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Rockets at 76ers

NBA · Thursday, Jan 22 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final HOU 122 – PHI 128
← NBA / Jan 22

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OTT
HOU342727277122
PHI3236222513128
Team box
HOU·PHI
46-99
field goals
49-89
18-40
3-pointers
11-32
12-24
free throws
19-22
46
rebounds
46
33
assists
41
17
turnovers
15
44
points in paint
66
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI4336210
Kevin DurantHOU443673
Joel EmbiidPHI46321510
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI412643
Amen ThompsonHOU421769
Reed SheppardHOU231414

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +9
HOU +9
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
largest lead: PHI 9 · HOU 9lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was HOU 61%, PHI 39% · Updated Jan 22

Expected margin
HOU by 3.8
Expected score
HOU 114.8 – 110.9 PHI
Expected total
225.7
RocketsThe matchup76ers
−154Our fair odds+154
114.8Expected points110.9
+0.51Power rating−0.17
117.0Points / game116.5
110.5Allowed / game115.4
48.2FG%45.5
37.43P%35.2
49.0Rebounds / game44.1
26−15Season record23−19
5−5Last 105−5
Aaron Holiday · Fred VanVleet
Steven Adams · Tristen NewtonOut—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
HOU chance · PHI chance
Our model fair60.7%39.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
HOUHouston Rockets−15461%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+15439%————
SpreadHOU by 3.8
HOUHouston Rockets−3.8our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+3.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.7
Over225.7our total————
Under225.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Houston Rockets by 3.8 expected
Houston Rockets by 44 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 43 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 42 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 41 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 40 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 39 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 38 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 37 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 36 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 35 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 34 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 33 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 32 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 31 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 30 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 29 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 28 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 27 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 26 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 25 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 24 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 23 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 22 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 21 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 20 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 19 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 18 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 17 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 16 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 15 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 14 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 13 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 12 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 11 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 10 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 9 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 8 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 7 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 6 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 5 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 4 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 3 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 2 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%
← HOU wins byPHI wins by →
Houston Rockets wins by 5 or more50%
Houston Rockets wins by 10 or more35%
Houston Rockets wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

225.7 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.569%
Total over 225.550%
Total over 235.530%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Houston Rockets
GJosh Okogiestarted
GAmen Thompsonstarted
FKevin Durantstarted
FJabari Smith Jr.started
CAlperen Sengunstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FPaul Georgestarted
CJoel Embiidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
HOU·PHI
Jan 20 vs SA
last game
Jan 20 vs PHX
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 22, 5:00 PM ET
Houston Rockets
HOUAaron Holiday · back; spasmsOut
HOUFred VanVleet · right knee; acl repairOut
HOUSteven Adams · left ankle; sprainOut
HOUTristen Newton · g league - two-wayOut
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIMarJon Beauchamp · g league - two-wayDoubtful
PHIJohni Broome · g league - on assignmentQuestionable
PHIPaul George · left knee; injury managementQuestionable
PHIJoel Embiid · right ankle; injury managementProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 41+ games
HOU·PHI
+0.51
rating (0 = average)
−0.17
117.0
points / game
116.5
110.5
points allowed / game
115.4
26−15
season record
23−19
15−3
home record
11−12
11−12
away record
12−7
W3
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
5−5
48.2
FG%
45.5
37.4
3P%
35.2
49.0
rebounds / game
44.1
24.8
assists / game
24.4
15.5
turnovers / game
14.1
53.2
points in paint / game
48.2

Rating Trend

HOU · PHI · 85 days
Houston RocketsPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · PHI 5−3
Mar 17, 2025at HOUHOU 144 − 137
Nov 27, 2024at PHIHOU 122 − 115
Jan 15, 2024at PHIPHI 124 − 115
Dec 29, 2023at HOUPHI 131 − 127
Feb 13, 2023at PHIPHI 123 − 104
Dec 5, 2022at HOUHOU 132 − 123
Jan 10, 2022at HOUPHI 111 − 91
Jan 3, 2022at PHIPHI 133 − 113

HOU · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Jan 20vs SA111 − 106W
Jan 18vs NO119 − 110W
Jan 16vs MIN110 − 105W
Jan 15vs OKC91 − 111L
Jan 13vs CHI119 − 113W
Jan 11at SAC98 − 111L
Jan 9at POR105 − 111L
Jan 7at POR102 − 103L
Jan 5vs PHX100 − 97W
Jan 3at DAL104 − 110L

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Jan 20vs PHX110 − 116L
Jan 19vs IND113 − 104W
Jan 16vs CLE115 − 117L
Jan 14vs CLE107 − 133L
Jan 12at TOR115 − 102W
Jan 11at TOR115 − 116L
Jan 9at ORL103 − 91W
Jan 7vs WSH131 − 110W
Jan 5vs DEN124 − 125L
Jan 3at NY130 − 119W