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Magic at Nets

NBA · Wednesday, Jan 7 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final ORL 104 – BKN 103
← NBA / Jan 7

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OTT
ORL2127311411104
BKN2320212910103
Team box
ORL·BKN
41-96
field goals
36-86
9-33
3-pointers
17-51
13-18
free throws
14-22
55
rebounds
44
28
assists
23
18
turnovers
21
54
points in paint
32
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN383451
Paolo BancheroORL4330146
Wendell Carter Jr.ORL392063
Egor DeminBKN321855
Tristan da SilvaORL241432
Noah PendaORL3113111

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +18
ORL +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
largest lead: BKN 4 · ORL 18lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 62%, BKN 38% · Updated Jan 7

Expected margin
ORL by 4.1
Expected score
ORL 108.6 – 104.5 BKN
Expected total
213.1
MagicThe matchupNets
−162Our fair odds+162
108.6Expected points104.5
+0.09Power rating−0.62
116.9Points / game109.5
115.6Allowed / game114.3
47.0FG%45.1
33.73P%34.5
44.5Rebounds / game39.8
20−17Season record11−22
5−5Last 105−5
Colin Castleton · Franz Wagner
Jalen Suggs · Moritz WagnerOutBen Saraf · Chaney Johnson
E.J. Liddell · Haywood Highsmith
Tyson Etienne

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · BKN chance
Our model fair61.9%38.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic−16262%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+16238%————
SpreadORL by 4.1
ORLOrlando Magic−4.1our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+4.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 213.1
Over213.1our total————
Under213.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 4.1 expected
Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%
← ORL wins byBKN wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more51%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more36%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

213.1 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: 1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 2%198 points: 2%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: <1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 203.569%
Total over 213.548%
Total over 223.529%
Total from 204 to 22340%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FTristan da Silvastarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Brooklyn Nets
GEgor Deminstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FZiaire Williamsstarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CDay'Ron Sharpestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·BKN
Jan 6 at WSH
last game
Jan 4 vs DEN
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 7, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left high ankle; sprainOut
ORLJalen Suggs · right knee; mcl contusionOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · left knee; sorenessOut
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 33+ games
ORL·BKN
+0.09
rating (0 = average)
−0.62
116.9
points / game
109.5
115.6
points allowed / game
114.3
20−17
season record
11−22
12−6
home record
5−13
8−11
away record
6−9
L1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
5−5
47.0
FG%
45.1
33.7
3P%
34.5
44.5
rebounds / game
39.8
26.3
assists / game
25.5
13.8
turnovers / game
15.7
54.3
points in paint / game
42.8

Rating Trend

ORL · BKN · 70 days
Orlando MagicBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 3−7
Nov 14, 2025at ORLORL 105 − 98
Dec 29, 2024at ORLORL 102 − 101
Dec 1, 2024at BKNORL 100 − 92
Nov 29, 2024at BKNORL 123 − 100
Oct 25, 2024at ORLORL 116 − 101
Mar 13, 2024at ORLORL 114 − 106
Feb 27, 2024at ORLORL 108 − 81
Dec 2, 2023at BKNBKN 129 − 101
Nov 14, 2023at BKNBKN 124 − 104
Apr 7, 2023at BKNBKN 101 − 84

ORL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Jan 6at WSH112 − 120L
Jan 4vs IND135 − 127W
Jan 2at CHI114 − 121L
Dec 31, 2025at IND112 − 110W
Dec 29, 2025at TOR106 − 107L
Dec 27, 2025vs DEN127 − 126W
Dec 26, 2025vs CHA105 − 120L
Dec 23, 2025at POR110 − 106W
Dec 22, 2025at GS97 − 120L
Dec 20, 2025at UTAH128 − 127W

BKN · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Jan 4vs DEN127 − 115W
Jan 2at WSH99 − 119L
Jan 1vs HOU96 − 120L
Dec 29, 2025vs GS107 − 120L
Dec 27, 2025at MIN123 − 107W
Dec 23, 2025at PHI114 − 106W
Dec 21, 2025vs TOR96 − 81W
Dec 18, 2025vs MIA95 − 106L
Dec 14, 2025vs MIL127 − 82W
Dec 12, 2025at DAL111 − 119L