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Nets at Mavericks

NBA · Monday, Jan 12 · 7:30 PM CT · American Airlines Center · Final BKN 105 – DAL 113
← NBA / Jan 12

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN23223228105
DAL32242829113
Team box
BKN·DAL
39-86
field goals
43-85
9-37
3-pointers
15-34
18-20
free throws
12-16
43
rebounds
37
23
assists
28
17
turnovers
14
54
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN332893
Cooper FlaggDAL352755
Naji MarshallDAL322249
Klay ThompsonDAL271821
Day'Ron SharpeBKN2314120
Jaden HardyDAL221420

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DAL +14
BKN +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DAL 14 · BKN 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 35%, DAL 65% · Updated Jan 12

Expected margin
DAL by 4.8
Expected score
DAL 112.6 – 107.8 BKN
Expected total
220.4
NetsThe matchupMavericks
+184Our fair odds−184
107.8Expected points112.6
−0.62Power rating−0.23
108.8Points / game113.0
113.9Allowed / game117.1
44.8FG%47.0
34.53P%33.5
40.0Rebounds / game44.7
11−25Season record14−25
4−6Last 103−7
Ben Saraf · Cam Thomas
E.J. Liddell · Egor Demin
Haywood HighsmithOutAnthony Davis · Dante Exum
Dereck Lively II · Kyrie Irving

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · DAL chance
Our model fair35.2%64.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+18435%————
DALDallas Mavericks−18465%————
SpreadDAL by 4.8
BKNBrooklyn Nets+4.8our margin————
DALDallas Mavericks−4.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.4
Over220.4our total————
Under220.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Dallas Mavericks by 4.8 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 43 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 44 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 45 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 46 points: <1%
← BKN wins byDAL wins by →
Dallas Mavericks wins by 5 or more53%
Dallas Mavericks wins by 10 or more38%
Dallas Mavericks wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.4 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.569%
Total over 220.549%
Total over 230.530%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GDrake Powellstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Dallas Mavericks
GMax Christiestarted
GJaden Hardystarted
FDwight Powellstarted
FNaji Marshallstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·DAL
Jan 11 at MEM
last game
Jan 10 at CHI
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 12, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; injury managementOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNEgor Demin · left plantar fascia; injury managementOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNZiaire Williams · n/a; illnessOut
Dallas Mavericks
DALAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
DALDante Exum · right knee; surgeryOut
DALDereck Lively II · right foot; surgeryOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
DALBrandon Williams · illness; illnessDoubtful
DALP.J. Washington · right ankle; sprainDoubtful
DALDaniel Gafford · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
DALMiles Kelly · g league - two-wayQuestionable
DALMoussa Cisse · right shoulder; sprainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 36+ games
BKN·DAL
−0.62
rating (0 = average)
−0.23
108.8
points / game
113.0
113.9
points allowed / game
117.1
11−25
season record
14−25
5−15
home record
10−10
6−10
away record
4−15
L3
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
3−7
44.8
FG%
47.0
34.5
3P%
33.5
40.0
rebounds / game
44.7
25.4
assists / game
25.1
15.6
turnovers / game
15.5
42.3
points in paint / game
53.3

Rating Trend

BKN · DAL · 75 days
Brooklyn NetsDallas Mavericks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · DAL 7−2
Dec 12, 2025at DALDAL 119 − 111
Mar 31, 2025at DALBKN 113 − 109
Mar 24, 2025at BKNDAL 120 − 101
Feb 6, 2024at BKNDAL 119 − 107
Oct 27, 2023at DALDAL 125 − 120
Nov 7, 2022at DALDAL 96 − 94
Oct 27, 2022at BKNDAL 129 − 125
Mar 16, 2022at BKNDAL 113 − 111
Dec 7, 2021at DALBKN 102 − 99

BKN · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Jan 11at MEM98 − 103L
Jan 9vs LAC105 − 121L
Jan 7vs ORL103 − 104L
Jan 4vs DEN127 − 115W
Jan 2at WSH99 − 119L
Jan 1vs HOU96 − 120L
Dec 29, 2025vs GS107 − 120L
Dec 27, 2025at MIN123 − 107W
Dec 23, 2025at PHI114 − 106W
Dec 21, 2025vs TOR96 − 81W

DAL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Jan 10at CHI107 − 125L
Jan 8at UTAH114 − 116L
Jan 6at SAC100 − 98W
Jan 3vs HOU110 − 104W
Jan 1vs PHI108 − 123L
Dec 29, 2025at POR122 − 125L
Dec 27, 2025at SAC107 − 113L
Dec 25, 2025at GS116 − 126L
Dec 23, 2025vs DEN131 − 130W
Dec 22, 2025at NO113 − 119L