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Kings at 76ers

NBA · Thursday, Jan 29 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final SAC 111 – PHI 113
← NBA / Jan 29

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC25293819111
PHI28322825113
Team box
SAC·PHI
41-82
field goals
39-72
10-26
3-pointers
8-25
19-23
free throws
27-31
46
rebounds
24
21
assists
25
17
turnovers
9
52
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI414048
Joel EmbiidPHI363758
Dennis SchroderSAC312742
DeMar DeRozanSAC382548
Zach LaVineSAC291713
Paul GeorgePHI361525

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +11
SAC +11
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 8 · SAC 11lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 37%, PHI 63% · Updated Jan 29

Expected margin
PHI by 5.2
Expected score
PHI 118.0 – 112.8 SAC
Expected total
230.8
KingsThe matchup76ers
+168Our fair odds−168
112.8Expected points118.0
−0.51Power rating−0.21
110.5Points / game116.6
120.8Allowed / game115.9
46.7FG%45.8
34.93P%35.3
40.9Rebounds / game43.8
12−36Season record25−21
4−6Last 104−6
Daeqwon Plowden · Isaiah Stevens
Keegan Murray · Russell WestbrookOutCharles Bassey · Johni Broome
MarJon Beauchamp

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · PHI chance
Our model fair37.3%62.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+16837%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−16863%————
SpreadPHI by 5.2
SACSacramento Kings+5.2our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−5.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.8
Over230.8our total————
Under230.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 5.2 expected
Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1%
← SAC wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more54%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more39%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.8 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.569%
Total over 230.550%
Total over 240.530%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GDennis Schroderstarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FDomantas Sabonisstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FPaul Georgestarted
CJoel Embiidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·PHI
Jan 27 at NY
last game
Jan 27 vs MIL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 29, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACRussell Westbrook · right foot; sorenessOut
SACMalik Monk · right ankle; sorenessQuestionable
Philadelphia 76ers
PHICharles Bassey · g league - on assignmentOut
PHIJohni Broome · g league - on assignmentOut
PHIMarJon Beauchamp · g league - two-wayOut
PHIQuentin Grimes · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
PHIJoel Embiid · left knee; injury managementProbable
PHIPaul George · left knee; injury management; illnessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 46+ games
SAC·PHI
−0.51
rating (0 = average)
−0.21
110.5
points / game
116.6
120.8
points allowed / game
115.9
12−36
season record
25−21
9−16
home record
13−13
3−20
away record
12−8
L6
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
4−6
46.7
FG%
45.8
34.9
3P%
35.3
40.9
rebounds / game
43.8
25.2
assists / game
24.8
14.5
turnovers / game
14.0
48.3
points in paint / game
48.6

Rating Trend

SAC · PHI · 92 days
Sacramento KingsPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · PHI 6−2
Jan 29, 2025at PHIPHI 117 − 104
Jan 1, 2025at SACSAC 113 − 107
Mar 25, 2024at SACSAC 108 − 96
Jan 12, 2024at PHIPHI 112 − 93
Jan 21, 2023at SACPHI 129 − 127
Dec 13, 2022at PHIPHI 123 − 103
Jan 29, 2022at PHIPHI 103 − 101
Nov 22, 2021at SACPHI 102 − 94

SAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak L6
Jan 27at NY87 − 103L
Jan 25at DET116 − 139L
Jan 23at CLE118 − 123L
Jan 21vs TOR109 − 122L
Jan 20vs MIA117 − 130L
Jan 18vs POR110 − 117L
Jan 16vs WSH128 − 115W
Jan 14vs NY112 − 101W
Jan 12vs LAL124 − 112W
Jan 11vs HOU111 − 98W

PHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Jan 27vs MIL139 − 122W
Jan 26at CHA93 − 130L
Jan 24vs NY109 − 112L
Jan 22vs HOU128 − 122W
Jan 20vs PHX110 − 116L
Jan 19vs IND113 − 104W
Jan 16vs CLE115 − 117L
Jan 14vs CLE107 − 133L
Jan 12at TOR115 − 102W
Jan 11at TOR115 − 116L