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Mavericks at Bulls

NBA · Saturday, Jan 10 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final DAL 107 – CHI 125
← NBA / Jan 10

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DAL28272428107
CHI36302831125
Team box
DAL·CHI
39-91
field goals
50-97
13-35
3-pointers
15-46
16-25
free throws
10-12
42
rebounds
52
25
assists
31
14
turnovers
16
44
points in paint
68
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Coby WhiteCHI292243
Ayo DosunmuCHI262048
Ryan NembhardDAL291636
Nikola VucevicCHI2915123
Matas BuzelisCHI251562
Naji MarshallDAL241443

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +27
DAL +27
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 27 · DAL 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 45%, CHI 55% · Updated Jan 10

Expected margin
CHI by 1.4
Expected score
CHI 119.6 – 118.2 DAL
Expected total
237.8
MavericksThe matchupBulls
+123Our fair odds−123
118.2Expected points119.6
−0.23Power rating−0.24
113.1Points / game117.1
116.9Allowed / game121.2
47.1FG%47.2
33.43P%36.0
44.8Rebounds / game45.6
14−24Season record17−20
3−7Last 105−5
Anthony Davis · Brandon Williams
Dante Exum · Dereck Lively II
Kyrie IrvingOut (5 each)Emanuel Miller · Josh Giddey
Noa Essengue · Yuki Kawamura
Zach Collins

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · CHI chance
Our model fair44.9%55.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Mavericks+12345%————
CHIChicago Bulls−12355%————
SpreadCHI by 1.4
DALDallas Mavericks+1.4our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls−1.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 237.8
Over237.8our total————
Under237.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 1.4 expected
Dallas Mavericks by 43 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%
← DAL wins byCHI wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more44%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more30%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

237.8 expected
188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.568%
Total over 237.549%
Total over 247.531%
Total from 228 to 24737%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Dallas Mavericks
GMax Christiestarted
GRyan Nembhardstarted
FDaniel Gaffordstarted
FNaji Marshallstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GCoby Whitestarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·CHI
Jan 8 at UTAH
last game
Jan 7 at DET
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 10, 5:00 PM ET
Dallas Mavericks
DALAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
DALBrandon Williams · illness; illnessOut
DALDante Exum · right knee; surgeryOut
DALDereck Lively II · right foot; surgeryOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
DALP.J. Washington · right ankle; sprainOut
DALMiles Kelly · g league - two-wayQuestionable
DALMoussa Cisse · g league - two-wayQuestionable
Chicago Bulls
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut
CHIKevin Huerter · right low back; tightnessQuestionable
CHIJalen Smith · n/a; concussionProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 37+ games
DAL·CHI
−0.23
rating (0 = average)
−0.24
113.1
points / game
117.1
116.9
points allowed / game
121.2
14−24
season record
17−20
10−10
home record
10−9
4−14
away record
7−11
L1
streak
L3
3−7
last 10
5−5
47.1
FG%
47.2
33.4
3P%
36.0
44.8
rebounds / game
45.6
25.1
assists / game
29.4
15.6
turnovers / game
14.7
53.6
points in paint / game
54.1

Rating Trend

DAL · CHI · 73 days
Dallas MavericksChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CHI 3−5
Mar 29, 2025at CHIDAL 120 − 119
Nov 6, 2024at DALDAL 119 − 99
Mar 11, 2024at CHIDAL 127 − 92
Nov 1, 2023at DALDAL 114 − 105
Apr 7, 2023at DALCHI 115 − 112
Dec 10, 2022at CHICHI 144 − 115
Jan 9, 2022at DALDAL 113 − 99
Nov 10, 2021at CHICHI 117 − 107

DAL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Jan 8at UTAH114 − 116L
Jan 6at SAC100 − 98W
Jan 3vs HOU110 − 104W
Jan 1vs PHI108 − 123L
Dec 29, 2025at POR122 − 125L
Dec 27, 2025at SAC107 − 113L
Dec 25, 2025at GS116 − 126L
Dec 23, 2025vs DEN131 − 130W
Dec 22, 2025at NO113 − 119L
Dec 20, 2025at PHI114 − 121L

CHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak L3
Jan 7at DET93 − 108L
Jan 5at BOS101 − 115L
Jan 3vs CHA99 − 112L
Jan 2vs ORL121 − 114W
Dec 31, 2025vs NO134 − 118W
Dec 29, 2025vs MIN101 − 136L
Dec 27, 2025vs MIL103 − 112L
Dec 26, 2025vs PHI109 − 102W
Dec 23, 2025at ATL126 − 123W
Dec 21, 2025at ATL152 − 150W