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Bulls at Timberwolves

NBA · Thursday, Jan 22 · 7:00 PM CT · Target Center · Final CHI 120 – MIN 115
← NBA / Jan 22

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI26343327120
MIN32292925115
Team box
CHI·MIN
38-86
field goals
43-93
17-39
3-pointers
15-41
27-33
free throws
14-15
43
rebounds
45
28
assists
29
12
turnovers
14
40
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Julius RandleMIN313076
Coby WhiteCHI302244
Josh GiddeyCHI262165
Naz ReidMIN292065
Anthony EdwardsMIN352063
Jalen SmithCHI271740

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIN +14
CHI +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIN 14 · CHI 7lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 27%, MIN 73% · Updated Jan 22

Expected margin
MIN by 8.7
Expected score
MIN 121.9 – 113.2 CHI
Expected total
235.1
BullsThe matchupTimberwolves
+276Our fair odds−276
113.2Expected points121.9
−0.22Power rating+0.57
117.9Points / game120.1
120.0Allowed / game115.0
47.7FG%48.5
36.43P%37.5
45.3Rebounds / game44.7
21−22Season record27−17
5−5Last 106−4
Emanuel Miller · Noa Essengue
Yuki Kawamura · Zach CollinsOutRocco Zikarsky · Terrence Shannon Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · MIN chance
Our model fair26.6%73.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+27627%————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−27673%————
SpreadMIN by 8.7
CHIChicago Bulls+8.7our margin————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−8.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 235.1
Over235.1our total————
Under235.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 8.7 expected
Chicago Bulls by 51 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 44 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 45 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 46 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 47 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 48 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 49 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 50 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 51 points: <1%
← CHI wins byMIN wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more63%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more48%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more33%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

235.1 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 225.567%
Total over 235.548%
Total over 245.529%
Total from 226 to 24538%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GCoby Whitestarted
FJalen Smithstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted
Minnesota Timberwolves
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
GAnthony Edwardsstarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CRudy Gobertstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·MIN
Jan 20 vs LAC
last game
Jan 20 at UTAH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 22, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut
CHIPatrick Williams · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strainProbable
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - two-wayOut
MINTerrence Shannon Jr. · left foot; abductor hallucis strainOut
MINJulius Randle · left foot; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 43+ games
CHI·MIN
−0.22
rating (0 = average)
+0.57
117.9
points / game
120.1
120.0
points allowed / game
115.0
21−22
season record
27−17
14−9
home record
15−6
7−13
away record
12−11
W2
streak
L3
5−5
last 10
6−4
47.7
FG%
48.5
36.4
3P%
37.5
45.3
rebounds / game
44.7
29.9
assists / game
26.8
13.9
turnovers / game
14.1
54.7
points in paint / game
51.0

Rating Trend

CHI · MIN · 85 days
Chicago BullsMinnesota Timberwolves
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · MIN 4−5
Dec 29, 2025at CHIMIN 136 − 101
Feb 5, 2025at MINMIN 127 − 108
Nov 7, 2024at CHIMIN 135 − 119
Mar 31, 2024at MINCHI 109 − 101
Feb 6, 2024at CHICHI 129 − 123
Mar 17, 2023at CHICHI 139 − 131
Dec 18, 2022at MINMIN 150 − 126
Apr 10, 2022at MINCHI 124 − 120
Feb 11, 2022at CHICHI 134 − 122

CHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Jan 20vs LAC138 − 110W
Jan 18vs BKN124 − 102W
Jan 16at BKN109 − 112L
Jan 14vs UTAH128 − 126W
Jan 13at HOU113 − 119L
Jan 10vs DAL125 − 107W
Jan 7at DET93 − 108L
Jan 5at BOS101 − 115L
Jan 3vs CHA99 − 112L
Jan 2vs ORL121 − 114W

MIN · Last 10

6−4 · streak L3
Jan 20at UTAH122 − 127L
Jan 17at SA123 − 126L
Jan 16at HOU105 − 110L
Jan 13at MIL139 − 106W
Jan 11vs SA104 − 103W
Jan 10at CLE134 − 146L
Jan 8vs CLE131 − 122W
Jan 6vs MIA122 − 94W
Jan 4at WSH141 − 115W
Jan 3at MIA125 − 115W