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Kings at Knicks

NBA · Tuesday, Jan 27 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final SAC 87 – NY 103
← NBA / Jan 27

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC2625211587
NY36162031103
Team box
SAC·NY
35-87
field goals
37-78
5-30
3-pointers
13-32
12-14
free throws
16-18
44
rebounds
44
18
assists
24
17
turnovers
21
42
points in paint
34
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
DeMar DeRozanSAC393450
Jalen BrunsonNY352834
Mikal BridgesNY381835
Karl-Anthony TownsNY2717114
OG AnunobyNY321520
Russell WestbrookSAC331445

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +18
SAC +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 18 · SAC 5lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 26%, NY 74% · Updated Jan 27

Expected margin
NY by 10.4
Expected score
NY 119.8 – 109.4 SAC
Expected total
229.2
KingsThe matchupKnicks
+288Our fair odds−288
109.4Expected points119.8
−0.51Power rating+0.34
111.0Points / game117.9
121.2Allowed / game113.7
46.9FG%47.0
35.23P%37.7
40.8Rebounds / game46.6
12−35Season record28−18
4−6Last 104−6
Daeqwon Plowden · Isaiah Stevens
Keegan Murray · Malik Monk
Zach LaVineOutDillon Jones · Kevin McCullar Jr.
Trey Jemison III

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · NY chance
Our model fair25.8%74.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+28826%————
NYNew York Knicks−28874%————
SpreadNY by 10.4
SACSacramento Kings+10.4our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−10.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.2
Over229.2our total————
Under229.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 10.4 expected
Sacramento Kings by 52 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 51 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 50 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 16 points: 3%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 23 points: 2%New York Knicks by 24 points: 2%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 35 points: 1%New York Knicks by 36 points: 1%New York Knicks by 37 points: 1%New York Knicks by 38 points: 1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 50 points: <1%New York Knicks by 51 points: <1%New York Knicks by 52 points: <1%
← SAC wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more67%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more52%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more37%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.2 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.568%
Total over 229.549%
Total over 239.529%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FDomantas Sabonisstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·NY
Jan 25 at DET
last game
Jan 24 at PHI
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
2
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 27, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACMalik Monk · right ankle; sorenessOut
SACZach LaVine · lower back; sorenessOut
New York Knicks
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayOut
NYKevin McCullar Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
NYTrey Jemison III · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 46+ games
SAC·NY
−0.51
rating (0 = average)
+0.34
111.0
points / game
117.9
121.2
points allowed / game
113.7
12−35
season record
28−18
9−16
home record
18−6
3−19
away record
10−12
L5
streak
W2
4−6
last 10
4−6
46.9
FG%
47.0
35.2
3P%
37.7
40.8
rebounds / game
46.6
25.4
assists / game
26.7
14.5
turnovers / game
13.6
48.5
points in paint / game
47.3

Rating Trend

SAC · NY · 90 days
Sacramento KingsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · NY 7−2
Jan 14at SACSAC 112 − 101
Mar 10, 2025at SACNY 133 − 104
Jan 25, 2025at NYNY 143 − 120
Apr 4, 2024at NYNY 120 − 109
Mar 16, 2024at SACNY 98 − 91
Mar 9, 2023at SACSAC 122 − 117
Dec 11, 2022at NYNY 112 − 99
Mar 7, 2022at SACNY 131 − 115
Jan 31, 2022at NYNY 116 − 96

SAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak L5
Jan 25at DET116 − 139L
Jan 23at CLE118 − 123L
Jan 21vs TOR109 − 122L
Jan 20vs MIA117 − 130L
Jan 18vs POR110 − 117L
Jan 16vs WSH128 − 115W
Jan 14vs NY112 − 101W
Jan 12vs LAL124 − 112W
Jan 11vs HOU111 − 98W
Jan 9at GS103 − 137L

NY · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Jan 24at PHI112 − 109W
Jan 21vs BKN120 − 66W
Jan 19vs DAL97 − 114L
Jan 17vs PHX99 − 106L
Jan 15at GS113 − 126L
Jan 14at SAC101 − 112L
Jan 11at POR123 − 114W
Jan 9at PHX107 − 112L
Jan 7vs LAC123 − 111W
Jan 5at DET90 − 121L