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Pistons at Suns

NBA · Thursday, Jan 29 · 8:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final DET 96 – PHX 114
← NBA / Jan 29

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET3125251596
PHX35372121114
Team box
DET·PHX
37-87
field goals
37-79
6-29
3-pointers
16-42
16-21
free throws
24-29
37
rebounds
47
26
assists
22
9
turnovers
17
54
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Dillon BrooksPHX334084
Cade CunninghamDET342637
Grayson AllenPHX342435
Jalen DurenDET2823134
Collin GillespiePHX261652
Tobias HarrisDET301351

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +21
DET +21
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 21 · DET 2lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 52%, PHX 48% · Updated Jan 29

Expected margin
DET by 1.3
Expected score
DET 113.5 – 112.1 PHX
Expected total
225.6
PistonsThe matchupSuns
−110Our fair odds+110
113.5Expected points112.1
+0.44Power rating+0.13
117.2Points / game114.0
110.0Allowed / game111.6
48.2FG%46.2
34.93P%35.9
45.9Rebounds / game43.2
34−11Season record28−19
8−2Last 106−4
Caris LeVert · Isaac Jones
Tolu Smith · Wendell Moore Jr.OutDevin Booker · Jalen Green

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · PHX chance
Our model fair52.4%47.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons−11052%————
PHXPhoenix Suns+11048%————
SpreadDET by 1.3
DETDetroit Pistons−1.3our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns+1.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.6
Over225.6our total————
Under225.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 1.3 expected
Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%
← DET wins byPHX wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more43%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more29%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

225.6 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.569%
Total over 225.550%
Total over 235.530%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted
Phoenix Suns
GGrayson Allenstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CMark Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·PHX
Jan 27 at DEN
last game
Jan 27 vs BKN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 29, 5:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETCaris LeVert · illness; illnessOut
DETIsaac Jones · g league - on assignmentOut
DETTolu Smith · g league - two-wayOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
Phoenix Suns
PHXDevin Booker · right ankle; sprainOut
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; injury managementOut
PHXCollin Gillespie · right hand; sprainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 45+ games
DET·PHX
+0.44
rating (0 = average)
+0.13
117.2
points / game
114.0
110.0
points allowed / game
111.6
34−11
season record
28−19
19−5
home record
15−6
15−6
away record
13−13
W2
streak
W1
8−2
last 10
6−4
48.2
FG%
46.2
34.9
3P%
35.9
45.9
rebounds / game
43.2
26.6
assists / game
24.9
15.8
turnovers / game
15.3
56.9
points in paint / game
45.4

Rating Trend

DET · PHX · 92 days
Detroit PistonsPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · PHX 7−2
Jan 15at DETDET 108 − 105
Jan 18, 2025at DETPHX 125 − 121
Dec 21, 2024at PHXDET 133 − 125
Feb 14, 2024at PHXPHX 116 − 100
Nov 5, 2023at DETPHX 120 − 106
Feb 4, 2023at DETPHX 116 − 100
Nov 25, 2022at PHXPHX 108 − 102
Jan 16, 2022at DETPHX 135 − 108
Dec 2, 2021at PHXPHX 114 − 103

DET · Last 10

8−2 · streak W2
Jan 27at DEN109 − 107W
Jan 25vs SAC139 − 116W
Jan 23vs HOU104 − 111L
Jan 21at NO112 − 104W
Jan 19vs BOS104 − 103W
Jan 17vs IND121 − 78W
Jan 15vs PHX108 − 105W
Jan 10vs LAC92 − 98L
Jan 7vs CHI108 − 93W
Jan 5vs NY121 − 90W

PHX · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Jan 27vs BKN106 − 102W
Jan 25vs MIA102 − 111L
Jan 23at ATL103 − 110L
Jan 20at PHI116 − 110W
Jan 19at BKN126 − 117W
Jan 17at NY106 − 99W
Jan 15at DET105 − 108L
Jan 13at MIA121 − 127L
Jan 11vs WSH112 − 93W
Jan 9vs NY112 − 107W