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Cavaliers at 76ers

NBA · Friday, Jan 16 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final CLE 117 – PHI 115
← NBA / Jan 16

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE31242933117
PHI31312924115
Team box
CLE·PHI
44-85
field goals
43-91
17-34
3-pointers
12-32
12-17
free throws
17-19
42
rebounds
37
38
assists
28
18
turnovers
11
48
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaylon TysonCLE383954
Joel EmbiidPHI333353
Tyrese MaxeyPHI392259
De'Andre HunterCLE311634
Evan MobleyCLE361554
Quentin GrimesPHI321474

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +11
CLE +11
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 11 · CLE 2lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 58%, PHI 42% · Updated Jan 16

Expected margin
CLE by 3.4
Expected score
CLE 118.8 – 115.4 PHI
Expected total
234.2
CavaliersThe matchup76ers
−137Our fair odds+137
118.8Expected points115.4
+0.41Power rating−0.14
120.1Points / game116.8
117.5Allowed / game115.6
47.4FG%45.5
35.83P%35.4
44.4Rebounds / game44.3
23−19Season record22−17
6−4Last 106−4
Chris Livingston · Darius Garland
Dean Wade · Luke Travers
Max StrusOutJohni Broome · MarJon Beauchamp

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · PHI chance
Our model fair57.8%42.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−13758%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+13742%————
SpreadCLE by 3.4
CLECleveland Cavaliers−3.4our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+3.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.2
Over234.2our total————
Under234.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 3.4 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%
← CLE wins byPHI wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more49%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more34%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.2 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.568%
Total over 234.548%
Total over 244.530%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
GCraig Porter Jr.started
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FPaul Georgestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CJoel Embiidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·PHI
Jan 14 at PHI
last game
Jan 14 vs CLE
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 16, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEDarius Garland · right great toe; sorenessOut
CLEDean Wade · left knee; contusionOut
CLELuke Travers · g league - two-wayOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLESam Merrill · right hand; sprainOut
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJohni Broome · g league - on assignmentOut
PHIMarJon Beauchamp · g league - two-wayOut
PHIDominick Barlow · back; contusionQuestionable
PHIJoel Embiid · left knee; injury managementProbable
PHIPaul George · left knee; injury managementProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 39+ games
CLE·PHI
+0.41
rating (0 = average)
−0.14
120.1
points / game
116.8
117.5
points allowed / game
115.6
23−19
season record
22−17
14−10
home record
10−10
9−9
away record
12−7
W1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
6−4
47.4
FG%
45.5
35.8
3P%
35.4
44.4
rebounds / game
44.3
28.6
assists / game
24.4
14.2
turnovers / game
14.2
50.1
points in paint / game
48.1

Rating Trend

CLE · PHI · 79 days
Cleveland CavaliersPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 4−6
Jan 14at PHICLE 133 − 107
Nov 5, 2025at CLECLE 132 − 121
Jan 24, 2025at PHIPHI 132 − 129
Dec 21, 2024at CLECLE 126 − 99
Nov 13, 2024at PHICLE 114 − 106
Mar 29, 2024at CLECLE 117 − 114
Feb 23, 2024at PHIPHI 104 − 97
Feb 12, 2024at CLEPHI 123 − 121
Nov 21, 2023at PHICLE 122 − 119
Mar 15, 2023at CLEPHI 118 − 109

CLE · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Jan 14at PHI133 − 107W
Jan 12vs UTAH112 − 123L
Jan 10vs MIN146 − 134W
Jan 8at MIN122 − 131L
Jan 6at IND120 − 116W
Jan 4vs DET110 − 114L
Jan 2vs DEN113 − 108W
Dec 31, 2025vs PHX129 − 113W
Dec 29, 2025at SA113 − 101W
Dec 27, 2025at HOU100 − 117L

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Jan 14vs CLE107 − 133L
Jan 12at TOR115 − 102W
Jan 11at TOR115 − 116L
Jan 9at ORL103 − 91W
Jan 7vs WSH131 − 110W
Jan 5vs DEN124 − 125L
Jan 3at NY130 − 119W
Jan 1at DAL123 − 108W
Dec 30, 2025at MEM139 − 136W
Dec 28, 2025at OKC104 − 129L