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Raptors at Lakers

NBA · Sunday, Jan 18 · 8:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final TOR 93 – LAL 110
← NBA / Jan 18

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR3024261393
LAL23323223110
Team box
TOR·LAL
38-91
field goals
41-85
7-32
3-pointers
14-36
10-15
free throws
14-17
43
rebounds
48
30
assists
25
10
turnovers
15
48
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Deandre AytonLAL3325131
Luka DoncicLAL342527
LeBron JamesLAL322447
Scottie BarnesTOR352293
Sandro MamukelashviliTOR242062
Brandon IngramTOR341967

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +19
TOR +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 19 · TOR 9lead changes: 13

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 38%, LAL 62% · Updated Jan 18

Expected margin
LAL by 3.6
Expected score
LAL 114.5 – 111.0 TOR
Expected total
225.5
RaptorsThe matchupLakers
+164Our fair odds−164
111.0Expected points114.5
−0.13Power rating+0.14
114.0Points / game116.5
112.3Allowed / game117.3
47.2FG%49.8
34.03P%34.8
43.0Rebounds / game41.0
25−18Season record24−16
6−4Last 104−6
Chucky Hepburn · Ja'Kobe Walter
Jakob Poeltl · RJ BarrettOutAdou Thiero · Austin Reaves

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · LAL chance
Our model fair37.9%62.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors+16438%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−16462%————
SpreadLAL by 3.6
TORToronto Raptors+3.6our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−3.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.5
Over225.5our total————
Under225.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 3.6 expected
Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%
← TOR wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more50%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more35%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

225.5 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.569%
Total over 225.549%
Total over 235.530%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
GOchai Agbajistarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
FCollin Murray-Boylesstarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·LAL
Jan 16 vs LAC
last game
Jan 17 at POR
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 18, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJa'Kobe Walter · right hip; pointerOut
TORJakob Poeltl · lower back; strainOut
TORRJ Barrett · left ankle; sprainOut
TORImmanuel Quickley · back; spasmsQuestionable
TORJamison Battle · left ankle; sprainProbable
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · right mcl; sprainOut
LALAustin Reaves · left calf; strainOut
LALLeBron James · left foot joint arthritis; and right sciaticaQuestionable
LALLuka Doncic · left groin; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 40+ games
TOR·LAL
−0.13
rating (0 = average)
+0.14
114.0
points / game
116.5
112.3
points allowed / game
117.3
25−18
season record
24−16
13−10
home record
11−8
12−8
away record
13−8
L1
streak
L2
6−4
last 10
4−6
47.2
FG%
49.8
34.0
3P%
34.8
43.0
rebounds / game
41.0
29.4
assists / game
24.9
13.9
turnovers / game
15.2
52.7
points in paint / game
51.4

Rating Trend

TOR · LAL · 81 days
Toronto RaptorsLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAL 7−2
Dec 4, 2025at TORLAL 123 − 120
Nov 10, 2024at LALLAL 123 − 103
Nov 1, 2024at TORLAL 131 − 125
Apr 2, 2024at TORLAL 128 − 111
Jan 9, 2024at LALLAL 132 − 131
Mar 10, 2023at LALLAL 122 − 112
Dec 7, 2022at TORTOR 126 − 113
Mar 18, 2022at TORLAL 128 − 123
Mar 14, 2022at LALTOR 114 − 103

TOR · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Jan 16vs LAC117 − 121L
Jan 14at IND115 − 101W
Jan 12vs PHI102 − 115L
Jan 11vs PHI116 − 115W
Jan 9at BOS117 − 125L
Jan 7at CHA97 − 96W
Jan 5vs ATL118 − 100W
Jan 3vs ATL134 − 117W
Dec 31, 2025vs DEN103 − 106L
Dec 29, 2025vs ORL107 − 106W

LAL · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Jan 17at POR116 − 132L
Jan 15vs CHA117 − 135L
Jan 13vs ATL141 − 116W
Jan 12at SAC112 − 124L
Jan 9vs MIL101 − 105L
Jan 7at SA91 − 107L
Jan 6at NO111 − 103W
Jan 4vs MEM120 − 114W
Jan 2vs MEM128 − 121W
Dec 30, 2025vs DET106 − 128L