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Suns at 76ers

NBA · Tuesday, Jan 20 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final PHX 116 – PHI 110

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX27304019116
PHI30233126110
Team box
PHX·PHI
40-92
field goals
39-93
16-39
3-pointers
11-34
20-20
free throws
21-27
42
rebounds
49
25
assists
20
22
turnovers
19
34
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Devin BookerPHX342734
VJ EdgecombePHI372571
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI342141
Tyrese MaxeyPHI432027
Grayson AllenPHX291656
Jordan GoodwinPHX201652

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +17
PHX +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 9 · PHX 17lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 53%, PHI 47% · Updated Jan 20

Expected margin
PHX by 0.5
Expected score
PHX 113.9 – 113.4 PHI
Expected total
227.3
SunsThe matchup76ers
−111Our fair odds+111
113.9Expected points113.4
+0.17Power rating−0.17
114.7Points / game116.7
111.9Allowed / game115.4
46.3FG%45.6
36.43P%35.3
43.2Rebounds / game44.0
26−17Season record23−18
7−3Last 106−4
—OutJoel Embiid · MarJon Beauchamp

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · PHI chance
Our model fair52.5%47.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns−11153%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+11147%————
SpreadPHX by 0.5
PHXPhoenix Suns−0.5our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+0.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.3
Over227.3our total————
Under227.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 0.5 expected
Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%
← PHX wins byPHI wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more41%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more28%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.3 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·PHI
Jan 19 at BKN
last game
Jan 19 vs IND
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
3
5th straight road game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 20, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXMark Williams · right knee; injury managementQuestionable
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJoel Embiid · right ankle; injury managementOut
PHIMarJon Beauchamp · g league - two-wayOut
PHIJohni Broome · left thumb; sprainDoubtful
PHIPaul George · left knee; injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 41+ games
PHX·PHI
+0.17
rating (0 = average)
−0.17
114.7
points / game
116.7
111.9
points allowed / game
115.4
26−17
season record
23−18
14−5
home record
11−11
12−12
away record
12−7
W2
streak
W1
7−3
last 10
6−4
46.3
FG%
45.6
36.4
3P%
35.3
43.2
rebounds / game
44.0
25.3
assists / game
24.5
15.3
turnovers / game
14.0
44.6
points in paint / game
48.2

Rating Trend

PHX · PHI · 83 days
Phoenix SunsPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · PHI 2−6
Jan 6, 2025at PHIPHX 109 − 99
Nov 4, 2024at PHXPHX 118 − 116
Mar 20, 2024at PHXPHX 115 − 102
Nov 4, 2023at PHIPHI 112 − 100
Mar 25, 2023at PHXPHX 125 − 105
Nov 7, 2022at PHIPHI 100 − 88
Mar 27, 2022at PHXPHX 114 − 104
Feb 8, 2022at PHIPHX 114 − 109

PHX · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Jan 19at BKN126 − 117W
Jan 17at NY106 − 99W
Jan 15at DET105 − 108L
Jan 13at MIA121 − 127L
Jan 11vs WSH112 − 93W
Jan 9vs NY112 − 107W
Jan 7at MEM117 − 98W
Jan 5at HOU97 − 100L
Jan 4vs OKC108 − 105W
Jan 2vs SAC129 − 102W

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Jan 19vs IND113 − 104W
Jan 16vs CLE115 − 117L
Jan 14vs CLE107 − 133L
Jan 12at TOR115 − 102W
Jan 11at TOR115 − 116L
Jan 9at ORL103 − 91W
Jan 7vs WSH131 − 110W
Jan 5vs DEN124 − 125L
Jan 3at NY130 − 119W
Jan 1at DAL123 − 108W