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Kings at Wizards

NBA · Sunday, Feb 1 · 5:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final SAC 112 – WSH 116
← NBA / Feb 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC14343430112
WSH23303528116
Team box
SAC·WSH
39-84
field goals
46-88
8-21
3-pointers
13-31
26-29
free throws
11-15
37
rebounds
42
21
assists
31
14
turnovers
17
42
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Zach LaVineSAC353562
DeMar DeRozanSAC333225
Will RileyWSH301866
AJ JohnsonWSH271714
Marvin Bagley IIIWSH191562
Bilal CoulibalyWSH211513

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +17
SAC +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 17 · SAC 5lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 61%, WSH 39% · Updated Feb 1

Expected margin
SAC by 3.8
Expected score
SAC 119.3 – 115.5 WSH
Expected total
234.8
KingsThe matchupWizards
−157Our fair odds+157
119.3Expected points115.5
−0.51Power rating−1.19
110.1Points / game112.2
120.5Allowed / game122.7
46.6FG%45.7
34.93P%35.0
41.1Rebounds / game44.0
12−38Season record12−35
2−8Last 102−8
Domantas Sabonis · Keegan Murray
Russell WestbrookOutAlex Sarr · Cam Whitmore
Trae Young · Tre Johnson
Tristan Vukcevic

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · WSH chance
Our model fair61.0%39.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings−15761%————
WSHWashington Wizards+15739%————
SpreadSAC by 3.8
SACSacramento Kings−3.8our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+3.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.8
Over234.8our total————
Under234.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Sacramento Kings by 3.8 expected
Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%
← SAC wins byWSH wins by →
Sacramento Kings wins by 5 or more50%
Sacramento Kings wins by 10 or more35%
Sacramento Kings wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

234.8 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.569%
Total over 234.550%
Total over 244.531%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FMarvin Bagley IIIstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·WSH
Jan 30 at BOS
last game
Jan 30 vs LAL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
6th straight road game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 1, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDomantas Sabonis · lower back; sorenessOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; spainOut
SACRussell Westbrook · right foot; contusionOut
Washington Wizards
WSHAlex Sarr · right calf; sorenessOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprain; quad contusionOut
WSHTre Johnson · left ankle; sprainOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · left hamstring; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 47+ games
SAC·WSH
−0.51
rating (0 = average)
−1.19
110.1
points / game
112.2
120.5
points allowed / game
122.7
12−38
season record
12−35
9−16
home record
8−16
3−22
away record
4−19
L8
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
2−8
46.6
FG%
45.7
34.9
3P%
35.0
41.1
rebounds / game
44.0
25.0
assists / game
25.3
14.6
turnovers / game
15.6
48.0
points in paint / game
47.1

Rating Trend

SAC · WSH · 95 days
Sacramento KingsWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · WSH 3−6
Jan 16at SACSAC 128 − 115
Apr 2, 2025at WSHWSH 116 − 111
Jan 19, 2025at SACSAC 123 − 100
Mar 21, 2024at WSHWSH 109 − 102
Dec 18, 2023at SACSAC 143 − 131
Mar 18, 2023at WSHSAC 132 − 118
Dec 23, 2022at SACWSH 125 − 111
Feb 12, 2022at WSHSAC 123 − 110
Dec 15, 2021at SACSAC 119 − 105

SAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak L8
Jan 30at BOS93 − 112L
Jan 29at PHI111 − 113L
Jan 27at NY87 − 103L
Jan 25at DET116 − 139L
Jan 23at CLE118 − 123L
Jan 21vs TOR109 − 122L
Jan 20vs MIA117 − 130L
Jan 18vs POR110 − 117L
Jan 16vs WSH128 − 115W
Jan 14vs NY112 − 101W

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Jan 30vs LAL111 − 142L
Jan 29vs MIL109 − 99W
Jan 27vs POR115 − 111W
Jan 24at CHA115 − 119L
Jan 22vs DEN97 − 107L
Jan 19vs LAC106 − 110L
Jan 17at DEN115 − 121L
Jan 16at SAC115 − 128L
Jan 14at LAC105 − 119L
Jan 11at PHX93 − 112L