bayesRatings

Suns at Nets

NBA · Monday, Jan 19 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final PHX 126 – BKN 117
← NBA / Jan 19

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX40323123126
BKN26422128117
Team box
PHX·BKN
44-77
field goals
41-81
20-39
3-pointers
15-38
18-23
free throws
20-21
35
rebounds
28
29
assists
28
13
turnovers
8
38
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Dillon BrooksPHX342752
Devin BookerPHX332444
Michael Porter Jr.BKN372364
Collin GillespiePHX282255
Mark WilliamsPHX291680
Noah ClowneyBKN281610

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +20
PHX +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 3 · PHX 20lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 64%, BKN 36% · Updated Jan 19

Expected margin
PHX by 4.4
Expected score
PHX 111.4 – 107.0 BKN
Expected total
218.4
SunsThe matchupNets
−181Our fair odds+181
111.4Expected points107.0
+0.15Power rating−0.68
114.4Points / game108.8
111.7Allowed / game114.0
46.1FG%44.8
36.13P%34.8
43.4Rebounds / game40.3
25−17Season record12−28
6−4Last 102−8
—OutBen Saraf · Cam Thomas
Chaney Johnson · Day'Ron Sharpe
E.J. Liddell

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · BKN chance
Our model fair64.4%35.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns−18164%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+18136%————
SpreadPHX by 4.4
PHXPhoenix Suns−4.4our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+4.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 218.4
Over218.4our total————
Under218.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 4.4 expected
Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%
← PHX wins byBKN wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more52%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more37%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

218.4 expected
172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 208.569%
Total over 218.549%
Total over 228.530%
Total from 209 to 22839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CMark Williamsstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GDrake Powellstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·BKN
Jan 17 at NY
last game
Jan 18 at CHI
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 19, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXDevin Booker · left ankle; sorenessQuestionable
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainQuestionable
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; injuryOut
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNDay'Ron Sharpe · n/a; illness/throat contusionOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNEgor Demin · left plantar fascia; injury managementOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; injury managementOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 40+ games
PHX·BKN
+0.15
rating (0 = average)
−0.68
114.4
points / game
108.8
111.7
points allowed / game
114.0
25−17
season record
12−28
14−5
home record
6−15
11−12
away record
6−13
W1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
2−8
46.1
FG%
44.8
36.1
3P%
34.8
43.4
rebounds / game
40.3
25.2
assists / game
25.6
15.3
turnovers / game
15.3
44.7
points in paint / game
42.8

Rating Trend

PHX · BKN · 82 days
Phoenix SunsBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · BKN 2−6
Jan 22, 2025at BKNPHX 108 − 84
Nov 27, 2024at PHXBKN 127 − 117
Jan 31, 2024at BKNPHX 136 − 120
Dec 13, 2023at PHXBKN 116 − 112
Feb 7, 2023at BKNPHX 116 − 112
Jan 19, 2023at PHXPHX 117 − 112
Feb 1, 2022at PHXPHX 121 − 111
Nov 27, 2021at BKNPHX 113 − 107

PHX · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Jan 17at NY106 − 99W
Jan 15at DET105 − 108L
Jan 13at MIA121 − 127L
Jan 11vs WSH112 − 93W
Jan 9vs NY112 − 107W
Jan 7at MEM117 − 98W
Jan 5at HOU97 − 100L
Jan 4vs OKC108 − 105W
Jan 2vs SAC129 − 102W
Dec 31, 2025at CLE113 − 129L

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Jan 18at CHI102 − 124L
Jan 16vs CHI112 − 109W
Jan 14at NO113 − 116L
Jan 12at DAL105 − 113L
Jan 11at MEM98 − 103L
Jan 9vs LAC105 − 121L
Jan 7vs ORL103 − 104L
Jan 4vs DEN127 − 115W
Jan 2at WSH99 − 119L
Jan 1vs HOU96 − 120L