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Hornets at Magic

NBA · Thursday, Jan 22 · 6:00 PM CT · Kia Center · Final CHA 124 – ORL 97
← NBA / Jan 22

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA35273527124
ORL2021263097
Team box
CHA·ORL
43-79
field goals
33-79
17-36
3-pointers
14-37
21-25
free throws
17-22
47
rebounds
31
26
assists
25
15
turnovers
12
50
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Paolo BancheroORL302375
Desmond BaneORL322154
Brandon MillerCHA272024
Collin SextonCHA231904
LaMelo BallCHA281667
Moritz WagnerORL151411

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +33
CHA +33
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 3 · CHA 33lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 32%, ORL 68% · Updated Jan 22

Expected margin
ORL by 6.6
Expected score
ORL 113.1 – 106.5 CHA
Expected total
219.6
HornetsThe matchupMagic
+217Our fair odds−217
106.5Expected points113.1
−0.53Power rating+0.02
115.8Points / game116.1
115.9Allowed / game115.2
46.0FG%46.7
36.73P%33.4
45.5Rebounds / game44.8
16−28Season record23−19
5−5Last 105−5
Grant Williams · KJ Simpson
Liam McNeeley · Mason Plumlee
PJ HallOutColin Castleton · Franz Wagner
Jalen Suggs

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · ORL chance
Our model fair31.5%68.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+21732%————
ORLOrlando Magic−21768%————
SpreadORL by 6.6
CHACharlotte Hornets+6.6our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic−6.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 219.6
Over219.6our total————
Under219.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 6.6 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 49 points: <1%
← CHA wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more58%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more42%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

219.6 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 209.569%
Total over 219.550%
Total over 229.530%
Total from 210 to 22939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FMoussa Diabatestarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FTristan da Silvastarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·ORL
Jan 21 vs CLE
last game
Jan 18 at MEM
0 days
days of rest
3 days
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 22, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; injury managementOut
CHAKJ Simpson · left hip flexor; strainOut
CHALiam McNeeley · g league - on assignmentOut
CHAMason Plumlee · right groin; surgeryOut
CHAPJ Hall · g league - two-wayOut
CHATre Mann · illness; illnessOut
CHALaMelo Ball · right thumb; contusionQuestionable
CHABrandon Miller · left ankle; sorenessProbable
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left ankle; sorenessOut
ORLJalen Suggs · right knee; mcl contusionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 42+ games
CHA·ORL
−0.53
rating (0 = average)
+0.02
115.8
points / game
116.1
115.9
points allowed / game
115.2
16−28
season record
23−19
7−13
home record
14−7
9−15
away record
9−12
L1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
5−5
46.0
FG%
46.7
36.7
3P%
33.4
45.5
rebounds / game
44.8
26.5
assists / game
26.4
15.5
turnovers / game
14.2
48.4
points in paint / game
54.4

Rating Trend

CHA · ORL · 85 days
Charlotte HornetsOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ORL 8−2
Dec 26, 2025at ORLCHA 120 − 105
Oct 30, 2025at CHAORL 123 − 107
Mar 25, 2025at CHAORL 111 − 104
Feb 12, 2025at ORLORL 102 − 86
Nov 25, 2024at CHAORL 95 − 84
Nov 12, 2024at ORLORL 114 − 89
Apr 5, 2024at CHACHA 124 − 115
Mar 19, 2024at ORLORL 112 − 92
Mar 5, 2024at CHAORL 101 − 89
Nov 26, 2023at ORLORL 130 − 117

CHA · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Jan 21vs CLE87 − 94L
Jan 18at DEN110 − 87W
Jan 17at GS116 − 136L
Jan 15at LAL135 − 117W
Jan 12at LAC109 − 117L
Jan 10at UTAH150 − 95W
Jan 8vs IND112 − 114L
Jan 7vs TOR96 − 97L
Jan 5at OKC124 − 97W
Jan 3at CHI112 − 99W

ORL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Jan 18at MEM109 − 126L
Jan 15vs MEM118 − 111W
Jan 11vs NO128 − 118W
Jan 9vs PHI91 − 103L
Jan 7at BKN104 − 103W
Jan 6at WSH112 − 120L
Jan 4vs IND135 − 127W
Jan 2at CHI114 − 121L
Dec 31, 2025at IND112 − 110W
Dec 29, 2025at TOR106 − 107L