bayesRatings

Clippers at Nets

NBA · Friday, Jan 9 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final LAC 121 – BKN 105
← NBA / Jan 9

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC35282830121
BKN25222929105
Team box
LAC·BKN
45-76
field goals
40-100
14-24
3-pointers
15-47
17-19
free throws
10-11
37
rebounds
39
28
assists
26
16
turnovers
12
54
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenLAC353146
Kawhi LeonardLAC282655
Jordan MillerLAC272150
Egor DeminBKN261933
Michael Porter Jr.BKN331856
John CollinsLAC261640

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +23
LAC +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 0 · LAC 23lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 63%, BKN 37% · Updated Jan 9

Expected margin
LAC by 4.6
Expected score
LAC 109.6 – 105.0 BKN
Expected total
214.7
ClippersThe matchupNets
−169Our fair odds+169
109.6Expected points105.0
+0.14Power rating−0.62
112.1Points / game109.3
114.4Allowed / game114.0
47.3FG%45.0
36.23P%34.5
40.6Rebounds / game39.9
13−23Season record11−23
7−3Last 105−5
Bogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Chris Paul · Derrick Jones Jr.OutBen Saraf · Chaney Johnson
E.J. Liddell · Haywood Highsmith
Tyson Etienne

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · BKN chance
Our model fair62.8%37.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers−16963%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+16937%————
SpreadLAC by 4.6
LACLA Clippers−4.6our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+4.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 214.7
Over214.7our total————
Under214.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 4.6 expected
LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%
← LAC wins byBKN wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more53%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more37%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

214.7 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 204.570%
Total over 214.550%
Total over 224.530%
Total from 205 to 22440%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·BKN
Jan 7 at NY
last game
Jan 7 vs ORL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 8, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hamstring; injury managementOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACKawhi Leonard · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · left knee; sorenessOut
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · right knee; sorenessOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 34+ games
LAC·BKN
+0.14
rating (0 = average)
−0.62
112.1
points / game
109.3
114.4
points allowed / game
114.0
13−23
season record
11−23
9−9
home record
5−14
4−14
away record
6−9
L1
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
5−5
47.3
FG%
45.0
36.2
3P%
34.5
40.6
rebounds / game
39.9
23.6
assists / game
25.4
15.2
turnovers / game
15.9
45.6
points in paint / game
42.5

Rating Trend

LAC · BKN · 72 days
LA ClippersBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · BKN 3−5
Mar 28, 2025at BKNLAC 132 − 100
Jan 15, 2025at LACLAC 126 − 67
Jan 21, 2024at LACLAC 125 − 114
Nov 8, 2023at BKNBKN 100 − 93
Feb 6, 2023at BKNLAC 124 − 116
Nov 12, 2022at LACBKN 110 − 95
Jan 1, 2022at BKNLAC 120 − 116
Dec 27, 2021at LACBKN 124 − 108

LAC · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Jan 7at NY111 − 123L
Jan 5vs GS103 − 102W
Jan 3vs BOS115 − 146L
Jan 1vs UTAH118 − 101W
Dec 30, 2025vs SAC131 − 90W
Dec 28, 2025vs DET112 − 99W
Dec 26, 2025at POR119 − 103W
Dec 23, 2025vs HOU128 − 108W
Dec 20, 2025vs LAL103 − 88W
Dec 18, 2025at OKC101 − 122L

BKN · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Jan 7vs ORL103 − 104L
Jan 4vs DEN127 − 115W
Jan 2at WSH99 − 119L
Jan 1vs HOU96 − 120L
Dec 29, 2025vs GS107 − 120L
Dec 27, 2025at MIN123 − 107W
Dec 23, 2025at PHI114 − 106W
Dec 21, 2025vs TOR96 − 81W
Dec 18, 2025vs MIA95 − 106L
Dec 14, 2025vs MIL127 − 82W