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Raptors at Trail Blazers

NBA · Friday, Jan 23 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final TOR 110 – POR 98
← NBA / Jan 23

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR19312634110
POR1231312498
Team box
TOR·POR
45-85
field goals
39-98
9-29
3-pointers
13-45
11-17
free throws
7-10
46
rebounds
45
28
assists
22
16
turnovers
15
64
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Sandro MamukelashviliTOR352264
Shaedon SharpePOR322174
Jrue HolidayPOR222117
Immanuel QuickleyTOR342087
Brandon IngramTOR352073
Toumani CamaraPOR371662

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +13
TOR +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 2 · TOR 13lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 43%, POR 57% · Updated Jan 23

Expected margin
POR by 1.5
Expected score
POR 114.0 – 112.5 TOR
Expected total
226.4
RaptorsThe matchupTrail Blazers
+133Our fair odds−133
112.5Expected points114.0
−0.15Power rating−0.10
114.3Points / game116.5
112.5Allowed / game118.0
47.3FG%45.2
34.43P%33.8
43.0Rebounds / game45.3
27−19Season record23−22
6−4Last 108−2
Chucky Hepburn · Ja'Kobe Walter
Jakob PoeltlOutBlake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Kris Murray · Matisse Thybulle
Scoot Henderson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · POR chance
Our model fair43.0%57.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors+13343%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−13357%————
SpreadPOR by 1.5
TORToronto Raptors+1.5our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−1.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.4
Over226.4our total————
Under226.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Portland Trail Blazers by 1.5 expected
Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%
← TOR wins byPOR wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more44%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more30%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

226.4 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.569%
Total over 226.549%
Total over 236.530%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FSandro Mamukelashvilistarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GShaedon Sharpestarted
GSidy Cissokostarted
FToumani Camarastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·POR
Jan 21 at SAC
last game
Jan 22 vs MIA
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 23, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJa'Kobe Walter · right hip; pointerOut
TORJakob Poeltl · lower back; strainOut
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · left thumb; contusionQuestionable
TORRJ Barrett · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORKris Murray · lumbar; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · right knee; tendinopathyOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORDeni Avdija · lower back; strainDoubtful
PORDuop Reath · right foot; sorenessQuestionable
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 45+ games
TOR·POR
−0.15
rating (0 = average)
−0.10
114.3
points / game
116.5
112.5
points allowed / game
118.0
27−19
season record
23−22
13−10
home record
13−10
14−9
away record
10−12
W2
streak
W4
6−4
last 10
8−2
47.3
FG%
45.2
34.4
3P%
33.8
43.0
rebounds / game
45.3
29.7
assists / game
24.5
13.8
turnovers / game
16.8
52.5
points in paint / game
48.3

Rating Trend

TOR · POR · 86 days
Toronto RaptorsPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · POR 6−3
Dec 2, 2025at TORTOR 121 − 118
Apr 3, 2025at TORPOR 112 − 103
Mar 16, 2025at PORPOR 105 − 102
Mar 9, 2024at PORPOR 128 − 118
Oct 30, 2023at TORPOR 99 − 91
Jan 28, 2023at PORTOR 123 − 105
Jan 8, 2023at TORTOR 117 − 105
Jan 23, 2022at TORPOR 114 − 105
Nov 15, 2021at PORPOR 118 − 113

TOR · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Jan 21at SAC122 − 109W
Jan 20at GS145 − 127W
Jan 18at LAL93 − 110L
Jan 16vs LAC117 − 121L
Jan 14at IND115 − 101W
Jan 12vs PHI102 − 115L
Jan 11vs PHI116 − 115W
Jan 9at BOS117 − 125L
Jan 7at CHA97 − 96W
Jan 5vs ATL118 − 100W

POR · Last 10

8−2 · streak W4
Jan 22vs MIA127 − 110W
Jan 18at SAC117 − 110W
Jan 17vs LAL132 − 116W
Jan 15vs ATL117 − 101W
Jan 13at GS97 − 119L
Jan 11vs NY114 − 123L
Jan 9vs HOU111 − 105W
Jan 7vs HOU103 − 102W
Jan 5vs UTAH137 − 117W
Jan 3at SA115 − 110W