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Raptors at Celtics

NBA · Friday, Jan 9 · 6:00 PM CT · TD Garden · Final TOR 117 – BOS 125
← NBA / Jan 9

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR30302631117
BOS37312928125
Team box
TOR·BOS
45-92
field goals
47-87
18-47
3-pointers
14-28
9-10
free throws
17-19
31
rebounds
40
39
assists
28
7
turnovers
10
50
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Payton PritchardBOS302758
Jaylen BrownBOS372587
RJ BarrettTOR281947
Sam HauserBOS321952
Ja'Kobe WalterTOR311961
Derrick WhiteBOS381835

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +20
TOR +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 20 · TOR 1lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 24%, BOS 76% · Updated Jan 9

Expected margin
BOS by 11.2
Expected score
BOS 115.6 – 104.4 TOR
Expected total
220.0
RaptorsThe matchupCeltics
+318Our fair odds−318
104.4Expected points115.6
−0.12Power rating+0.83
114.0Points / game117.6
111.9Allowed / game110.6
47.4FG%47.5
34.83P%36.9
43.4Rebounds / game44.4
23−15Season record23−13
6−4Last 108−2
Chucky Hepburn · Jakob PoeltlOutAmari Williams · Jayson Tatum
Josh Minott · Max Shulga
Ron Harper Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · BOS chance
Our model fair23.9%76.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors+31824%————
BOSBoston Celtics−31876%————
SpreadBOS by 11.2
TORToronto Raptors+11.2our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−11.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.0
Over220.0our total————
Under220.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 11.2 expected
Toronto Raptors by 53 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 52 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 51 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 50 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 49 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 48 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 53 points: <1%
← TOR wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more69%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more54%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more39%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.0 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.568%
Total over 220.549%
Total over 230.529%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
GJa'Kobe Walterstarted
FSandro Mamukelashvilistarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FCollin Murray-Boylesstarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·BOS
Jan 7 at CHA
last game
Jan 7 vs DEN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 9, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJakob Poeltl · back; lower - strainOut
TORScottie Barnes · right knee; sprainDoubtful
TORBrandon Ingram · right thumb; sprainQuestionable
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSJosh Minott · left ankle; sprainOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSRon Harper Jr. · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 36+ games
TOR·BOS
−0.12
rating (0 = average)
+0.83
114.0
points / game
117.6
111.9
points allowed / game
110.6
23−15
season record
23−13
12−8
home record
11−6
11−7
away record
12−7
W3
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
8−2
47.4
FG%
47.5
34.8
3P%
36.9
43.4
rebounds / game
44.4
29.1
assists / game
23.8
14.1
turnovers / game
11.9
52.6
points in paint / game
43.7

Rating Trend

TOR · BOS · 72 days
Toronto RaptorsBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 9−1
Dec 20, 2025at TORBOS 112 − 96
Dec 7, 2025at TORBOS 121 − 113
Feb 25, 2025at TORBOS 111 − 101
Jan 15, 2025at TORTOR 110 − 97
Dec 31, 2024at BOSBOS 125 − 71
Nov 16, 2024at BOSBOS 126 − 123
Jan 15, 2024at TORBOS 105 − 96
Dec 29, 2023at BOSBOS 120 − 118
Nov 17, 2023at TORBOS 108 − 105
Nov 11, 2023at BOSBOS 117 − 94

TOR · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Jan 7at CHA97 − 96W
Jan 5vs ATL118 − 100W
Jan 3vs ATL134 − 117W
Dec 31, 2025vs DEN103 − 106L
Dec 29, 2025vs ORL107 − 106W
Dec 28, 2025vs GS141 − 127W
Dec 26, 2025at WSH117 − 138L
Dec 23, 2025at MIA112 − 91W
Dec 21, 2025at BKN81 − 96L
Dec 20, 2025vs BOS96 − 112L

BOS · Last 10

8−2 · streak L1
Jan 7vs DEN110 − 114L
Jan 5vs CHI115 − 101W
Jan 3at LAC146 − 115W
Jan 1at SAC120 − 106W
Dec 30, 2025at UTAH129 − 119W
Dec 28, 2025at POR108 − 114L
Dec 26, 2025at IND140 − 122W
Dec 22, 2025vs IND103 − 95W
Dec 20, 2025at TOR112 − 96W
Dec 19, 2025vs MIA129 − 116W