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Jazz at Cavaliers

NBA · Monday, Jan 12 · 6:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final UTAH 123 – CLE 112
← NBA / Jan 12

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH34203633123
CLE22402426112
Team box
UTAH·CLE
40-83
field goals
41-92
18-41
3-pointers
17-41
25-28
free throws
13-13
50
rebounds
30
32
assists
33
19
turnovers
14
40
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH343259
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH3628122
Darius GarlandCLE342328
Donovan MitchellCLE342132
Evan MobleyCLE341598
Sam MerrillCLE281423

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +17
UTAH +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 10 · UTAH 17lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 20%, CLE 80% · Updated Jan 12

Expected margin
CLE by 13.3
Expected score
CLE 128.6 – 115.2 UTAH
Expected total
243.8
JazzThe matchupCavaliers
+404Our fair odds−404
115.2Expected points128.6
−0.76Power rating+0.43
119.0Points / game120.0
127.3Allowed / game117.6
46.2FG%47.3
35.03P%35.5
44.6Rebounds / game44.6
13−25Season record22−18
3−7Last 106−4
Elijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Oscar Tshiebwe
Walker KesslerOutChris Livingston · Dean Wade
Luke Travers · Max Strus

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · CLE chance
Our model fair19.9%80.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+40420%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−40480%————
SpreadCLE by 13.3
UTAHUtah Jazz+13.3our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−13.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 243.8
Over243.8our total————
Under243.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 13.3 expected
Utah Jazz by 53 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 52 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 51 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 52 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 53 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more74%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more60%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more45%
Within 5 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

243.8 expected
193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: <1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 2%257 points: 2%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: 1%277 points: 1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%305 points: <1%306 points: <1%307 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 233.568%
Total over 243.549%
Total over 253.531%
Total from 234 to 25336%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FCody Williamsstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·CLE
Jan 10 vs CHA
last game
Jan 10 vs MIN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 12, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEDean Wade · left knee; contusionOut
CLELuke Travers · g league - two-wayOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 38+ games
UTAH·CLE
−0.76
rating (0 = average)
+0.43
119.0
points / game
120.0
127.3
points allowed / game
117.6
13−25
season record
22−18
9−12
home record
14−9
4−13
away record
8−9
L1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
6−4
46.2
FG%
47.3
35.0
3P%
35.5
44.6
rebounds / game
44.6
30.0
assists / game
28.2
15.7
turnovers / game
14.1
50.6
points in paint / game
50.5

Rating Trend

UTAH · CLE · 75 days
Utah JazzCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CLE 6−2
Mar 23, 2025at UTAHCLE 120 − 91
Dec 23, 2024at CLECLE 124 − 113
Apr 2, 2024at UTAHCLE 129 − 113
Dec 20, 2023at CLECLE 124 − 116
Jan 10, 2023at UTAHUTAH 116 − 114
Dec 19, 2022at CLECLE 122 − 99
Jan 12, 2022at UTAHCLE 111 − 91
Dec 5, 2021at CLEUTAH 109 − 108

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Jan 10vs CHA95 − 150L
Jan 8vs DAL116 − 114W
Jan 7at OKC125 − 129L
Jan 5at POR117 − 137L
Jan 3at GS114 − 123L
Jan 1at LAC101 − 118L
Dec 30, 2025vs BOS119 − 129L
Dec 27, 2025at SA127 − 114W
Dec 26, 2025vs DET131 − 129W
Dec 23, 2025vs MEM128 − 137L

CLE · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Jan 10vs MIN146 − 134W
Jan 8at MIN122 − 131L
Jan 6at IND120 − 116W
Jan 4vs DET110 − 114L
Jan 2vs DEN113 − 108W
Dec 31, 2025vs PHX129 − 113W
Dec 29, 2025at SA113 − 101W
Dec 27, 2025at HOU100 − 117L
Dec 25, 2025at NY124 − 126L
Dec 23, 2025vs NO141 − 118W