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Kings at Cavaliers

NBA · Friday, Jan 23 · 6:30 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final SAC 118 – CLE 123
← NBA / Jan 23

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC35362225118
CLE35333421123
Team box
SAC·CLE
42-89
field goals
44-96
13-33
3-pointers
13-36
21-22
free throws
22-27
43
rebounds
48
26
assists
23
11
turnovers
7
36
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE343358
Evan MobleyCLE3529137
Domantas SabonisSAC3124166
Dennis SchroderSAC312144
DeMar DeRozanSAC302043
Jaylon TysonCLE361774

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +14
SAC +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 14 · SAC 6lead changes: 18

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 25%, CLE 75% · Updated Jan 23

Expected margin
CLE by 10.3
Expected score
CLE 122.6 – 112.3 SAC
Expected total
234.9
KingsThe matchupCavaliers
+296Our fair odds−296
112.3Expected points122.6
−0.45Power rating+0.41
110.7Points / game119.1
120.7Allowed / game117.1
46.8FG%47.0
35.03P%35.5
40.9Rebounds / game44.9
12−33Season record25−20
4−6Last 106−4
Daeqwon Plowden · Isaiah Stevens
Keegan MurrayOutChris Livingston · Darius Garland
Luke Travers · Max Strus
Sam Merrill

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · CLE chance
Our model fair25.3%74.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+29625%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−29675%————
SpreadCLE by 10.3
SACSacramento Kings+10.3our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−10.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.9
Over234.9our total————
Under234.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 10.3 expected
Sacramento Kings by 52 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 51 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 50 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 51 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 52 points: <1%
← SAC wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more67%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more52%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more37%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.9 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.569%
Total over 234.550%
Total over 244.531%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·CLE
Jan 21 vs TOR
last game
Jan 21 at CHA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 23, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEDarius Garland · right great toe; sprainOut
CLELuke Travers · g league - two-wayOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLESam Merrill · right hand; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 45+ games
SAC·CLE
−0.45
rating (0 = average)
+0.41
110.7
points / game
119.1
120.7
points allowed / game
117.1
12−33
season record
25−20
9−16
home record
14−11
3−17
away record
11−9
L3
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
6−4
46.8
FG%
47.0
35.0
3P%
35.5
40.9
rebounds / game
44.9
25.2
assists / game
28.4
14.5
turnovers / game
14.6
48.7
points in paint / game
50.0

Rating Trend

SAC · CLE · 86 days
Sacramento KingsCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CLE 3−5
Apr 6, 2025at CLESAC 120 − 113
Mar 19, 2025at SACSAC 123 − 119
Feb 5, 2024at CLECLE 136 − 110
Nov 13, 2023at SACSAC 132 − 120
Dec 9, 2022at CLESAC 106 − 95
Nov 9, 2022at SACSAC 127 − 120
Jan 10, 2022at SACCLE 109 − 108
Dec 11, 2021at CLECLE 117 − 103

SAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Jan 21vs TOR109 − 122L
Jan 20vs MIA117 − 130L
Jan 18vs POR110 − 117L
Jan 16vs WSH128 − 115W
Jan 14vs NY112 − 101W
Jan 12vs LAL124 − 112W
Jan 11vs HOU111 − 98W
Jan 9at GS103 − 137L
Jan 6vs DAL98 − 100L
Jan 4vs MIL98 − 115L

CLE · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Jan 21at CHA94 − 87W
Jan 19vs OKC104 − 136L
Jan 16at PHI117 − 115W
Jan 14at PHI133 − 107W
Jan 12vs UTAH112 − 123L
Jan 10vs MIN146 − 134W
Jan 8at MIN122 − 131L
Jan 6at IND120 − 116W
Jan 4vs DET110 − 114L
Jan 2vs DEN113 − 108W