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Pacers at 76ers

NBA · Monday, Jan 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final IND 104 – PHI 113
← NBA / Jan 19

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
IND30252623104
PHI33173231113
Team box
IND·PHI
40-84
field goals
42-88
13-34
3-pointers
5-17
11-14
free throws
24-36
46
rebounds
40
24
assists
22
24
turnovers
9
38
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Joel EmbiidPHI333094
Tyrese MaxeyPHI402948
Andrew NembhardIND362525
Pascal SiakamIND352467
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI351815
VJ EdgecombePHI351154

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +16
IND +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 16 · IND 10lead changes: 14

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was IND 44%, PHI 56% · Updated Jan 19

Expected margin
PHI by 2.5
Expected score
PHI 116.2 – 113.8 IND
Expected total
230.0
PacersThe matchup76ers
+130Our fair odds−130
113.8Expected points116.2
−0.17Power rating−0.14
110.2Points / game116.8
118.4Allowed / game115.7
44.2FG%45.5
34.33P%35.5
42.7Rebounds / game44.1
10−33Season record22−18
4−6Last 106−4
Bennedict Mathurin · Obi Toppin
Tyrese HaliburtonOutJohni Broome · MarJon Beauchamp

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
IND chance · PHI chance
Our model fair43.5%56.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
INDIndiana Pacers+13044%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−13056%————
SpreadPHI by 2.5
INDIndiana Pacers+2.5our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−2.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.0
Over230.0our total————
Under230.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 2.5 expected
Indiana Pacers by 44 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 43 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 42 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 41 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 40 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 39 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 38 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 37 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 36 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 35 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 34 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 33 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 32 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 31 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 30 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 29 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 28 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 27 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 26 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 25 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 24 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 23 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 22 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 21 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 20 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 19 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 18 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 17 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 16 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 15 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 14 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 13 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 12 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 11 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 10 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 9 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 8 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 7 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 6 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 5 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 4 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 3 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 2 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%
← IND wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more47%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more32%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.0 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.568%
Total over 230.548%
Total over 240.529%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Indiana Pacers
GAndrew Nembhardstarted
GAaron Nesmithstarted
GJohnny Furphystarted
FPascal Siakamstarted
CJay Huffstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CJoel Embiidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
IND·PHI
Jan 17 at DET
last game
Jan 16 vs CLE
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 19, 5:00 PM ET
Indiana Pacers
INDBennedict Mathurin · right thumb; sprainOut
INDObi Toppin · right foot; stress fractureOut
INDTyrese Haliburton · right achilles tendon; tearOut
INDEthan Thompson · g league - two-wayDoubtful
INDKam Jones · g league - on assignmentDoubtful
INDTaelon Peter · g league - two-wayDoubtful
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJohni Broome · g league - on assignmentOut
PHIMarJon Beauchamp · g league - two-wayOut
PHIJared McCain · g league - on assignmentQuestionable
PHIJoel Embiid · left knee; injuryQuestionable
PHIPaul George · management; illness left knee; injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 40+ games
IND·PHI
−0.17
rating (0 = average)
−0.14
110.2
points / game
116.8
118.4
points allowed / game
115.7
10−33
season record
22−18
8−16
home record
10−11
2−17
away record
12−7
L1
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
6−4
44.2
FG%
45.5
34.3
3P%
35.5
42.7
rebounds / game
44.1
25.0
assists / game
24.5
14.2
turnovers / game
14.1
44.9
points in paint / game
47.9

Rating Trend

IND · PHI · 82 days
Indiana PacersPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 5−5
Dec 12, 2025at PHIPHI 115 − 105
Mar 14, 2025at PHIIND 112 − 100
Jan 18, 2025at INDIND 115 − 102
Dec 13, 2024at PHIIND 121 − 107
Oct 27, 2024at INDPHI 118 − 114
Jan 25, 2024at INDIND 134 − 122
Nov 14, 2023at PHIIND 132 − 126
Nov 12, 2023at PHIPHI 137 − 126
Mar 18, 2023at INDPHI 141 − 121
Mar 6, 2023at INDPHI 147 − 143

IND · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Jan 17at DET78 − 121L
Jan 16vs NO127 − 119W
Jan 14vs TOR101 − 115L
Jan 12vs BOS98 − 96W
Jan 10vs MIA123 − 99W
Jan 8at CHA114 − 112W
Jan 6vs CLE116 − 120L
Jan 4at ORL127 − 135L
Jan 2vs SA113 − 123L
Dec 31, 2025vs ORL110 − 112L

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Jan 16vs CLE115 − 117L
Jan 14vs CLE107 − 133L
Jan 12at TOR115 − 102W
Jan 11at TOR115 − 116L
Jan 9at ORL103 − 91W
Jan 7vs WSH131 − 110W
Jan 5vs DEN124 − 125L
Jan 3at NY130 − 119W
Jan 1at DAL123 − 108W
Dec 30, 2025at MEM139 − 136W