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Wizards at Pistons

NBA · Thursday, Feb 5 · 6:00 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final WSH 126 – DET 117
← NBA / Feb 5

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH34223931126
DET21313233117
Team box
WSH·DET
49-91
field goals
41-88
18-41
3-pointers
9-33
10-18
free throws
26-33
39
rebounds
47
30
assists
22
17
turnovers
15
56
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Cade CunninghamDET383088
Duncan RobinsonDET302112
Will RileyWSH292065
Sharife CooperWSH341835
Justin ChampagnieWSH151471
Tristan VukcevicWSH111433

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +22
WSH +22
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 0 · WSH 22lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 14%, DET 86% · Updated Feb 5

Expected margin
DET by 16.7
Expected score
DET 122.6 – 105.9 WSH
Expected total
228.5
WizardsThe matchupPistons
+615Our fair odds−615
105.9Expected points122.6
−1.11Power rating+0.51
112.1Points / game117.5
122.7Allowed / game109.9
45.7FG%48.2
35.23P%34.9
43.9Rebounds / game45.7
13−36Season record37−12
3−7Last 108−2
AJ Johnson · Cam Whitmore
Khris Middleton · Malaki Branham
Marvin Bagley IIIOutDaniss Jenkins · Dario Saric
Isaac Jones · Tolu Smith

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · DET chance
Our model fair14.0%86.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+61514%————
DETDetroit Pistons−61586%————
SpreadDET by 16.7
WSHWashington Wizards+16.7our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−16.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.5
Over228.5our total————
Under228.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 16.7 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 1%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 48 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 49 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 50 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 51 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 52 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more82%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more70%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more55%
Within 5 points either way14%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

228.5 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.569%
Total over 228.549%
Total over 238.530%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
FJustin Champagniestarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CIsaiah Stewartstarted
CJalen Durenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·DET
Feb 3 vs NY
last game
Feb 3 vs DEN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 5, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAJ Johnson · not with teamOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHKhris Middleton · not with teamOut
WSHMalaki Branham · not with teamOut
WSHMarvin Bagley III · not with teamOut
WSHSkal Labissiere · g league - on assignmentOut
WSHTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprain; quad contusionOut
WSHTre Johnson · left ankle; sprainOut
Detroit Pistons
DETDaniss Jenkins · g league - two-wayOut
DETDario Saric · not with teamOut
DETIsaac Jones · not with teamOut
DETTolu Smith · g league - two-wayOut
DETCade Cunningham · right wrist; injury managementQuestionable
DETTobias Harris · left hip; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 49+ games
WSH·DET
−1.11
rating (0 = average)
+0.51
112.1
points / game
117.5
122.7
points allowed / game
109.9
13−36
season record
37−12
9−17
home record
21−5
4−19
away record
16−7
L1
streak
W3
3−7
last 10
8−2
45.7
FG%
48.2
35.2
3P%
34.9
43.9
rebounds / game
45.7
25.3
assists / game
26.8
15.6
turnovers / game
15.4
47.1
points in paint / game
57.2

Rating Trend

WSH · DET · 99 days
Washington WizardsDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 5−5
Nov 10, 2025at DETDET 137 − 135
Mar 13, 2025at DETWSH 129 − 125
Mar 11, 2025at DETDET 123 − 103
Nov 17, 2024at WSHDET 124 − 104
Mar 29, 2024at WSHDET 96 − 87
Jan 27, 2024at DETWSH 118 − 104
Jan 15, 2024at WSHDET 129 − 117
Nov 27, 2023at DETWSH 126 − 107
Mar 14, 2023at WSHWSH 117 − 97
Mar 7, 2023at DETWSH 119 − 117

WSH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Feb 3vs NY101 − 132L
Feb 1vs SAC116 − 112W
Jan 30vs LAL111 − 142L
Jan 29vs MIL109 − 99W
Jan 27vs POR115 − 111W
Jan 24at CHA115 − 119L
Jan 22vs DEN97 − 107L
Jan 19vs LAC106 − 110L
Jan 17at DEN115 − 121L
Jan 16at SAC115 − 128L

DET · Last 10

8−2 · streak W3
Feb 3vs DEN124 − 121W
Feb 1vs BKN130 − 77W
Jan 30at GS131 − 124W
Jan 29at PHX96 − 114L
Jan 27at DEN109 − 107W
Jan 25vs SAC139 − 116W
Jan 23vs HOU104 − 111L
Jan 21at NO112 − 104W
Jan 19vs BOS104 − 103W
Jan 17vs IND121 − 78W