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Knicks at Pistons

NBA · Friday, Feb 6 · 6:30 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final NY 80 – DET 118

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY1725182080
DET28352728118
Team box
NY·DET
29-82
field goals
44-83
8-33
3-pointers
17-40
14-17
free throws
13-15
35
rebounds
44
22
assists
31
15
turnovers
13
34
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Mikal BridgesNY281912
Daniss JenkinsDET181843
Tobias HarrisDET261561
Isaiah StewartDET211530
Paul ReedDET271264
Jalen BrunsonNY311244

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +43
NY +43
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 43 · NY 4lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 43%, DET 57% · Updated Feb 6

Expected margin
DET by 2.8
Expected score
DET 113.7 – 110.9 NY
Expected total
224.6
KnicksThe matchupPistons
+135Our fair odds−135
110.9Expected points113.7
+0.43Power rating+0.51
118.3Points / game117.5
112.2Allowed / game110.3
47.2FG%48.2
38.13P%34.7
46.7Rebounds / game45.7
34−18Season record37−13
8−2Last 107−3
Dillon Jones · Guerschon Yabusele
Jose Alvarado · Miles McBride
OutBobi Klintman · Dario Saric
Tolu Smith

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · DET chance
Our model fair42.6%57.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks+13543%————
DETDetroit Pistons−13557%————
SpreadDET by 2.8
NYNew York Knicks+2.8our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−2.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.6
Over224.6our total————
Under224.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 2.8 expected
New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 27 points: <1%New York Knicks by 26 points: <1%New York Knicks by 25 points: <1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 16 points: 1%New York Knicks by 15 points: 1%New York Knicks by 14 points: 1%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 10 points: 2%New York Knicks by 9 points: 2%New York Knicks by 8 points: 2%New York Knicks by 7 points: 2%New York Knicks by 6 points: 2%New York Knicks by 5 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%
← NY wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more48%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more33%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.6 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.569%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
Detroit Pistons

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·DET
Feb 4 vs DEN
last game
Feb 5 vs WSH
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 6, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayOut
NYGuerschon Yabusele · not with teamOut
NYJose Alvarado · not with teamOut
NYMiles McBride · left ankle; left ankle injury management and core muscle injuryOut
NYKarl-Anthony Towns · right eye; lacerationDoubtful
NYOG Anunoby · right toe; sorenessQuestionable
NYJosh Hart · left ankle; sprainProbable
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · coach's decisionOut
DETDario Saric · not with teamOut
DETTolu Smith · g league - two-wayOut
DETJalen Duren · right knee; sorenessQuestionable
DETDuncan Robinson · left quadriceps; contusionProbable
DETTobias Harris · left hip; sorenessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 50+ games
NY·DET
+0.43
rating (0 = average)
+0.51
118.3
points / game
117.5
112.2
points allowed / game
110.3
34−18
season record
37−13
22−6
home record
21−6
12−12
away record
16−7
W8
streak
L1
8−2
last 10
7−3
47.2
FG%
48.2
38.1
3P%
34.7
46.7
rebounds / game
45.7
27.0
assists / game
26.7
13.6
turnovers / game
15.4
47.4
points in paint / game
57.3

Rating Trend

NY · DET · 100 days
New York KnicksDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 6−4
Jan 5at DETDET 121 − 90
May 1, 2025at DETNY 116 − 113post
Apr 29, 2025at NYDET 106 − 103post
Apr 27, 2025at DETNY 94 − 93post
Apr 24, 2025at DETNY 118 − 116post
Apr 21, 2025at NYDET 100 − 94post
Apr 19, 2025at NYNY 123 − 112post
Apr 10, 2025at DETDET 115 − 106
Jan 13, 2025at NYDET 124 − 119
Dec 7, 2024at NYDET 120 − 111

NY · Last 10

8−2 · streak W8
Feb 4vs DEN134 − 127W
Feb 3at WSH132 − 101W
Feb 1vs LAL112 − 100W
Jan 30vs POR127 − 97W
Jan 28at TOR119 − 92W
Jan 27vs SAC103 − 87W
Jan 24at PHI112 − 109W
Jan 21vs BKN120 − 66W
Jan 19vs DAL97 − 114L
Jan 17vs PHX99 − 106L

DET · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Feb 5vs WSH117 − 126L
Feb 3vs DEN124 − 121W
Feb 1vs BKN130 − 77W
Jan 30at GS131 − 124W
Jan 29at PHX96 − 114L
Jan 27at DEN109 − 107W
Jan 25vs SAC139 − 116W
Jan 23vs HOU104 − 111L
Jan 21at NO112 − 104W
Jan 19vs BOS104 − 103W