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Trail Blazers at Celtics

NBA · Monday, Jan 26 · 7:00 PM CT · TD Garden · Final POR 94 – BOS 102
← NBA / Jan 26

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR1126282994
BOS32202327102
Team box
POR·BOS
32-78
field goals
39-90
10-40
3-pointers
13-34
20-30
free throws
11-18
46
rebounds
41
17
assists
24
18
turnovers
17
36
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Payton PritchardBOS352343
Jaylen BrownBOS362084
Jerami GrantPOR271923
Toumani CamaraPOR361881
Derrick WhiteBOS341844
Jrue HolidayPOR241433

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +23
POR +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 23 · POR 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 25%, BOS 75% · Updated Jan 26

Expected margin
BOS by 11.3
Expected score
BOS 117.2 – 105.9 POR
Expected total
223.1
Trail BlazersThe matchupCeltics
+298Our fair odds−298
105.9Expected points117.2
−0.10Power rating+0.77
116.1Points / game116.9
117.8Allowed / game110.3
45.1FG%47.2
33.73P%36.9
45.3Rebounds / game44.9
23−23Season record28−17
7−3Last 105−5
Blake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Duop Reath · Kris Murray
Matisse ThybulleOutJayson Tatum

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · BOS chance
Our model fair25.1%74.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+29825%————
BOSBoston Celtics−29875%————
SpreadBOS by 11.3
PORPortland Trail Blazers+11.3our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−11.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.1
Over223.1our total————
Under223.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 11.3 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 53 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 52 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 51 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 50 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 49 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 48 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 47 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 53 points: <1%
← POR wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more69%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more55%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.1 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.568%
Total over 223.549%
Total over 233.529%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GShaedon Sharpestarted
GSidy Cissokostarted
FToumani Camarastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·BOS
Jan 23 vs TOR
last game
Jan 24 at CHI
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 26, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORDuop Reath · right foot; sorenessOut
PORKris Murray · lumbar; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · right knee; tendinopathyOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORDeni Avdija · lower back; strainQuestionable
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementQuestionable
Boston Celtics
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSJosh Minott · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
BOSLuka Garza · illness; non-covidQuestionable
BOSNeemias Queta · illness; non-covidQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 45+ games
POR·BOS
−0.10
rating (0 = average)
+0.77
116.1
points / game
116.9
117.8
points allowed / game
110.3
23−23
season record
28−17
13−11
home record
13−7
10−12
away record
15−10
L1
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
5−5
45.1
FG%
47.2
33.7
3P%
36.9
45.3
rebounds / game
44.9
24.4
assists / game
24.0
16.8
turnovers / game
11.9
48.3
points in paint / game
44.4

Rating Trend

POR · BOS · 89 days
Portland Trail BlazersBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · BOS 7−2
Dec 28, 2025at PORPOR 114 − 108
Mar 23, 2025at PORBOS 129 − 116
Mar 5, 2025at BOSBOS 128 − 118
Apr 7, 2024at BOSBOS 124 − 107
Mar 11, 2024at PORBOS 121 − 99
Mar 17, 2023at PORBOS 126 − 112
Mar 8, 2023at BOSBOS 115 − 93
Jan 21, 2022at BOSPOR 109 − 105
Dec 4, 2021at PORBOS 145 − 117

POR · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Jan 23vs TOR98 − 110L
Jan 22vs MIA127 − 110W
Jan 18at SAC117 − 110W
Jan 17vs LAL132 − 116W
Jan 15vs ATL117 − 101W
Jan 13at GS97 − 119L
Jan 11vs NY114 − 123L
Jan 9vs HOU111 − 105W
Jan 7vs HOU103 − 102W
Jan 5vs UTAH137 − 117W

BOS · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Jan 24at CHI111 − 114L
Jan 23at BKN130 − 126W
Jan 21vs IND119 − 104W
Jan 19at DET103 − 104L
Jan 17at ATL132 − 106W
Jan 15at MIA119 − 114W
Jan 12at IND96 − 98L
Jan 10vs SA95 − 100L
Jan 9vs TOR125 − 117W
Jan 7vs DEN110 − 114L