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Bulls at Rockets

NBA · Tuesday, Jan 13 · 7:00 PM CT · Toyota Center (Houston) · Final CHI 113 – HOU 119

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI24362825113
HOU29283329119
Team box
CHI·HOU
41-94
field goals
45-88
12-37
3-pointers
7-24
19-23
free throws
22-29
40
rebounds
50
24
assists
24
7
turnovers
9
56
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tre JonesCHI273427
Kevin DurantHOU4028104
Alperen SengunHOU3623711
Amen ThompsonHOU422352
Matas BuzelisCHI371962
Jabari Smith Jr.HOU341870

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
HOU +9
CHI +9
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: HOU 9 · CHI 4lead changes: 35

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 29%, HOU 71% · Updated Jan 13

Expected margin
HOU by 8.7
Expected score
HOU 120.6 – 112.0 CHI
Expected total
232.6
BullsThe matchupRockets
+251Our fair odds−251
112.0Expected points120.6
−0.22Power rating+0.49
117.3Points / game117.9
120.8Allowed / game110.8
47.3FG%48.5
35.93P%37.8
45.8Rebounds / game49.1
18−20Season record22−14
5−5Last 105−5
Coby White · Emanuel Miller
Josh Giddey · Lachlan Olbrich
Noa Essengue
Out (5 each)Dorian Finney-Smith · Fred VanVleet
Isaiah Crawford · Tari Eason
Tristen Newton

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · HOU chance
Our model fair28.5%71.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+25129%————
HOUHouston Rockets−25171%————
SpreadHOU by 8.7
CHIChicago Bulls+8.7our margin————
HOUHouston Rockets−8.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.6
Over232.6our total————
Under232.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Houston Rockets by 8.7 expected
Chicago Bulls by 51 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Houston Rockets by 1 point: 2%Houston Rockets by 2 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 3 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 4 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 5 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 6 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 7 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 8 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 9 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 10 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 11 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 12 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 13 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 14 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 15 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 16 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 17 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 18 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 19 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 20 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 21 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 22 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 23 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 24 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 25 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 26 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 27 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 28 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 29 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 30 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 31 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 32 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 33 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 34 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 35 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 36 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 37 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 38 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 39 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 40 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 41 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 42 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 43 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 44 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 45 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 46 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 47 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 48 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 49 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 50 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 51 points: <1%
← CHI wins byHOU wins by →
Houston Rockets wins by 5 or more63%
Houston Rockets wins by 10 or more48%
Houston Rockets wins by 15 or more33%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.6 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.569%
Total over 232.549%
Total over 242.530%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
FJalen Smithstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
Houston Rockets
GJosh Okogiestarted
FKevin Durantstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·HOU
Jan 10 vs DAL
last game
Jan 11 at SAC
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 13, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHICoby White · right calf; injury managementOut
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strainOut
CHILachlan Olbrich · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut
CHIJulian Phillips · left wrist; sprainQuestionable
Houston Rockets
HOUDorian Finney-Smith · left ankle; injury managementOut
HOUFred VanVleet · right knee; acl repairOut
HOUIsaiah Crawford · g league - two-wayOut
HOUTari Eason · right ankle; sprainOut
HOUTristen Newton · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 36+ games
CHI·HOU
−0.22
rating (0 = average)
+0.49
117.3
points / game
117.9
120.8
points allowed / game
110.8
18−20
season record
22−14
11−9
home record
11−2
7−11
away record
11−12
W1
streak
L3
5−5
last 10
5−5
47.3
FG%
48.5
35.9
3P%
37.8
45.8
rebounds / game
49.1
29.4
assists / game
25.1
14.8
turnovers / game
15.8
54.5
points in paint / game
53.1

Rating Trend

CHI · HOU · 76 days
Chicago BullsHouston Rockets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · HOU 5−3
Mar 15, 2025at HOUHOU 117 − 114
Nov 17, 2024at CHIHOU 143 − 107
Mar 21, 2024at HOUHOU 127 − 117
Jan 10, 2024at CHICHI 124 − 119
Mar 11, 2023at HOUCHI 119 − 111
Dec 26, 2022at CHIHOU 133 − 118
Dec 20, 2021at CHICHI 133 − 118
Nov 24, 2021at HOUHOU 118 − 113

CHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Jan 10vs DAL125 − 107W
Jan 7at DET93 − 108L
Jan 5at BOS101 − 115L
Jan 3vs CHA99 − 112L
Jan 2vs ORL121 − 114W
Dec 31, 2025vs NO134 − 118W
Dec 29, 2025vs MIN101 − 136L
Dec 27, 2025vs MIL103 − 112L
Dec 26, 2025vs PHI109 − 102W
Dec 23, 2025at ATL126 − 123W

HOU · Last 10

5−5 · streak L3
Jan 11at SAC98 − 111L
Jan 9at POR105 − 111L
Jan 7at POR102 − 103L
Jan 5vs PHX100 − 97W
Jan 3at DAL104 − 110L
Jan 1at BKN120 − 96W
Dec 29, 2025vs IND126 − 119W
Dec 27, 2025vs CLE117 − 100W
Dec 25, 2025at LAL119 − 96W
Dec 23, 2025at LAC108 − 128L