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Clippers at Pistons

NBA · Saturday, Jan 10 · 6:30 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final LAC 98 – DET 92
← NBA / Jan 10

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC1427273098
DET2827211692
Team box
LAC·DET
31-72
field goals
33-83
11-31
3-pointers
8-35
25-36
free throws
18-25
37
rebounds
47
17
assists
21
22
turnovers
25
40
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC312681
John CollinsLAC372571
Duncan RobinsonDET282021
James HardenLAC371977
Ivica ZubacLAC321761
Ronald Holland IIDET251661

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +19
LAC +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 19 · LAC 6lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 39%, DET 61% · Updated Jan 10

Expected margin
DET by 4.5
Expected score
DET 114.1 – 109.6 LAC
Expected total
223.7
ClippersThe matchupPistons
+159Our fair odds−159
109.6Expected points114.1
+0.14Power rating+0.38
112.3Points / game118.5
114.2Allowed / game111.6
47.6FG%48.5
36.83P%35.5
40.5Rebounds / game46.1
14−23Season record28−9
8−2Last 107−3
Bogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Chris Paul · Derrick Jones Jr.OutJalen Duren · Tobias Harris
Wendell Moore Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · DET chance
Our model fair38.7%61.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+15939%————
DETDetroit Pistons−15961%————
SpreadDET by 4.5
LACLA Clippers+4.5our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−4.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.7
Over223.7our total————
Under223.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 4.5 expected
LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: <1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 1%LA Clippers by 13 points: 1%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 2%LA Clippers by 6 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%
← LAC wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more52%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more37%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.7 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.570%
Total over 223.550%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Detroit Pistons
GJavonte Greenstarted
GJaden Iveystarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
FPaul Reedstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·DET
Jan 9 at BKN
last game
Jan 7 vs CHI
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 10, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hamstring; injury managementOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACKawhi Leonard · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
Detroit Pistons
DETJalen Duren · right ankle; sprainOut
DETTobias Harris · left hip; sprainOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
DETCade Cunningham · right wrist; contusionQuestionable
DETIsaiah Stewart · illness; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 37+ games
LAC·DET
+0.14
rating (0 = average)
+0.38
112.3
points / game
118.5
114.2
points allowed / game
111.6
14−23
season record
28−9
9−9
home record
15−3
5−14
away record
13−6
W1
streak
W3
8−2
last 10
7−3
47.6
FG%
48.5
36.8
3P%
35.5
40.5
rebounds / game
46.1
23.7
assists / game
26.8
15.2
turnovers / game
15.7
45.8
points in paint / game
57.8

Rating Trend

LAC · DET · 73 days
LA ClippersDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · DET 1−8
Dec 28, 2025at LACLAC 112 − 99
Mar 5, 2025at LACLAC 123 − 115
Feb 24, 2025at DETDET 106 − 97
Feb 10, 2024at LACLAC 112 − 106
Feb 2, 2024at DETLAC 136 − 125
Dec 26, 2022at DETLAC 142 − 131
Nov 17, 2022at LACLAC 96 − 91
Mar 13, 2022at DETLAC 106 − 102
Nov 26, 2021at LACLAC 107 − 96

LAC · Last 10

8−2 · streak W1
Jan 9at BKN121 − 105W
Jan 7at NY111 − 123L
Jan 5vs GS103 − 102W
Jan 3vs BOS115 − 146L
Jan 1vs UTAH118 − 101W
Dec 30, 2025vs SAC131 − 90W
Dec 28, 2025vs DET112 − 99W
Dec 26, 2025at POR119 − 103W
Dec 23, 2025vs HOU128 − 108W
Dec 20, 2025vs LAL103 − 88W

DET · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Jan 7vs CHI108 − 93W
Jan 5vs NY121 − 90W
Jan 4at CLE114 − 110W
Jan 1vs MIA112 − 118L
Dec 30, 2025at LAL128 − 106W
Dec 28, 2025at LAC99 − 112L
Dec 26, 2025at UTAH129 − 131L
Dec 23, 2025at SAC136 − 127W
Dec 22, 2025at POR110 − 102W
Dec 20, 2025vs CHA112 − 86W