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Nets at Pelicans

NBA · Wednesday, Jan 14 · 7:00 PM CT · Smoothie King Center · Final BKN 113 – NO 116

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN31243226113
NO27273329116
Team box
BKN·NO
45-95
field goals
43-97
16-43
3-pointers
11-33
7-12
free throws
19-25
43
rebounds
53
24
assists
24
11
turnovers
9
52
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Trey Murphy IIINO383495
Zion WilliamsonNO302562
Michael Porter Jr.BKN322071
Egor DeminBKN291705
Drake PowellBKN241652
Cam ThomasBKN241615

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NO +12
BKN +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NO 4 · BKN 12lead changes: 16

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 47%, NO 53% · Updated Jan 14

Expected margin
NO by 0.2
Expected score
NO 112.3 – 112.1 BKN
Expected total
224.4
NetsThe matchupPelicans
+112Our fair odds−112
112.1Expected points112.3
−0.68Power rating−0.80
108.7Points / game114.9
113.8Allowed / game122.4
44.8FG%46.4
34.23P%34.2
40.1Rebounds / game43.2
11−26Season record9−33
3−7Last 101−9
Ben Saraf · E.J. Liddell
Haywood Highsmith · Ziaire Williams
Out (4 each)Dejounte Murray · Herbert Jones
Hunter Dickinson · Jose Alvarado

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · NO chance
Our model fair47.2%52.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+11247%————
NONew Orleans Pelicans−11253%————
SpreadNO by 0.2
BKNBrooklyn Nets+0.2our margin————
NONew Orleans Pelicans−0.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.4
Over224.4our total————
Under224.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New Orleans Pelicans by 0.2 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%
← BKN wins byNO wins by →
New Orleans Pelicans wins by 5 or more41%
New Orleans Pelicans wins by 10 or more27%
New Orleans Pelicans wins by 15 or more16%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

224.4 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.569%
Total over 224.549%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GDrake Powellstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
New Orleans Pelicans
GSaddiq Beystarted
CDerik Queenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·NO
Jan 12 at DAL
last game
Jan 13 vs DEN
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 14, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNZiaire Williams · n/a; illnessOut
New Orleans Pelicans
NODejounte Murray · right achilles; ruptureOut
NOHerbert Jones · right ankle; sprainOut
NOHunter Dickinson · g league - two-wayOut
NOJose Alvarado · left oblique; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 37+ games
BKN·NO
−0.68
rating (0 = average)
−0.80
108.7
points / game
114.9
113.8
points allowed / game
122.4
11−26
season record
9−33
5−15
home record
6−18
6−11
away record
3−15
L4
streak
L2
3−7
last 10
1−9
44.8
FG%
46.4
34.2
3P%
34.2
40.1
rebounds / game
43.2
25.3
assists / game
24.9
15.6
turnovers / game
14.9
42.6
points in paint / game
58.0

Rating Trend

BKN · NO · 77 days
Brooklyn NetsNew Orleans Pelicans
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · NO 3−6
Dec 6, 2025at BKNBKN 119 − 101
Apr 8, 2025at BKNBKN 119 − 114
Nov 11, 2024at NOBKN 107 − 105
Mar 19, 2024at BKNNO 104 − 91
Jan 2, 2024at NONO 112 − 85
Jan 6, 2023at NOBKN 108 − 102
Oct 19, 2022at BKNNO 130 − 108
Jan 15, 2022at BKNBKN 120 − 105
Nov 12, 2021at NOBKN 120 − 112

BKN · Last 10

3−7 · streak L4
Jan 12at DAL105 − 113L
Jan 11at MEM98 − 103L
Jan 9vs LAC105 − 121L
Jan 7vs ORL103 − 104L
Jan 4vs DEN127 − 115W
Jan 2at WSH99 − 119L
Jan 1vs HOU96 − 120L
Dec 29, 2025vs GS107 − 120L
Dec 27, 2025at MIN123 − 107W
Dec 23, 2025at PHI114 − 106W

NO · Last 10

1−9 · streak L2
Jan 13vs DEN116 − 122L
Jan 11at ORL118 − 128L
Jan 9at WSH128 − 107W
Jan 7at ATL100 − 117L
Jan 6vs LAL103 − 111L
Jan 4at MIA106 − 125L
Jan 2vs POR109 − 122L
Dec 31, 2025at CHI118 − 134L
Dec 29, 2025vs NY125 − 130L
Dec 27, 2025vs PHX114 − 123L