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Lakers at Wizards

NBA · Friday, Jan 30 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final LAL 142 – WSH 111
← NBA / Jan 30

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAL41363134142
WSH27213627111
Team box
LAL·WSH
52-85
field goals
44-99
14-33
3-pointers
16-48
24-32
free throws
7-10
46
rebounds
39
38
assists
28
17
turnovers
19
66
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL31371113
Deandre AytonLAL2928133
LeBron JamesLAL302036
Malaki BranhamWSH221710
Alex SarrWSH281665
Bub CarringtonWSH251536

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +38
LAL +38
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 2 · LAL 38lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAL 75%, WSH 25% · Updated Jan 30

Expected margin
LAL by 9.7
Expected score
LAL 121.7 – 112.0 WSH
Expected total
233.7
LakersThe matchupWizards
−304Our fair odds+304
121.7Expected points112.0
+0.16Power rating−1.19
115.9Points / game112.2
116.5Allowed / game122.3
49.6FG%45.7
35.33P%35.1
41.3Rebounds / game44.1
28−18Season record12−34
5−5Last 102−8
Adou ThieroOutCam Whitmore · Khris Middleton
Marvin Bagley III · Trae Young
Tre Johnson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAL chance · WSH chance
Our model fair75.2%24.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALLos Angeles Lakers−30475%————
WSHWashington Wizards+30425%————
SpreadLAL by 9.7
LALLos Angeles Lakers−9.7our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+9.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.7
Over233.7our total————
Under233.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 9.7 expected
Los Angeles Lakers by 49 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%
← LAL wins byWSH wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more67%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more51%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more35%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.7 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.569%
Total over 233.549%
Total over 243.530%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
FJustin Champagniestarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAL·WSH
Jan 28 at CLE
last game
Jan 29 vs MIL
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
6th straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 30, 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · right mcl; sprainOut
LALAustin Reaves · left calf; strainQuestionable
LALLuka Doncic · left ankle; sorenessQuestionable
Washington Wizards
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHKhris Middleton · right knee; injury managementOut
WSHMarvin Bagley III · thoracic; strainOut
WSHTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprain; quad contusionOut
WSHTre Johnson · left ankle; sprainOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · left hamstring; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 46+ games
LAL·WSH
+0.16
rating (0 = average)
−1.19
115.9
points / game
112.2
116.5
points allowed / game
122.3
28−18
season record
12−34
12−8
home record
8−15
16−10
away record
4−19
L1
streak
W2
5−5
last 10
2−8
49.6
FG%
45.7
35.3
3P%
35.1
41.3
rebounds / game
44.1
24.9
assists / game
25.2
14.9
turnovers / game
15.5
51.1
points in paint / game
47.0

Rating Trend

LAL · WSH · 93 days
Los Angeles LakersWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · WSH 1−7
Jan 30, 2025at WSHLAL 134 − 96
Jan 21, 2025at LALLAL 111 − 88
Apr 3, 2024at WSHLAL 125 − 120
Feb 29, 2024at LALLAL 134 − 131
Dec 18, 2022at LALLAL 119 − 117
Dec 4, 2022at WSHLAL 130 − 119
Mar 19, 2022at WSHWSH 127 − 119
Mar 11, 2022at LALLAL 122 − 109

LAL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Jan 28at CLE99 − 129L
Jan 26at CHI129 − 118W
Jan 24at DAL116 − 110W
Jan 22at LAC104 − 112L
Jan 20at DEN115 − 107W
Jan 18vs TOR110 − 93W
Jan 17at POR116 − 132L
Jan 15vs CHA117 − 135L
Jan 13vs ATL141 − 116W
Jan 12at SAC112 − 124L

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak W2
Jan 29vs MIL109 − 99W
Jan 27vs POR115 − 111W
Jan 24at CHA115 − 119L
Jan 22vs DEN97 − 107L
Jan 19vs LAC106 − 110L
Jan 17at DEN115 − 121L
Jan 16at SAC115 − 128L
Jan 14at LAC105 − 119L
Jan 11at PHX93 − 112L
Jan 9vs NO107 − 128L