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Mavericks at Knicks

NBA · Monday, Jan 19 · 4:00 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final DAL 114 – NY 97
← NBA / Jan 19

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DAL31441920114
NY2225242697
Team box
DAL·NY
40-82
field goals
38-95
15-32
3-pointers
9-31
19-28
free throws
12-20
49
rebounds
53
25
assists
22
17
turnovers
17
44
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Max ChristieDAL352662
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3022184
Jalen BrunsonNY342206
Naji MarshallDAL331984
Cooper FlaggDAL281873
Moussa CisseDAL201591

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +30
DAL +30
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 0 · DAL 30lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 29%, NY 71% · Updated Jan 19

Expected margin
NY by 7.9
Expected score
NY 118.4 – 110.5 DAL
Expected total
228.8
MavericksThe matchupKnicks
+239Our fair odds−239
110.5Expected points118.4
−0.25Power rating+0.41
114.2Points / game118.5
117.0Allowed / game114.9
47.4FG%47.0
33.83P%37.7
44.6Rebounds / game46.1
17−26Season record26−17
5−5Last 102−8
Anthony Davis · D'Angelo Russell
Daniel Gafford · Dante Exum
Dereck Lively IIOutTrey Jemison III

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · NY chance
Our model fair29.5%70.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Mavericks+23929%————
NYNew York Knicks−23971%————
SpreadNY by 7.9
DALDallas Mavericks+7.9our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−7.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.8
Over228.8our total————
Under228.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 7.9 expected
Dallas Mavericks by 50 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 49 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 48 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 47 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 46 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 45 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 44 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 43 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 50 points: <1%
← DAL wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more61%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more46%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more31%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

228.8 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.570%
Total over 228.550%
Total over 238.530%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Dallas Mavericks
GMax Christiestarted
FDwight Powellstarted
FCaleb Martinstarted
FNaji Marshallstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·NY
Jan 17 vs UTAH
last game
Jan 17 vs PHX
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 18, 5:00 PM ET
Dallas Mavericks
DALAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
DALD'Angelo Russell · illness; illnessOut
DALDaniel Gafford · right ankle; sprainOut
DALDante Exum · right knee; surgeryOut
DALDereck Lively II · right foot; surgeryOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
DALP.J. Washington · personal reasonsOut
New York Knicks
NYTrey Jemison III · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 43+ games
DAL·NY
−0.25
rating (0 = average)
+0.41
114.2
points / game
118.5
117.0
points allowed / game
114.9
17−26
season record
26−17
13−11
home record
17−5
4−15
away record
9−12
W2
streak
L3
5−5
last 10
2−8
47.4
FG%
47.0
33.8
3P%
37.7
44.6
rebounds / game
46.1
25.5
assists / game
26.7
15.1
turnovers / game
13.6
53.5
points in paint / game
47.3

Rating Trend

DAL · NY · 82 days
Dallas MavericksNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · NY 4−5
Nov 19, 2025at DALNY 113 − 111
Mar 25, 2025at NYNY 128 − 113
Nov 27, 2024at DALDAL 129 − 114
Feb 8, 2024at NYDAL 122 − 108
Jan 11, 2024at DALDAL 128 − 124
Dec 27, 2022at DALDAL 126 − 121
Dec 3, 2022at NYDAL 121 − 100
Mar 9, 2022at DALNY 107 − 77
Jan 12, 2022at NYNY 108 − 85

DAL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Jan 17vs UTAH138 − 120W
Jan 15vs UTAH144 − 122W
Jan 14vs DEN109 − 118L
Jan 12vs BKN113 − 105W
Jan 10at CHI107 − 125L
Jan 8at UTAH114 − 116L
Jan 6at SAC100 − 98W
Jan 3vs HOU110 − 104W
Jan 1vs PHI108 − 123L
Dec 29, 2025at POR122 − 125L

NY · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Jan 17vs PHX99 − 106L
Jan 15at GS113 − 126L
Jan 14at SAC101 − 112L
Jan 11at POR123 − 114W
Jan 9at PHX107 − 112L
Jan 7vs LAC123 − 111W
Jan 5at DET90 − 121L
Jan 3vs PHI119 − 130L
Jan 2vs ATL99 − 111L
Dec 31, 2025at SA132 − 134L