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76ers at Magic

NBA · Friday, Jan 9 · 6:00 PM CT · Kia Center · Final PHI 103 – ORL 91
← NBA / Jan 9

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI24293020103
ORL2826251291
Team box
PHI·ORL
39-95
field goals
36-88
4-28
3-pointers
4-29
21-24
free throws
15-18
52
rebounds
42
20
assists
21
13
turnovers
19
60
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI382911
Desmond BaneORL382355
Joel EmbiidPHI312293
Anthony BlackORL372134
Paul GeorgePHI331893
Paolo BancheroORL3714117

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +16
PHI +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 9 · PHI 16lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 37%, ORL 63% · Updated Jan 9

Expected margin
ORL by 4.6
Expected score
ORL 113.0 – 108.4 PHI
Expected total
221.4
76ersThe matchupMagic
+167Our fair odds−167
108.4Expected points113.0
−0.20Power rating+0.09
117.6Points / game116.6
116.2Allowed / game115.2
45.5FG%46.9
36.23P%33.6
44.4Rebounds / game44.8
20−15Season record21−17
6−4Last 105−5
Johni Broome · Justin Edwards
MarJon BeauchampOutColin Castleton · Franz Wagner
Jalen Suggs · Moritz Wagner

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · ORL chance
Our model fair37.4%62.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+16737%————
ORLOrlando Magic−16763%————
SpreadORL by 4.6
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+4.6our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic−4.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.4
Over221.4our total————
Under221.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 4.6 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%
← PHI wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more53%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more37%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.4 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.569%
Total over 221.549%
Total over 231.530%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Philadelphia 76ers
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FPaul Georgestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CJoel Embiidstarted
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FNoah Pendastarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·ORL
Jan 7 vs WSH
last game
Jan 7 at BKN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 9, 5:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJohni Broome · g league - on assignmentOut
PHIJustin Edwards · g league - on assignmentOut
PHIMarJon Beauchamp · g league - two-wayOut
PHIJoel Embiid · left knee; injury managementProbable
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left high ankle; sprainOut
ORLJalen Suggs · right knee; mcl contusionOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 35+ games
PHI·ORL
−0.20
rating (0 = average)
+0.09
117.6
points / game
116.6
116.2
points allowed / game
115.2
20−15
season record
21−17
10−9
home record
12−6
10−6
away record
9−11
W1
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
5−5
45.5
FG%
46.9
36.2
3P%
33.6
44.4
rebounds / game
44.8
25.1
assists / game
26.4
14.0
turnovers / game
13.9
48.3
points in paint / game
54.3

Rating Trend

PHI · ORL · 72 days
Philadelphia 76ersOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ORL 4−6
Nov 25, 2025at PHIORL 144 − 103
Oct 27, 2025at PHIPHI 136 − 124
Jan 12, 2025at ORLORL 104 − 99
Dec 6, 2024at PHIPHI 102 − 94
Dec 4, 2024at PHIORL 106 − 102
Nov 15, 2024at ORLORL 98 − 86
Apr 12, 2024at PHIPHI 125 − 113
Jan 19, 2024at ORLPHI 124 − 109
Dec 27, 2023at ORLPHI 112 − 92
Feb 1, 2023at PHIPHI 105 − 94

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Jan 7vs WSH131 − 110W
Jan 5vs DEN124 − 125L
Jan 3at NY130 − 119W
Jan 1at DAL123 − 108W
Dec 30, 2025at MEM139 − 136W
Dec 28, 2025at OKC104 − 129L
Dec 26, 2025at CHI102 − 109L
Dec 23, 2025vs BKN106 − 114L
Dec 20, 2025vs DAL121 − 114W
Dec 19, 2025at NY116 − 107W

ORL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Jan 7at BKN104 − 103W
Jan 6at WSH112 − 120L
Jan 4vs IND135 − 127W
Jan 2at CHI114 − 121L
Dec 31, 2025at IND112 − 110W
Dec 29, 2025at TOR106 − 107L
Dec 27, 2025vs DEN127 − 126W
Dec 26, 2025vs CHA105 − 120L
Dec 23, 2025at POR110 − 106W
Dec 22, 2025at GS97 − 120L