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Trail Blazers at Kings

NBA · Sunday, Jan 18 · 8:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final POR 117 – SAC 110
← NBA / Jan 18

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR32322924117
SAC32212928110
Team box
POR·SAC
40-83
field goals
42-86
8-32
3-pointers
11-31
29-33
free throws
15-18
43
rebounds
40
18
assists
29
15
turnovers
16
62
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Deni AvdijaPOR323088
Shaedon SharpePOR342770
Russell WestbrookSAC342337
Malik MonkSAC262312
Donovan ClinganPOR3721173
Zach LaVineSAC291801

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +14
POR +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 2 · POR 14lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 52%, SAC 48% · Updated Jan 18

Expected margin
POR by 1.6
Expected score
POR 116.7 – 115.1 SAC
Expected total
231.8
Trail BlazersThe matchupKings
−109Our fair odds+109
116.7Expected points115.1
−0.16Power rating−0.48
116.2Points / game110.6
118.4Allowed / game120.6
45.0FG%46.6
33.93P%35.1
45.3Rebounds / game40.7
21−22Season record12−30
7−3Last 104−6
Blake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Kris Murray · Matisse Thybulle
Scoot HendersonOutDaeqwon Plowden · Isaiah Stevens
Keegan Murray · Keon Ellis

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · SAC chance
Our model fair52.1%47.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers−10952%————
SACSacramento Kings+10948%————
SpreadPOR by 1.6
PORPortland Trail Blazers−1.6our margin————
SACSacramento Kings+1.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.8
Over231.8our total————
Under231.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Portland Trail Blazers by 1.6 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%
← POR wins bySAC wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more44%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more30%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.8 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.569%
Total over 231.550%
Total over 241.530%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GShaedon Sharpestarted
GSidy Cissokostarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·SAC
Jan 17 vs LAL
last game
Jan 16 vs WSH
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 18, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORKris Murray · lumbar; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · right knee; tendinopathyOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORJerami Grant · left achilles; injury managementDoubtful
PORJrue Holiday · right calf; injury managementDoubtful
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementDoubtful
PORDeni Avdija · low back; strainQuestionable
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACKeon Ellis · left knee; sorenessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 42+ games
POR·SAC
−0.16
rating (0 = average)
−0.48
116.2
points / game
110.6
118.4
points allowed / game
120.6
21−22
season record
12−30
12−10
home record
9−13
9−12
away record
3−17
W2
streak
W4
7−3
last 10
4−6
45.0
FG%
46.6
33.9
3P%
35.1
45.3
rebounds / game
40.7
24.6
assists / game
25.1
16.8
turnovers / game
14.4
47.9
points in paint / game
48.1

Rating Trend

POR · SAC · 81 days
Portland Trail BlazersSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SAC 5−5
Dec 20, 2025at SACPOR 98 − 93
Dec 18, 2025at PORPOR 134 − 133
Mar 27, 2025at SACSAC 128 − 107
Feb 6, 2025at PORPOR 108 − 102
Nov 29, 2024at PORPOR 115 − 106
Oct 28, 2024at SACSAC 111 − 98
Apr 14, 2024at SACSAC 121 − 82
Dec 26, 2023at PORPOR 130 − 113
Nov 8, 2023at SACSAC 121 − 118
Mar 31, 2023at PORSAC 138 − 114

POR · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Jan 17vs LAL132 − 116W
Jan 15vs ATL117 − 101W
Jan 13at GS97 − 119L
Jan 11vs NY114 − 123L
Jan 9vs HOU111 − 105W
Jan 7vs HOU103 − 102W
Jan 5vs UTAH137 − 117W
Jan 3at SA115 − 110W
Jan 2at NO122 − 109W
Dec 31, 2025at OKC95 − 124L

SAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak W4
Jan 16vs WSH128 − 115W
Jan 14vs NY112 − 101W
Jan 12vs LAL124 − 112W
Jan 11vs HOU111 − 98W
Jan 9at GS103 − 137L
Jan 6vs DAL98 − 100L
Jan 4vs MIL98 − 115L
Jan 2at PHX102 − 129L
Jan 1vs BOS106 − 120L
Dec 30, 2025at LAC90 − 131L