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Timberwolves at Jazz

NBA · Tuesday, Jan 20 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final MIN 122 – UTAH 127
← NBA / Jan 20

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MIN34243826122
UTAH29302543127
Team box
MIN·UTAH
44-100
field goals
48-87
14-47
3-pointers
12-29
20-27
free throws
19-26
46
rebounds
45
28
assists
31
11
turnovers
17
50
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH394303
Anthony EdwardsMIN393883
Ace BaileyUTAH332051
Julius RandleMIN341923
Isaiah CollierUTAH2618410
Jaden McDanielsMIN351866

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +15
MIN +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 8 · MIN 15lead changes: 16

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIN 76%, UTAH 24% · Updated Jan 20

Expected margin
MIN by 11.8
Expected score
MIN 127.2 – 115.4 UTAH
Expected total
242.7
TimberwolvesThe matchupJazz
−312Our fair odds+312
127.2Expected points115.4
+0.57Power rating−0.82
120.0Points / game119.1
114.7Allowed / game127.5
48.6FG%46.6
37.63P%34.8
44.7Rebounds / game44.2
27−16Season record14−29
6−4Last 102−8
Rocco Zikarsky · Terrence Shannon Jr.OutBrice Sensabaugh · Elijah Harkless
Georges Niang · John Tonje
Kevin Love

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIN chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair75.7%24.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−31276%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+31224%————
SpreadMIN by 11.8
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−11.8our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+11.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 242.7
Over242.7our total————
Under242.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 11.8 expected
Minnesota Timberwolves by 48 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 47 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 46 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 45 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 44 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 4%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 4%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 1%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%
← MIN wins byUTAH wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more73%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more57%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

242.7 expected
192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 2%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: 1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%305 points: <1%306 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 232.568%
Total over 242.549%
Total over 252.531%
Total from 233 to 25237%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Minnesota Timberwolves
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
GAnthony Edwardsstarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CRudy Gobertstarted
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FCody Williamsstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIN·UTAH
Jan 17 at SA
last game
Jan 19 at SA
2 days
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 20, 5:00 PM ET
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - two-wayOut
MINTerrence Shannon Jr. · left foot; abductor hallucis strainOut
Utah Jazz
UTAHBrice Sensabaugh · n/a; illnessOut
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHKevin Love · restOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · n/a; illnessOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 43+ games
MIN·UTAH
+0.57
rating (0 = average)
−0.82
120.0
points / game
119.1
114.7
points allowed / game
127.5
27−16
season record
14−29
15−6
home record
9−12
12−10
away record
5−17
L2
streak
L4
6−4
last 10
2−8
48.6
FG%
46.6
37.6
3P%
34.8
44.7
rebounds / game
44.2
26.8
assists / game
30.1
14.2
turnovers / game
15.7
51.0
points in paint / game
51.1

Rating Trend

MIN · UTAH · 83 days
Minnesota TimberwolvesUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 1−9
Nov 10, 2025at UTAHMIN 120 − 113
Nov 7, 2025at MINMIN 137 − 97
Apr 13, 2025at MINMIN 116 − 105
Mar 16, 2025at MINMIN 128 − 102
Feb 28, 2025at UTAHUTAH 117 − 116
Jan 30, 2025at UTAHMIN 138 − 113
Mar 18, 2024at UTAHMIN 114 − 104
Mar 16, 2024at UTAHMIN 119 − 100
Nov 30, 2023at MINMIN 101 − 90
Nov 4, 2023at MINMIN 123 − 95

MIN · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Jan 17at SA123 − 126L
Jan 16at HOU105 − 110L
Jan 13at MIL139 − 106W
Jan 11vs SA104 − 103W
Jan 10at CLE134 − 146L
Jan 8vs CLE131 − 122W
Jan 6vs MIA122 − 94W
Jan 4at WSH141 − 115W
Jan 3at MIA125 − 115W
Dec 31, 2025at ATL102 − 126L

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L4
Jan 19at SA110 − 123L
Jan 17at DAL120 − 138L
Jan 15at DAL122 − 144L
Jan 14at CHI126 − 128L
Jan 12at CLE123 − 112W
Jan 10vs CHA95 − 150L
Jan 8vs DAL116 − 114W
Jan 7at OKC125 − 129L
Jan 5at POR117 − 137L
Jan 3at GS114 − 123L