bayesRatings

Nets at Knicks

NBA · Wednesday, Jan 21 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final BKN 66 – NY 120

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN2018181066
NY38222832120
Team box
BKN·NY
23-79
field goals
46-80
11-40
3-pointers
16-32
9-13
free throws
12-17
27
rebounds
56
15
assists
28
14
turnovers
12
20
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY312045
Landry ShametNY151812
Karl-Anthony TownsNY201483
Miles McBrideNY191464
Michael Porter Jr.BKN261261
Josh HartNY251193

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +59
BKN +59
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 59 · BKN 2lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 22%, NY 78% · Updated Jan 21

Expected margin
NY by 11.0
Expected score
NY 115.0 – 104.0 BKN
Expected total
219.1
NetsThe matchupKnicks
+347Our fair odds−347
104.0Expected points115.0
−0.74Power rating+0.29
109.0Points / game118.0
114.3Allowed / game114.8
45.0FG%46.8
34.93P%37.5
40.0Rebounds / game46.2
12−29Season record26−18
2−8Last 102−8
Ben Saraf · Chaney Johnson
E.J. Liddell · Haywood Highsmith
Tyson Etienne
Out—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · NY chance
Our model fair22.4%77.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+34722%————
NYNew York Knicks−34778%————
SpreadNY by 11.0
BKNBrooklyn Nets+11our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−11our margin————
Totalwe expect 219.1
Over219.1our total————
Under219.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 11.0 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 53 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 52 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 51 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 16 points: 3%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 23 points: 2%New York Knicks by 24 points: 2%New York Knicks by 25 points: 2%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 35 points: 1%New York Knicks by 36 points: 1%New York Knicks by 37 points: 1%New York Knicks by 38 points: 1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 50 points: <1%New York Knicks by 51 points: <1%New York Knicks by 52 points: <1%New York Knicks by 53 points: <1%
← BKN wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more69%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more54%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more39%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

219.1 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 209.569%
Total over 219.549%
Total over 229.529%
Total from 210 to 22939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GDrake Powellstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
FOG Anunobystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·NY
Jan 19 vs PHX
last game
Jan 19 vs DAL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 20, 5:00 PM ET
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 41+ games
BKN·NY
−0.74
rating (0 = average)
+0.29
109.0
points / game
118.0
114.3
points allowed / game
114.8
12−29
season record
26−18
6−16
home record
17−6
6−13
away record
9−12
L2
streak
L4
2−8
last 10
2−8
45.0
FG%
46.8
34.9
3P%
37.5
40.0
rebounds / game
46.2
25.7
assists / game
26.6
15.2
turnovers / game
13.7
42.7
points in paint / game
47.5

Rating Trend

BKN · NY · 84 days
Brooklyn NetsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 10−0
Nov 24, 2025at BKNNY 113 − 100
Nov 9, 2025at NYNY 134 − 98
Apr 13, 2025at BKNNY 113 − 105
Jan 21, 2025at BKNNY 99 − 95
Nov 17, 2024at NYNY 114 − 104
Nov 15, 2024at NYNY 124 − 122
Apr 12, 2024at NYNY 111 − 107
Mar 23, 2024at NYNY 105 − 93
Jan 23, 2024at BKNNY 108 − 103
Dec 20, 2023at BKNNY 121 − 102

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L2
Jan 19vs PHX117 − 126L
Jan 18at CHI102 − 124L
Jan 16vs CHI112 − 109W
Jan 14at NO113 − 116L
Jan 12at DAL105 − 113L
Jan 11at MEM98 − 103L
Jan 9vs LAC105 − 121L
Jan 7vs ORL103 − 104L
Jan 4vs DEN127 − 115W
Jan 2at WSH99 − 119L

NY · Last 10

2−8 · streak L4
Jan 19vs DAL97 − 114L
Jan 17vs PHX99 − 106L
Jan 15at GS113 − 126L
Jan 14at SAC101 − 112L
Jan 11at POR123 − 114W
Jan 9at PHX107 − 112L
Jan 7vs LAC123 − 111W
Jan 5at DET90 − 121L
Jan 3vs PHI119 − 130L
Jan 2vs ATL99 − 111L