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Bulls at Pistons

NBA · Wednesday, Jan 7 · 6:00 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final CHI 93 – DET 108
← NBA / Jan 7

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI2426271693
DET30222432108
Team box
CHI·DET
37-87
field goals
45-92
13-34
3-pointers
12-33
6-9
free throws
6-8
45
rebounds
39
27
assists
35
17
turnovers
9
48
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Isaiah StewartDET303131
Ayo DosunmuCHI312413
Nikola VucevicCHI3220164
Matas BuzelisCHI332031
Duncan RobinsonDET231211
Ausar ThompsonDET291183

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +18
CHI +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 18 · CHI 7lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 30%, DET 70% · Updated Jan 7

Expected margin
DET by 7.7
Expected score
DET 122.0 – 114.4 CHI
Expected total
236.4
BullsThe matchupPistons
+230Our fair odds−230
114.4Expected points122.0
−0.24Power rating+0.38
117.8Points / game118.8
121.6Allowed / game112.1
47.3FG%48.5
36.03P%35.4
45.6Rebounds / game46.3
17−19Season record27−9
6−4Last 106−4
Coby White · Emanuel Miller
Jalen Smith · Josh Giddey
Noa EssengueOut (5 each)Bobi Klintman · Isaac Jones
Jalen Duren · Tobias Harris
Wendell Moore Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · DET chance
Our model fair30.3%69.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+23030%————
DETDetroit Pistons−23070%————
SpreadDET by 7.7
CHIChicago Bulls+7.7our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−7.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 236.4
Over236.4our total————
Under236.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 7.7 expected
Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 48 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 49 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 50 points: <1%
← CHI wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more61%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more45%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more31%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

236.4 expected
186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.568%
Total over 236.549%
Total over 246.530%
Total from 227 to 24638%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GKevin Huerterstarted
GTre Jonesstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted
Detroit Pistons
GJaden Iveystarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
FPaul Reedstarted
CIsaiah Stewartstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·DET
Jan 5 at BOS
last game
Jan 5 vs NY
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 7, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHICoby White · right calf; injury managementOut
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHIJalen Smith · n/a; concussionOut
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHITrentyn Flowers · not with teamOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · g league - on assignmentOut
DETIsaac Jones · g league - on assignmentOut
DETJalen Duren · right ankle; sprainOut
DETTobias Harris · left hip; sprainOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
DETCade Cunningham · right wrist; contusionQuestionable
DETCaris LeVert · left knee; tendinopathyProbable
DETDuncan Robinson · left calf; contusionProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 36+ games
CHI·DET
−0.24
rating (0 = average)
+0.38
117.8
points / game
118.8
121.6
points allowed / game
112.1
17−19
season record
27−9
10−9
home record
14−3
7−10
away record
13−6
L2
streak
W2
6−4
last 10
6−4
47.3
FG%
48.5
36.0
3P%
35.4
45.6
rebounds / game
46.3
29.4
assists / game
26.6
14.7
turnovers / game
15.9
54.3
points in paint / game
57.7

Rating Trend

CHI · DET · 70 days
Chicago BullsDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 6−4
Nov 12, 2025at DETDET 124 − 113
Oct 22, 2025at CHICHI 115 − 111
Feb 12, 2025at CHIDET 128 − 110
Feb 11, 2025at CHIDET 132 − 92
Feb 2, 2025at DETDET 127 − 119
Nov 18, 2024at DETCHI 122 − 112
Apr 11, 2024at DETCHI 127 − 105
Feb 27, 2024at CHIDET 105 − 95
Nov 12, 2023at CHICHI 119 − 108
Oct 28, 2023at DETDET 118 − 102

CHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Jan 5at BOS101 − 115L
Jan 3vs CHA99 − 112L
Jan 2vs ORL121 − 114W
Dec 31, 2025vs NO134 − 118W
Dec 29, 2025vs MIN101 − 136L
Dec 27, 2025vs MIL103 − 112L
Dec 26, 2025vs PHI109 − 102W
Dec 23, 2025at ATL126 − 123W
Dec 21, 2025at ATL152 − 150W
Dec 19, 2025at CLE136 − 125W

DET · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Jan 5vs NY121 − 90W
Jan 4at CLE114 − 110W
Jan 1vs MIA112 − 118L
Dec 30, 2025at LAL128 − 106W
Dec 28, 2025at LAC99 − 112L
Dec 26, 2025at UTAH129 − 131L
Dec 23, 2025at SAC136 − 127W
Dec 22, 2025at POR110 − 102W
Dec 20, 2025vs CHA112 − 86W
Dec 18, 2025at DAL114 − 116L