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Kings at Celtics

NBA · Friday, Jan 30 · 6:30 PM CT · TD Garden · Final SAC 93 – BOS 112
← NBA / Jan 30

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC2521202793
BOS40321723112
Team box
SAC·BOS
31-83
field goals
42-93
10-31
3-pointers
18-48
21-23
free throws
10-16
47
rebounds
44
19
assists
25
16
turnovers
7
30
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Payton PritchardBOS332928
Zach LaVineSAC231741
Baylor ScheiermanBOS311651
Anfernee SimonsBOS261621
Nique CliffordSAC341531
Maxime RaynaudSAC3614141

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +31
SAC +31
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 31 · SAC 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 19%, BOS 81% · Updated Jan 30

Expected margin
BOS by 14.6
Expected score
BOS 119.5 – 105.0 SAC
Expected total
224.5
KingsThe matchupCeltics
+428Our fair odds−428
105.0Expected points119.5
−0.51Power rating+0.74
110.5Points / game116.4
120.6Allowed / game110.1
46.8FG%47.1
34.93P%36.7
41.0Rebounds / game44.9
12−37Season record29−18
3−7Last 105−5
Domantas Sabonis · Keegan Murray
Russell WestbrookOutAmari Williams · Jaylen Brown
Jayson Tatum · Max Shulga
Ron Harper Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · BOS chance
Our model fair18.9%81.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+42819%————
BOSBoston Celtics−42881%————
SpreadBOS by 14.6
SACSacramento Kings+14.6our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−14.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.5
Over224.5our total————
Under224.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 14.6 expected
Sacramento Kings by 53 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 52 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 51 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 50 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 1%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 53 points: <1%
← SAC wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more77%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more64%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more49%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.5 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.569%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GDennis Schroderstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
GBaylor Scheiermanstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·BOS
Jan 29 at PHI
last game
Jan 28 vs ATL
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
5th straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 30, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; injury managementOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACRussell Westbrook · right foot; sorenessOut
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJaylen Brown · left hamstring; tightness and right knee contusionOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSRon Harper Jr. · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 47+ games
SAC·BOS
−0.51
rating (0 = average)
+0.74
110.5
points / game
116.4
120.6
points allowed / game
110.1
12−37
season record
29−18
9−16
home record
14−8
3−21
away record
15−10
L7
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
5−5
46.8
FG%
47.1
34.9
3P%
36.7
41.0
rebounds / game
44.9
25.2
assists / game
23.9
14.6
turnovers / game
12.1
48.4
points in paint / game
44.2

Rating Trend

SAC · BOS · 93 days
Sacramento KingsBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · BOS 8−1
Jan 1at SACBOS 120 − 106
Mar 24, 2025at SACBOS 113 − 95
Jan 10, 2025at BOSSAC 114 − 97
Apr 5, 2024at BOSBOS 101 − 100
Dec 20, 2023at SACBOS 144 − 119
Mar 21, 2023at SACBOS 132 − 109
Nov 25, 2022at BOSBOS 122 − 104
Mar 18, 2022at SACBOS 126 − 97
Jan 25, 2022at BOSBOS 128 − 75

SAC · Last 10

3−7 · streak L7
Jan 29at PHI111 − 113L
Jan 27at NY87 − 103L
Jan 25at DET116 − 139L
Jan 23at CLE118 − 123L
Jan 21vs TOR109 − 122L
Jan 20vs MIA117 − 130L
Jan 18vs POR110 − 117L
Jan 16vs WSH128 − 115W
Jan 14vs NY112 − 101W
Jan 12vs LAL124 − 112W

BOS · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Jan 28vs ATL106 − 117L
Jan 26vs POR102 − 94W
Jan 24at CHI111 − 114L
Jan 23at BKN130 − 126W
Jan 21vs IND119 − 104W
Jan 19at DET103 − 104L
Jan 17at ATL132 − 106W
Jan 15at MIA119 − 114W
Jan 12at IND96 − 98L
Jan 10vs SA95 − 100L