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Celtics at Nets

NBA · Friday, Jan 23 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final BOS 130 – BKN 126
← NBA / Jan 23

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OT2OTT
BOS282129261412130
BKN28272623148126
Team box
BOS·BKN
49-109
field goals
42-95
22-51
3-pointers
13-44
10-16
free throws
29-34
41
rebounds
58
35
assists
22
9
turnovers
18
52
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Payton PritchardBOS403244
Michael Porter Jr.BKN423084
Jaylen BrownBOS46271012
Nolan TraoreBKN372132
Sam HauserBOS391943
Nic ClaxtonBKN391894

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +11
BOS +11
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT2OT
largest lead: BKN 11 · BOS 10lead changes: 22

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 78%, BKN 22% · Updated Jan 23

Expected margin
BOS by 10.6
Expected score
BOS 113.1 – 102.5 BKN
Expected total
215.7
CelticsThe matchupNets
−348Our fair odds+348
113.1Expected points102.5
+0.77Power rating−0.74
116.8Points / game107.9
109.8Allowed / game114.5
47.3FG%44.6
36.93P%34.8
45.1Rebounds / game39.7
27−16Season record12−30
6−4Last 102−8
Jayson Tatum · Josh Minott
Max ShulgaOutBen Saraf · Chaney Johnson
E.J. Liddell · Haywood Highsmith
Tyson Etienne

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · BKN chance
Our model fair77.7%22.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−34878%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+34822%————
SpreadBOS by 10.6
BOSBoston Celtics−10.6our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+10.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 215.7
Over215.7our total————
Under215.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 10.6 expected
Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 4%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 4%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%
← BOS wins byBKN wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more70%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more53%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more37%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

215.7 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 205.570%
Total over 215.550%
Total over 225.530%
Total from 206 to 22540%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
GBaylor Scheiermanstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
Brooklyn Nets
GDrake Powellstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·BKN
Jan 21 vs IND
last game
Jan 21 at NY
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 23, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSJosh Minott · left ankle; sprainOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayQuestionable
BOSNeemias Queta · illness; non-covidQuestionable
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 42+ games
BOS·BKN
+0.77
rating (0 = average)
−0.74
116.8
points / game
107.9
109.8
points allowed / game
114.5
27−16
season record
12−30
13−7
home record
6−16
14−9
away record
6−14
W1
streak
L3
6−4
last 10
2−8
47.3
FG%
44.6
36.9
3P%
34.8
45.1
rebounds / game
39.7
23.6
assists / game
25.4
12.1
turnovers / game
15.1
44.1
points in paint / game
42.1

Rating Trend

BOS · BKN · 86 days
Boston CelticsBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 1−9
Nov 21, 2025at BOSBKN 113 − 105
Nov 18, 2025at BKNBOS 113 − 99
Mar 18, 2025at BOSBOS 104 − 96
Mar 15, 2025at BKNBOS 115 − 113
Nov 13, 2024at BKNBOS 139 − 114
Nov 8, 2024at BOSBOS 108 − 104
Feb 14, 2024at BOSBOS 136 − 86
Feb 13, 2024at BKNBOS 118 − 110
Nov 10, 2023at BOSBOS 121 − 107
Nov 4, 2023at BKNBOS 124 − 114

BOS · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Jan 21vs IND119 − 104W
Jan 19at DET103 − 104L
Jan 17at ATL132 − 106W
Jan 15at MIA119 − 114W
Jan 12at IND96 − 98L
Jan 10vs SA95 − 100L
Jan 9vs TOR125 − 117W
Jan 7vs DEN110 − 114L
Jan 5vs CHI115 − 101W
Jan 3at LAC146 − 115W

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Jan 21at NY66 − 120L
Jan 19vs PHX117 − 126L
Jan 18at CHI102 − 124L
Jan 16vs CHI112 − 109W
Jan 14at NO113 − 116L
Jan 12at DAL105 − 113L
Jan 11at MEM98 − 103L
Jan 9vs LAC105 − 121L
Jan 7vs ORL103 − 104L
Jan 4vs DEN127 − 115W