bayesRatings

Clippers at Bulls

NBA · Tuesday, Jan 20 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final LAC 110 – CHI 138

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC30193427110
CHI25453236138
Team box
LAC·CHI
43-92
field goals
52-92
10-30
3-pointers
25-47
14-17
free throws
9-12
41
rebounds
42
24
assists
40
0
turnovers
0
60
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Coby WhiteCHI312726
James HardenLAC312456
John CollinsLAC242301
Matas BuzelisCHI302124
Nikola VucevicCHI321984
Ayo DosunmuCHI291834

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +30
LAC +30
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 30 · LAC 8lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 54%, CHI 46% · Updated Jan 20

Expected margin
LAC by 1.8
Expected score
LAC 116.5 – 114.6 CHI
Expected total
231.1
ClippersThe matchupBulls
−118Our fair odds+118
116.5Expected points114.6
+0.19Power rating−0.22
112.4Points / game117.4
113.2Allowed / game120.3
47.5FG%47.4
36.33P%36.0
40.3Rebounds / game45.4
19−23Season record20−22
8−2Last 105−5
Bogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Chris Paul · Derrick Jones Jr.
Kawhi Leonard
OutEmanuel Miller · Noa Essengue
Yuki Kawamura · Zach Collins

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · CHI chance
Our model fair54.2%45.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers−11854%————
CHIChicago Bulls+11846%————
SpreadLAC by 1.8
LACLA Clippers−1.8our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+1.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.1
Over231.1our total————
Under231.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 1.8 expected
LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%
← LAC wins byCHI wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more45%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more31%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.1 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.568%
Total over 231.548%
Total over 241.529%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
GKobe Sandersstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Chicago Bulls
GCoby Whitestarted
FJalen Smithstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·CHI
Jan 19 at WSH
last game
Jan 18 vs BKN
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 20, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hamstring; injury managementOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACKawhi Leonard · left knee; contusionOut
LACCam Christie · abdominal; sorenessQuestionable
Chicago Bulls
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strainQuestionable
CHIPatrick Williams · right ankle; sprainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 42+ games
LAC·CHI
+0.19
rating (0 = average)
−0.22
112.4
points / game
117.4
113.2
points allowed / game
120.3
19−23
season record
20−22
11−9
home record
13−9
8−14
away record
7−13
W6
streak
W1
8−2
last 10
5−5
47.5
FG%
47.4
36.3
3P%
36.0
40.3
rebounds / game
45.4
23.5
assists / game
29.7
15.0
turnovers / game
14.2
46.0
points in paint / game
54.7

Rating Trend

LAC · CHI · 83 days
LA ClippersChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CHI 3−5
Feb 26, 2025at CHILAC 122 − 117
Jan 20, 2025at LACCHI 112 − 99
Mar 14, 2024at CHILAC 126 − 111
Mar 9, 2024at LACLAC 112 − 102
Mar 27, 2023at LACLAC 124 − 112
Jan 31, 2023at CHILAC 108 − 103
Mar 31, 2022at CHICHI 135 − 130
Nov 14, 2021at LACCHI 100 − 90

LAC · Last 10

8−2 · streak W6
Jan 19at WSH110 − 106W
Jan 16at TOR121 − 117W
Jan 14vs WSH119 − 105W
Jan 12vs CHA117 − 109W
Jan 10at DET98 − 92W
Jan 9at BKN121 − 105W
Jan 7at NY111 − 123L
Jan 5vs GS103 − 102W
Jan 3vs BOS115 − 146L
Jan 1vs UTAH118 − 101W

CHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Jan 18vs BKN124 − 102W
Jan 16at BKN109 − 112L
Jan 14vs UTAH128 − 126W
Jan 13at HOU113 − 119L
Jan 10vs DAL125 − 107W
Jan 7at DET93 − 108L
Jan 5at BOS101 − 115L
Jan 3vs CHA99 − 112L
Jan 2vs ORL121 − 114W
Dec 31, 2025vs NO134 − 118W