bayesRatings

Bulls at Nets

NBA · Friday, Jan 16 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final CHI 109 – BKN 112

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI23173237109
BKN27303223112
Team box
CHI·BKN
41-86
field goals
39-91
11-35
3-pointers
19-40
16-20
free throws
15-17
41
rebounds
47
28
assists
30
8
turnovers
14
54
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN322671
Noah ClowneyBKN2823111
Nikola VucevicCHI331965
Ayo DosunmuCHI201811
Coby WhiteCHI331744
Matas BuzelisCHI321563

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +20
CHI +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 20 · CHI 2lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 56%, BKN 44% · Updated Jan 16

Expected margin
CHI by 2.0
Expected score
CHI 114.4 – 112.4 BKN
Expected total
226.8
BullsThe matchupNets
−127Our fair odds+127
114.4Expected points112.4
−0.22Power rating−0.68
117.5Points / game108.8
120.9Allowed / game113.9
47.3FG%44.8
36.03P%34.3
45.5Rebounds / game40.2
19−21Season record11−27
4−6Last 102−8
Emanuel Miller · Josh Giddey
Lachlan Olbrich · Noa Essengue
Yuki Kawamura
Out (5 each)Ben Saraf · Chaney Johnson
E.J. Liddell · Haywood Highsmith
Tyson Etienne

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · BKN chance
Our model fair55.9%44.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls−12756%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+12744%————
SpreadCHI by 2.0
CHIChicago Bulls−2our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+2our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.8
Over226.8our total————
Under226.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 2.0 expected
Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%
← CHI wins byBKN wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more45%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more31%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

226.8 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.570%
Total over 226.550%
Total over 236.530%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GCoby Whitestarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
Brooklyn Nets
GDrake Powellstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·BKN
Jan 14 vs UTAH
last game
Jan 14 at NO
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 16, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strainOut
CHILachlan Olbrich · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut
CHIJulian Phillips · right wrist; sprainQuestionable
CHIKevin Huerter · right hip flexor; tightnessProbable
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut
BKNZiaire Williams · return to competition reconditioningOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 38+ games
CHI·BKN
−0.22
rating (0 = average)
−0.68
117.5
points / game
108.8
120.9
points allowed / game
113.9
19−21
season record
11−27
12−9
home record
5−15
7−12
away record
6−12
W1
streak
L5
4−6
last 10
2−8
47.3
FG%
44.8
36.0
3P%
34.3
45.5
rebounds / game
40.2
29.4
assists / game
25.3
14.5
turnovers / game
15.5
54.6
points in paint / game
42.9

Rating Trend

CHI · BKN · 79 days
Chicago BullsBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 6−4
Dec 3, 2025at CHIBKN 113 − 103
Mar 13, 2025at CHICHI 116 − 110
Dec 2, 2024at CHICHI 128 − 102
Nov 1, 2024at BKNBKN 120 − 112
Mar 29, 2024at BKNBKN 125 − 108
Nov 26, 2023at BKNBKN 118 − 109
Nov 3, 2023at CHIBKN 109 − 107
Feb 24, 2023at CHICHI 131 − 87
Feb 9, 2023at BKNBKN 116 − 105
Jan 4, 2023at CHICHI 121 − 112

CHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Jan 14vs UTAH128 − 126W
Jan 13at HOU113 − 119L
Jan 10vs DAL125 − 107W
Jan 7at DET93 − 108L
Jan 5at BOS101 − 115L
Jan 3vs CHA99 − 112L
Jan 2vs ORL121 − 114W
Dec 31, 2025vs NO134 − 118W
Dec 29, 2025vs MIN101 − 136L
Dec 27, 2025vs MIL103 − 112L

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L5
Jan 14at NO113 − 116L
Jan 12at DAL105 − 113L
Jan 11at MEM98 − 103L
Jan 9vs LAC105 − 121L
Jan 7vs ORL103 − 104L
Jan 4vs DEN127 − 115W
Jan 2at WSH99 − 119L
Jan 1vs HOU96 − 120L
Dec 29, 2025vs GS107 − 120L
Dec 27, 2025at MIN123 − 107W