.36
116.9Points / game111.0
110.8Allowed / game122.3
47.5FG%46.1
36.43P%34.7
43.9Rebounds / game41.0
20−12Season record8−25
7−3Last 102−8
Amari Williams · Jayson Tatum
Max Shulga · Ron Harper Jr.OutDaeqwon Plowden · Domantas Sabonis
Dylan Cardwell · Isaiah Stevens
Zach LaVine

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · SAC chance
Our model fair70.8%29.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−24371%————
SACSacramento Kings+24329%————
SpreadBOS by 8.8
BOSBoston Celtics−8.8our margin————
SACSacramento Kings+8.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.6
Over226.6our total————
Under226.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 8.8 expected
Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%
← BOS wins bySAC wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more65%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more48%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more32%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

226.6 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.569%
Total over 226.550%
Total over 236.530%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
GJordan Walshstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
FKeegan Murraystarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·SAC
Dec 30, 2025 at UTAH
last game
Dec 30, 2025 at LAC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 1, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSRon Harper Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; partialOut
SACDylan Cardwell · g league - two-wayOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · meniscus tear g league - two-wayOut
SACZach LaVine · left ankle; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 32+ games
BOS·SAC
+0.77
rating (0 = average)
−0.36
116.9
points / game
111.0
110.8
points allowed / game
122.3
20−12
season record
8−25
10−5
home record
5−10
10−7
away record
3−15
W1
streak
L2
7−3
last 10
2−8
47.5
FG%
46.1
36.4
3P%
34.7
43.9
rebounds / game
41.0
23.9
assists / game
25.3
12.1
turnovers / game
14.4
43.5
points in paint / game
48.7

Rating Trend

BOS · SAC · 64 days
Boston CelticsSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · SAC 1−7
Mar 24, 2025at SACBOS 113 − 95
Jan 10, 2025at BOSSAC 114 − 97
Apr 5, 2024at BOSBOS 101 − 100
Dec 20, 2023at SACBOS 144 − 119
Mar 21, 2023at SACBOS 132 − 109
Nov 25, 2022at BOSBOS 122 − 104
Mar 18, 2022at SACBOS 126 − 97
Jan 25, 2022at BOSBOS 128 − 75

BOS · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Dec 30, 2025at UTAH129 − 119W
Dec 28, 2025at POR108 − 114L
Dec 26, 2025at IND140 − 122W
Dec 22, 2025vs IND103 − 95W
Dec 20, 2025at TOR112 − 96W
Dec 19, 2025vs MIA129 − 116W
Dec 15, 2025vs DET105 − 112L
Dec 11, 2025at MIL101 − 116L
Dec 7, 2025at TOR121 − 113W
Dec 5, 2025vs LAL126 − 105W

SAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak L2
Dec 30, 2025at LAC90 − 131L
Dec 28, 2025at LAL101 − 125L
Dec 27, 2025vs DAL113 − 107W
Dec 23, 2025vs DET127 − 136L
Dec 21, 2025vs HOU125 − 124W
Dec 20, 2025vs POR93 − 98L
Dec 18, 2025at POR133 − 134L
Dec 14, 2025at MIN103 − 117L
Dec 11, 2025vs DEN105 − 136L
Dec 8, 2025at IND105 − 116L