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Clippers at Raptors

NBA · Friday, Jan 16 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final LAC 121 – TOR 117
← NBA / Jan 16

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OTT
LAC2428263112121
TOR322928208117
Team box
LAC·TOR
41-79
field goals
42-87
13-36
3-pointers
11-33
26-30
free throws
22-26
36
rebounds
36
25
assists
30
16
turnovers
18
52
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenLAC4231210
Scottie BarnesTOR412476
Jordan MillerLAC461926
Brandon IngramTOR411962
Ivica ZubacLAC3916142
Cam ChristieLAC201651

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +14
LAC +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
largest lead: TOR 14 · LAC 5lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 52%, TOR 48% · Updated Jan 16

Expected margin
LAC by 0.2
Expected score
LAC 110.3 – 110.1 TOR
Expected total
220.4
ClippersThe matchupRaptors
−107Our fair odds+107
110.3Expected points110.1
+0.16Power rating−0.13
112.2Points / game113.9
113.3Allowed / game112.1
47.4FG%47.1
36.83P%34.0
40.3Rebounds / game43.2
17−23Season record25−17
8−2Last 107−3
Bogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Chris Paul · Derrick Jones Jr.
Kawhi LeonardOut (5 each)Chucky Hepburn · Ja'Kobe Walter
Jakob Poeltl · Jamison Battle
RJ Barrett

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · TOR chance
Our model fair51.6%48.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers−10752%————
TORToronto Raptors+10748%————
SpreadLAC by 0.2
LACLA Clippers−0.2our margin————
TORToronto Raptors+0.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.4
Over220.4our total————
Under220.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 0.2 expected
LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%
← LAC wins byTOR wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more40%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more27%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.4 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.569%
Total over 220.549%
Total over 230.530%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
GKobe Sandersstarted
FNicolas Batumstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Toronto Raptors
GOchai Agbajistarted
GJamal Sheadstarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
FCollin Murray-Boylesstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·TOR
Jan 14 vs WSH
last game
Jan 14 at IND
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 16, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hamstring; injury managementOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACKawhi Leonard · right ankle; sprainOut
LACIvica Zubac · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
LACJohn Collins · right groin; sorenessQuestionable
Toronto Raptors
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJa'Kobe Walter · right hip; pointerOut
TORJakob Poeltl · lower back; strainOut
TORJamison Battle · left ankle; sprainOut
TORRJ Barrett · left ankle; sprainOut
TORImmanuel Quickley · back; spasmsDoubtful
TORGarrett Temple · back; spasmsProbable
TORSandro Mamukelashvili · illness; illnessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 40+ games
LAC·TOR
+0.16
rating (0 = average)
−0.13
112.2
points / game
113.9
113.3
points allowed / game
112.1
17−23
season record
25−17
11−9
home record
13−9
6−14
away record
12−8
W4
streak
W1
8−2
last 10
7−3
47.4
FG%
47.1
36.8
3P%
34.0
40.3
rebounds / game
43.2
23.5
assists / game
29.4
15.0
turnovers / game
13.8
45.5
points in paint / game
52.9

Rating Trend

LAC · TOR · 79 days
LA ClippersToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · TOR 3−5
Feb 2, 2025at TORTOR 115 − 108
Nov 9, 2024at LACLAC 105 − 103
Jan 26, 2024at TORLAC 127 − 107
Jan 10, 2024at LACLAC 126 − 120
Mar 8, 2023at LACLAC 108 − 100
Dec 27, 2022at TORLAC 124 − 113
Mar 16, 2022at LACTOR 103 − 100
Dec 31, 2021at TORTOR 116 − 108

LAC · Last 10

8−2 · streak W4
Jan 14vs WSH119 − 105W
Jan 12vs CHA117 − 109W
Jan 10at DET98 − 92W
Jan 9at BKN121 − 105W
Jan 7at NY111 − 123L
Jan 5vs GS103 − 102W
Jan 3vs BOS115 − 146L
Jan 1vs UTAH118 − 101W
Dec 30, 2025vs SAC131 − 90W
Dec 28, 2025vs DET112 − 99W

TOR · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Jan 14at IND115 − 101W
Jan 12vs PHI102 − 115L
Jan 11vs PHI116 − 115W
Jan 9at BOS117 − 125L
Jan 7at CHA97 − 96W
Jan 5vs ATL118 − 100W
Jan 3vs ATL134 − 117W
Dec 31, 2025vs DEN103 − 106L
Dec 29, 2025vs ORL107 − 106W
Dec 28, 2025vs GS141 − 127W