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Bulls at Celtics

NBA · Monday, Jan 5 · 6:30 PM CT · TD Garden · Final CHI 101 – BOS 115
← NBA / Jan 5

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI14193434101
BOS31233130115
Team box
CHI·BOS
38-86
field goals
42-104
16-46
3-pointers
20-52
9-10
free throws
11-13
45
rebounds
54
25
assists
22
13
turnovers
8
36
points in paint
34
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Anfernee SimonsBOS272733
Matas BuzelisCHI312632
Payton PritchardBOS312165
Nikola VucevicCHI3615157
Ayo DosunmuCHI281535
Jaylen BrownBOS351484

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +23
CHI +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 23 · CHI 3lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 23%, BOS 77% · Updated Jan 5

Expected margin
BOS by 12.0
Expected score
BOS 121.2 – 109.2 CHI
Expected total
230.5
BullsThe matchupCeltics
+340Our fair odds−340
109.2Expected points121.2
−0.25Power rating+0.77
118.3Points / game117.9
121.8Allowed / game110.7
47.4FG%47.8
36.03P%36.8
45.6Rebounds / game43.8
17−18Season record22−12
7−3Last 107−3
Emanuel Miller · Jalen Smith
Josh Giddey · Noa Essengue
Trentyn FlowersOutJayson Tatum

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · BOS chance
Our model fair22.7%77.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+34023%————
BOSBoston Celtics−34077%————
SpreadBOS by 12.0
CHIChicago Bulls+12our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−12our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.5
Over230.5our total————
Under230.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 12.0 expected
Chicago Bulls by 53 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 52 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 51 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 53 points: <1%
← CHI wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more71%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more57%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more41%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.5 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.569%
Total over 230.549%
Total over 240.530%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GKevin Huerterstarted
GTre Jonesstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·BOS
Jan 3 vs CHA
last game
Jan 3 at LAC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 5, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHIJalen Smith · head; concussionOut
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHITrentyn Flowers · right knee; sprainOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut
CHICoby White · right calf; injury managementProbable
Boston Celtics
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 34+ games
CHI·BOS
−0.25
rating (0 = average)
+0.77
118.3
points / game
117.9
121.8
points allowed / game
110.7
17−18
season record
22−12
10−9
home record
10−5
7−9
away record
12−7
L1
streak
W3
7−3
last 10
7−3
47.4
FG%
47.8
36.0
3P%
36.8
45.6
rebounds / game
43.8
29.5
assists / game
24.1
14.7
turnovers / game
12.0
54.8
points in paint / game
43.9

Rating Trend

CHI · BOS · 68 days
Chicago BullsBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 8−2
Jan 29, 2025at BOSBOS 122 − 100
Dec 21, 2024at CHIBOS 123 − 98
Dec 19, 2024at BOSCHI 117 − 108
Nov 29, 2024at CHIBOS 138 − 129
Mar 23, 2024at CHIBOS 124 − 113
Feb 22, 2024at CHIBOS 129 − 112
Nov 28, 2023at BOSBOS 124 − 97
Jan 9, 2023at BOSBOS 107 − 99
Nov 21, 2022at CHICHI 121 − 107
Nov 4, 2022at BOSBOS 123 − 119

CHI · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Jan 3vs CHA99 − 112L
Jan 2vs ORL121 − 114W
Dec 31, 2025vs NO134 − 118W
Dec 29, 2025vs MIN101 − 136L
Dec 27, 2025vs MIL103 − 112L
Dec 26, 2025vs PHI109 − 102W
Dec 23, 2025at ATL126 − 123W
Dec 21, 2025at ATL152 − 150W
Dec 19, 2025at CLE136 − 125W
Dec 17, 2025vs CLE127 − 111W

BOS · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Jan 3at LAC146 − 115W
Jan 1at SAC120 − 106W
Dec 30, 2025at UTAH129 − 119W
Dec 28, 2025at POR108 − 114L
Dec 26, 2025at IND140 − 122W
Dec 22, 2025vs IND103 − 95W
Dec 20, 2025at TOR112 − 96W
Dec 19, 2025vs MIA129 − 116W
Dec 15, 2025vs DET105 − 112L
Dec 11, 2025at MIL101 − 116L