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Knicks at Raptors

NBA · Wednesday, Jan 28 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final NY 119 – TOR 92
← NBA / Jan 28

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY18293537119
TOR2823192292
Team box
NY·TOR
45-90
field goals
30-79
14-38
3-pointers
7-26
15-18
free throws
25-29
48
rebounds
43
32
assists
20
18
turnovers
20
60
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Mikal BridgesNY363014
Brandon IngramTOR342762
OG AnunobyNY342635
Josh HartNY352256
Scottie BarnesTOR3217105
RJ BarrettTOR241483

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +27
NY +27
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 12 · NY 27lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 54%, TOR 46% · Updated Jan 28

Expected margin
NY by 1.3
Expected score
NY 113.0 – 111.7 TOR
Expected total
224.7
KnicksThe matchupRaptors
−115Our fair odds+115
113.0Expected points111.7
+0.34Power rating−0.02
117.6Points / game114.0
113.1Allowed / game111.9
47.0FG%47.3
37.83P%34.4
46.6Rebounds / game43.2
29−18Season record29−19
5−5Last 106−4
Dillon Jones · Kevin McCullar Jr.
Miles McBride · Mitchell Robinson
Pacome DadietOutA.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky Hepburn · Jakob Poeltl

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · TOR chance
Our model fair53.5%46.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−11554%————
TORToronto Raptors+11546%————
SpreadNY by 1.3
NYNew York Knicks−1.3our margin————
TORToronto Raptors+1.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.7
Over224.7our total————
Under224.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 1.3 expected
New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 10 points: 2%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%
← NY wins byTOR wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more43%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more29%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

224.7 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.570%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
FCollin Murray-Boylesstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·TOR
Jan 27 vs SAC
last game
Jan 25 at OKC
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 28, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayOut
NYKevin McCullar Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
NYMiles McBride · left ankle; left ankle managementOut
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementOut
NYPacome Dadiet · g league - on assignmentOut
NYTrey Jemison III · g league - two-wayOut
NYJosh Hart · right ankle; sorenessQuestionable
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJakob Poeltl · lower back; strainOut
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · left thumb; contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 47+ games
NY·TOR
+0.34
rating (0 = average)
−0.02
117.6
points / game
114.0
113.1
points allowed / game
111.9
29−18
season record
29−19
19−6
home record
13−10
10−12
away record
16−9
W3
streak
W4
5−5
last 10
6−4
47.0
FG%
47.3
37.8
3P%
34.4
46.6
rebounds / game
43.2
26.6
assists / game
29.6
13.7
turnovers / game
13.8
47.0
points in paint / game
52.6

Rating Trend

NY · TOR · 91 days
New York KnicksToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 0−10
Dec 9, 2025at TORNY 117 − 101
Nov 30, 2025at NYNY 116 − 94
Feb 4, 2025at TORNY 121 − 115
Jan 8, 2025at NYNY 112 − 98
Dec 23, 2024at NYNY 139 − 125
Dec 9, 2024at TORNY 113 − 108
Mar 27, 2024at TORNY 145 − 101
Jan 20, 2024at NYNY 126 − 100
Dec 11, 2023at NYNY 136 − 130
Dec 1, 2023at TORNY 119 − 106

NY · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Jan 27vs SAC103 − 87W
Jan 24at PHI112 − 109W
Jan 21vs BKN120 − 66W
Jan 19vs DAL97 − 114L
Jan 17vs PHX99 − 106L
Jan 15at GS113 − 126L
Jan 14at SAC101 − 112L
Jan 11at POR123 − 114W
Jan 9at PHX107 − 112L
Jan 7vs LAC123 − 111W

TOR · Last 10

6−4 · streak W4
Jan 25at OKC103 − 101W
Jan 23at POR110 − 98W
Jan 21at SAC122 − 109W
Jan 20at GS145 − 127W
Jan 18at LAL93 − 110L
Jan 16vs LAC117 − 121L
Jan 14at IND115 − 101W
Jan 12vs PHI102 − 115L
Jan 11vs PHI116 − 115W
Jan 9at BOS117 − 125L