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Celtics at Bulls

NBA · Saturday, Jan 24 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final BOS 111 – CHI 114
← NBA / Jan 24

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS28302726111
CHI30223626114
Team box
BOS·CHI
44-99
field goals
43-85
15-47
3-pointers
21-45
8-9
free throws
7-8
38
rebounds
44
28
assists
32
6
turnovers
15
52
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaylen BrownBOS373385
Coby WhiteCHI322217
Anfernee SimonsBOS282145
Nikola VucevicCHI351676
Derrick WhiteBOS391577
Matas BuzelisCHI321485

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +8
BOS +8
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 8 · BOS 8lead changes: 21

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 68%, CHI 32% · Updated Jan 24

Expected margin
BOS by 7.2
Expected score
BOS 119.4 – 112.2 CHI
Expected total
231.7
CelticsThe matchupBulls
−208Our fair odds+208
119.4Expected points112.2
+0.77Power rating−0.22
117.1Points / game118.0
110.2Allowed / game119.9
47.3FG%47.6
37.03P%36.6
45.0Rebounds / game45.3
28−16Season record22−22
6−4Last 105−5
Jayson Tatum · Josh Minott
Max ShulgaOutEmanuel Miller · Noa Essengue
Tre Jones · Yuki Kawamura
Zach Collins

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · CHI chance
Our model fair67.6%32.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−20868%————
CHIChicago Bulls+20832%————
SpreadBOS by 7.2
BOSBoston Celtics−7.2our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+7.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.7
Over231.7our total————
Under231.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 7.2 expected
Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%
← BOS wins byCHI wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more60%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more44%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more29%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.7 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.569%
Total over 231.550%
Total over 241.530%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
FAmari Williamsstarted
Chicago Bulls
GCoby Whitestarted
FJalen Smithstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·CHI
Jan 23 at BKN
last game
Jan 22 at MIN
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 24, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSJosh Minott · left ankle; sprainOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJaylen Brown · left hamstring; tightnessProbable
BOSNeemias Queta · illness; non-covidProbable
Chicago Bulls
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHITre Jones · left hamstring; strainOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 44+ games
BOS·CHI
+0.77
rating (0 = average)
−0.22
117.1
points / game
118.0
110.2
points allowed / game
119.9
28−16
season record
22−22
13−7
home record
14−9
15−9
away record
8−13
W2
streak
W3
6−4
last 10
5−5
47.3
FG%
47.6
37.0
3P%
36.6
45.0
rebounds / game
45.3
23.9
assists / game
29.9
12.0
turnovers / game
13.9
44.3
points in paint / game
54.4

Rating Trend

BOS · CHI · 87 days
Boston CelticsChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 2−8
Jan 5at BOSBOS 115 − 101
Jan 29, 2025at BOSBOS 122 − 100
Dec 21, 2024at CHIBOS 123 − 98
Dec 19, 2024at BOSCHI 117 − 108
Nov 29, 2024at CHIBOS 138 − 129
Mar 23, 2024at CHIBOS 124 − 113
Feb 22, 2024at CHIBOS 129 − 112
Nov 28, 2023at BOSBOS 124 − 97
Jan 9, 2023at BOSBOS 107 − 99
Nov 21, 2022at CHICHI 121 − 107

BOS · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Jan 23at BKN130 − 126W
Jan 21vs IND119 − 104W
Jan 19at DET103 − 104L
Jan 17at ATL132 − 106W
Jan 15at MIA119 − 114W
Jan 12at IND96 − 98L
Jan 10vs SA95 − 100L
Jan 9vs TOR125 − 117W
Jan 7vs DEN110 − 114L
Jan 5vs CHI115 − 101W

CHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Jan 22at MIN120 − 115W
Jan 20vs LAC138 − 110W
Jan 18vs BKN124 − 102W
Jan 16at BKN109 − 112L
Jan 14vs UTAH128 − 126W
Jan 13at HOU113 − 119L
Jan 10vs DAL125 − 107W
Jan 7at DET93 − 108L
Jan 5at BOS101 − 115L
Jan 3vs CHA99 − 112L